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Admissions Trends and Behaviours. Andrea Johnson Head of UK Recruitment & Admissions Plymouth University Ian Blenkharn Head of Recruitment & Admissions University of Exeter. Contents. 2012 cycle so far Deferrals – who’s in and who’s not… To AAB or not to AAB 2013 cycle Horizon scanning

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Admissions trends and behaviours

Admissions Trends and Behaviours

Andrea JohnsonHead of UK Recruitment & Admissions Plymouth University

Ian BlenkharnHead of Recruitment & AdmissionsUniversity of Exeter


Contents
Contents

  • 2012 cycle so far

  • Deferrals – who’s in and who’s not…

  • To AAB or not to AAB

  • 2013 cycle

  • Horizon scanning

  • Fair access

  • Contextual data

  • Summary


2012 to date
2012…to date

  • UCAS applications down 7.4% (15 Jan)

  • Little change on 15 October deadline

  • Trend for later applications – more research?

  • Seems to be a shift towards subjects with a more ‘vocational’ focus

    Source: UCAS


Plymouth picture
Plymouth Picture

  • UCAS applications in line with the UCAS national picture, and significantly up on 2010.

  • Much later application behaviour

  • Subject growth vocational and societal


Exeter picture
Exeter Picture

  • UCAS applications exactly in line with 2011 – although slightly higher quality

  • Growth areas mainly in Science/Engineering/Law


Deferral behaviour
Deferral behaviour

  • UCAS applications don’t give the whole picture

  • Fewer deferrals for 2012 entry from 2011 as a result of higher fees

  • Deferral rates from 2012 to 2013 back to ‘normal’ – therefore a bigger net reduction in applications per place in 2012

  • Unclear as to how all of this will affect pressure for places at Clearing/Confirmation/Adjustment


To aab or not to aab
To AAB or not to AAB...

  • New ‘Core and Margin’ model fundamentally changes the admissions process for HEIs

  • HEFCE/Government have not used a comprehensive equivalency model for AAB+

  • HEIs need to ensure fairness, transparency and consistency


Horizon scanning
Horizon scanning

  • 2013 cycle

  • UCAS Admissions Process Review

  • Proposals for 2014 and 2016


2013 cycle
2013 cycle

  • Advice & guidance difficulties – although less than for 2012

  • Fee rates / student support packages won’t be confirmed until July(?)

  • Will ‘core and margin’ threshold be lowered to ABB for 2013 entry?



Admissions review1
Admissions Review

  • UCAS Admissions Process Review

  • GTTR Review

  • UCAS Tariff


Ucas apr
UCAS APR

  • Consultation closed on 27 January

  • Two models

    • Modifications for 2014

    • PQA for 2016 (or later)

  • Reduce pressure point of clearing

  • Re-establish ‘fairness’


Admissions ucas review
Admissions UCAS Review

  • 2014 ‘Modifications’

    • UCAS Process improvements

    • Same number of choices

    • Clearer deadlines and timeframes

    • Future of insurance choice

    • Compulsory gathered field

    • Offer release date

    • Managed ‘Clearing’ commencing after A level results

    • New terminology and labelling


Admissions ucas review1
Admissions UCAS Review

  • 2016 Model

    • Full PQA; apply with known results

    • Two choices

    • Earliest possible 2016/2018

    • Subject of much debate


Ucas tariff
UCAS Tariff

  • Expected to have reached end of its life by 2014 entry

  • Return to grades

  • Clarity of entry requirements/grade requirements



Simple messages
Simple messages

  • No fees paid upfront, costs covered by a loan

  • Loans repaid at £21k earnings threshold

  • Real rate of interest – RPI plus up to 3%

  • Fees charged up to £9k (plus a bit for 2013)

  • Grant support available – income threshold of £42k

  • National Scholarships programme

  • Institutional scholarships/bursaries


Fair access exeter
Fair Access - Exeter

  • Confusion between ‘Fair Access’ and ‘Widening Participation’

  • Milburn’s ‘Fair Access to the Professions’ – particular focus on research intensive / selective institutions

  • Fair Access primarily focused on admissions and assessing potential (Hoare, 2010)


Contextual data
Contextual data

  • What is it!?

    • Additional information to aid and support the decision making process and improve inclusivity

    • Evidence based judgement

    • Applicants may not be treated in exactly the same way as different factors maybe be considered, all applicants are individuals with different backgrounds.


Educational factors
Educational factors

  • School/college progression rates

  • School performance at GCSE

  • Progression from year 11 to FE

  • Average QCA points per qualification


Personal factors
Personal factors

  • Disability

  • Ethnicity

  • Age/experience (eg Mature Students)


Socio economic factors
Socio-economic factors

  • In receipt of free school meals

  • Living in a low progression neighbourhood

  • Socio-economic class IIM-VII

  • In care for longer than three months


Plymouth s use of contextual data
Plymouth’s use of contextual data

  • Not actively collecting or using at present

  • Confidence in our admissions policy that we are inclusive in our approach and constitution


Exeter s use of contextual data
Exeter’s use of contextual data

  • Very much focused on educational factors: See http://www.exeter.ac.uk/undergraduate/applications/policy/

  • Evidence-based approach, reviewed annually

  • Part of our holistic assessment of an applicant’s potential to succeed


Summary
Summary

  • Turbulent times continue

  • Unknown impact of reforms on Clearing/Confirmation/Adjustment for 2012 entry and beyond


Questions
Questions?

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