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Samantha Sanders Code 674 Dr. David G. Sibeck NASA Goddard Space Flight Center. Modeling the Magnetosphere. Interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) How do the forces within it affect space weather?. What are we modeling?. What are we modeling?. y. EARTH. z. Velocity of solar wind. x.

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Samantha sanders code 674 dr david g sibeck nasa goddard space flight center

Samantha Sanders

Code 674

Dr. David G. Sibeck

NASA Goddard Space Flight Center

Modeling the Magnetosphere


What are we modeling

Interplanetary magnetic field (IMF)

How do the forces within it affect space weather?

What are we modeling?


What are we modeling1
What are we modeling?

y

EARTH

z

Velocity of solar wind

x

  • Many factors affect solar weather – orientation is one of them

  • Looking for the location of the magnetopause – the point (boundary line) between the magnetosphere and the surrounding plasma

  • Sun’s magnetosphere is fluid! – ripples, waves, bounces, moves


The ccmc
The CCMC

  • Provides web-based space weather models for researches to use – ultimate goal to help predict space weather

  • solar, heliospheric, magnetospheric, and ionospheric models with automated requests

  • produces a visualization

  • - Sample inputs for magnetospheric models


Magnetospheric models variations

BATS-R-US (Block-Adaptive-Tree-Solarwind-Roe-Upwind-Scheme)

SWMF/BATS-R-US with RCM (Space Weather ModelinG Framework/BATSRUS with Rice Convection Model)

LFM-MIX (Lyon-Fedder-Mobarry model)

Goal – understand discrepancies between the models to improve prediction accuracy and efficiency

Magnetospheric Models - Variations


Magnetospheric models sample visualizations
Magnetospheric Models – Sample Visualizations

SWMF separate visual

BATS-R-US visual

LFM visual


Using the models

* The various models are based on different computational modules

Using the Models

Example, SWMF/BATS-R-US model


Prediction dilemmas

Discrepancies in calculating the magnetopause locations between the models – could lead to errors in accurately predicting space weather

Model comparison – submitting multiple runs of sample data

Prediction Dilemmas


The submissions
The Submissions between the models – could lead to errors in accurately predicting space weather

  • Generate input data

  • LOTS of input data

  • two different comparisons – one varying solar wind velocity, one adjustingthe magnetic field

  • watch out for – keeping IMF values constant, increase pressure and density of field

  • watch for each model’s variations in predicting magnetopause location based on magnetosphere’s behavior


Analyzing the results models
Analyzing the Results - Models between the models – could lead to errors in accurately predicting space weather


Analyzing the results models1
Analyzing the Results - Models between the models – could lead to errors in accurately predicting space weather


Analyzing the results comparison

Compare model results to each other – points on a simple graph

Use a line of actual observed data from a typical set

Calculated distance of model points from observed points gives margin of error for each model

Analyzing the Results - Comparison


Analyzing the results future

Work still to be done! graph

Need more run data to complete – a small amount of results won’t create a good line to compare with the database of observed features

Problems can occur with submissions

Analyzing the Results - Future


Acknowledgements

Dr. David Gary graphSibeck

Dr. MashaKuznetsova

The Dayside Science crew

UthraRao and Mitch Wynyk

Diane Cockrell

Cori Quirk and the SESI Program

Acknowledgements


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