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2. Post-Cold War Era

2. Post-Cold War Era. Threat???? Global Peace? No rival power? No rival ideology? Does US need a national security strategy anymore?. GHW Bush 1992 Defense Guidance Leaked and disavowed. Threat Emergence of a peer competitor Resurgent Russia China Regional powers (with WMD?) Iraq Iran

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2. Post-Cold War Era

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  1. 2. Post-Cold War Era • Threat???? • Global Peace? • No rival power? • No rival ideology? • Does US need a national security strategy anymore?

  2. GHW Bush 1992 Defense GuidanceLeaked and disavowed Threat • Emergence of a peer competitor • Resurgent Russia • China • Regional powers (with WMD?) • Iraq • Iran • North Korea

  3. Hegemonic Realism? Soviet superpower gone. US superpower remains.

  4. GHW Bush Strategy Maintain Core Strategy • Nuclear Deterrence • Forward Presence • Peacetime Military Strength • Own the sea • NATO and other alliances • Free Trade and Commerce • Spread Democracy**

  5. Additions to Core Strategy • Missile defense • Defense cuts • Base force and Reconstitution

  6. 3. US maintenance of global and regional balance of power US Russia China Europe Japan

  7. Balancer in Regional Relationships

  8. Crush Regional Aggressors; Reestablish Regional Balance of Power

  9. Clinton Idealist National Security Replacing the Truman Doctrine?

  10. Threats? • Regional Instability • Regional powers with WMD • Iran, Iraq, N. Korea • Threats to democratic transitions • Transnational problems • terrorism, drug trafficking, organized crime

  11. US Role? • Building post-cold war order based on Liberal-democracy

  12. En-En Strategy Innovations? • Free Trade and Commerce • BEM • Spread Democracy** • NATO and other alliances • Nuclear Deterrence and missile defense • Forward Presence • Peacetime Military Strength • Own the sea

  13. New Elements of Strategy • Focus on regional threats • Iran, North Korea • Human Rights and Humanitarian Crises • Haiti, Somalia, Bosnia

  14. Humanitarian Intervention Somalia 1992-1994 The Ground Bosnia 1995 The Air

  15. 3. Power ProjectionUS military activities everywhere Combat Humanitarian Liberia East Timor Guinea-Bissau Sierra Leone Thailand/Cambodia Central African Republic Gabon and Congo • Somalia • Haiti • Bosnia • Iraq • Sudan • Afghanistan • Kosovo • Taiwan Strait

  16. 4. Two Overlapping Major Regional Contingencies (MRCs) MRC One MRC Two Time

  17. 5. Military Operations Other Than WarMOOTW

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