Renewable energy development and prospects an industry point of view 2010 2020 2040
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Renewable Energy Development and Prospects – an Industry Point of View -2010-2020-2040. Oliver Schaefer Policy Advisor EREC - European Renewable Energy Council. Will the White Paper Targets Be Achieved? 2010. … yes, if specific support actions are taken soon for some technologies.

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Renewable Energy Development and Prospects – an Industry Point of View -2010-2020-2040

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Renewable Energy Developmentand Prospects – an Industry Point of View -2010-2020-2040

Oliver Schaefer

Policy Advisor

EREC - European Renewable Energy Council


Will the White Paper Targets Be Achieved? 2010

… yes, if specific support actions are taken soon for some technologies.

Some of the targets must be revised.


Average Annual Growth Rate (AGR) by RE Technology in the EU15


Evaluation of Development Rates of RES up to the Present

Hydro, Geothermal & PV:

Development rates as expected

Should reach the targets

Biomass & Solar Collectors:

Development rates below expectations

Reaching the targets seems problematic

Wind Energy:

Development rates largely above expectations

Should exceed target

The possible overestimation of biomass and solar collector targets could be balanced by the possible underestimation of wind energy


Contribution of RES to Total Inland

Consumption - 2020

Eurostat Convention (Mtoe)


Total RES investment (2001 – 2020)


Cumulative Avoided External Costs

in the EU15 (2001 – 2020)


Annual CO2 Emission Reductions due to RES Penetration (2001 – 2020)


Cumulative Avoided Fuel Costs

in the EU15 (2001 – 2020)


Advanced International Policies Scenariofor electricity 2040-Global, TWh


Dynamic Current Policies Scenario for electricity 2040 –Global, TWh


Advanced International Policies Scenario Annual Cumulative Growth Rates


Dynamic Current Policies ScenarioAnnual Cumulative Growth Rates


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