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Republic Hydrometeorological Service of Serbia

Republic Hydrometeorological Service of Serbia. GoranPejanovic. WMO RA VI-Europe RCC Network SEEVCCC :. ● Climate Data Node. Lead: KNMI/Netherlands (consortium member SEEVCCC/RHMS-Serbia). South East European gridded model datasets for 1961-1990 (ready). ● Climate Monitoring Node .

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Republic Hydrometeorological Service of Serbia

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  1. Republic Hydrometeorological Service of Serbia GoranPejanovic

  2. WMO RA VI-Europe RCC Network SEEVCCC : ● Climate Data Node Lead: KNMI/Netherlands (consortium member SEEVCCC/RHMS-Serbia) South East European gridded model datasets for 1961-1990 (ready) ● Climate Monitoring Node Lead: DWD/Germany (participate SEEVCCC/RHMS-Serbia) • collecting data from the stations (monthly, 400-500 stations; main source for data KNMI-ECA&D, other climate bulletins NCDC) • mean temperature and accumulated precipitation, • temperature anomaly and precipitation percent of normal, • all available monthly/three-monthly ● Long Range Forecast Node Lead: Météo-France & ROSHYDROMET (participate SEEVCCC/RHMS-Serbia) Once a month ensemble run of a regional long range forecast - 7 months ahead: dynamical downscaling ECMWF 41 ensemble with RCM-SEEVCCC

  3. Long Range Forecast Node ●RCM-SEEVCCC LRF (Long Range Forecast–Seasonal Forecast) • regional dynamical downscaling using fully coupled atmosphere-ocean • Regional Climate Model • model start: 16th of each month • forecast duration: 7 months (~215 days) • model resolution: ~35km atmosphere ; ~20km ocean • model domain: Euro - Mediterranean region extended toward Caspian Sea • 41 ensemble members • initial and boundary conditions: ECMWF, resolution:125km • results prepared for South East European region • Next step: adding into LRF: • Dust component • Mineral fractions (Fe, P)

  4. Operational dust forecast: DREAM ● DREAM8: Dust Regional Atmospheric Model with 8 categories for particle sizes • model runs: 12UTC start ; +72h forecast • model resolution: 1/3 degrees (~35km) • models: DREAM8 and DREAM8-assim (assimilation using ECMWF dust aerosol analysis based on MODIS) • daily dissemination of DREAM8-assim products to the Spanish Centre for model intercomparison DREAM8 DREAM8 – assim

  5. Assimilation of satellite information on mineral dust ECMWF dust aerosol analysis assimilated in initial field.

  6. Mineral composition of arid soils • important impacts on: human health, ocean bio-productivity, cloud formation GMINER30: High-resolution global dataset on surface mineralogy in arid areas - data on mineral fraction for 9 most common minerals in arid regions - minerals are sorted by size in clay and silt populations - dataset is global on 30 arc-seconds resolution (~ 1 km) + phosphorus - available to SDS-WAS community at:http://www.seevccc.rs/GMINER30/

  7. Atmospheric iron transport modeling - Development of DREAM-Iron model Example of mineral database application In accordance with the GESAMP WG38 Recommendation (March 2011) – a joint SDS-WAS and GESAMP activity

  8. 110mi leading edge

  9. DUST SIMULATION – 6-km model 10m WIND MAGNITUDE Simulation of the Phoenix haboob With 3.7 km resolution NMME-Dream8 Phoenix Phoenix NASA Applied Science support led to this high-resolution forecast & simulation capability W.A.Sprigg, S. Nickovic, G. Pejanovic, A. Vukovic

  10. Other international activities: Fennec Project: Dust Forecast

  11. SEEVCCC Earth Climate Modeling System: NMMB Results obtained with NMMB in SEEVCCC: global forecast Future plans: NMMB ● SEEVCCC perform 10 days (global) forecast ● testing model on regional and local scales ● coupling with ocean, aerosols, hydrology ● perform seasonal forecast ● climate projections ● …… ECMWF

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