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Global Food (In)Security and Brazilian Potential Ladislau Martin-Neto R&D Executive Director

Global Food (In)Security and Brazilian Potential Ladislau Martin-Neto R&D Executive Director Embrapa Brazil The International Economic Forum of The Americas Palm Beach Strategic Forum April, 8, 2014. Brazil – Agriculture Production

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Global Food (In)Security and Brazilian Potential Ladislau Martin-Neto R&D Executive Director

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  1. Global Food (In)Security and Brazilian Potential Ladislau Martin-Neto R&D Executive Director Embrapa Brazil The International Economic Forum of The Americas Palm Beach Strategic Forum April, 8, 2014

  2. Brazil – Agriculture Production Perspective 2010-30, (% INCREASE IN MILLIONS - TONNES ) Ag Production World Ranking – 2013/14 Brazil- Growth of Agricultural Productivity Grains - (1976/2011) Around 79% of the Brazilian food production is consumed domestically and 21% is shipped to over 180 foreign markets AGRIBUSINESS SURPLUS OF TRADE BALANCE IN BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

  3. Brazilian Support to Small-holder Farmers Brazilian Agriculture • Creation of additional Ministry of Agrarian Development, in 2000 (maintained original Ministry of Agriculture) • Specific Annual Program to finance small farms production • However data of 2006 (IBGE): • 4.4 million of farmers declared income • 0.5 million farmers (11%) – 87 % of production value • 3.9 million farmers (89%)- 13% of production value (many of them in poverty conditions) • So an important challenge remains to improve conditions to small-holder farmers (creation of new Rural Extension Agency this year by Brazilian Governor) Contribution of Small-holder Farmers • Farming area: 106.8 million hectares • 12 million producers (1/3 of them are women) • 24% of agricultural area • 84% of land owners in Brazil • Cassava....... 87% • Milk............... 58% • Beans.............70% • Beef.......... 30% • Poultry..... 50% • Corn........ 46% • Pork...... 59% • Rice......... 34% Photo: Cláudio Morões Source: Ministry of Agrarian Development

  4. Renewable Energy in Brazil Land-Use in Brazil AMAZON PROTECTED SEMI-ARID CERRADO (SAVANNAH - 200 Mi ha) 87% of sugarcane Production (4 million ha – ethanol production) SUBTROPICAL

  5. Global Arable Areas and Population - 2009 In the future, increasingfractionofagriculturalproductionwillhavetobemobilized via trade sincethedistributionofthe world populationbyregion does notfollowthedistributionofarableland

  6. Water stress indicator (WSI) in major basins Irrigation- consumption of 70% of world water Impact of Climate Change on Agriculture by 2080 Cropped areas in the world USA India Brazil China Russia France Canada Australia Colombia Argentina Indonesia Venezuela Pastùreland and no utilized areas Agriculture Milhões de ha Million ha - The poorest areas of the globe are the most challenging to agriculture - Intense biotic (pests) and abiotic (drought, flood, soil acidity, low nutrients, etc) stresses. All these challenges will be intensified with the global climatic changes. Fonte: FAO - 2004 Source: based on Cline, W. R. 2007. Global Warming and Agriculture: Impact Estimates by Country. Washington D.C.: Peterson Institute Available at: http://www.unep.org/geo/pdfs/geo5/GEO5_report_full_en.pdf SOURCE: FAO 2004

  7. Preventive Breeding International Partners Preventive Plant Breeding PORTUGAL Maize Late Wilt of Corn Harpophora maydis Soybean Red Leaf Blotch Phoma glycinicola UNITED STATES Rice Panicle Blight Burkholderia glumae PANAMA Rice Bacterial Blight Xanthomonas oryzae pv. oryzae BRAZIL ANGOLA Soybean Red Leaf Blotch Phoma glycinicola CHILE Common Bean Halo Blight Pseudomonas savastanoi pv. phaseolicola 2013 – poliphagouslarvae causedbyHelicoverpaarmigera soybean rust Program designed to develop, in advance, genetic stocks of different crops which are resistant to quarantine organisms, prior to their entrance in the country. Preventive Plant Breeding Development of plant varieties resistant to high risk quarantine pests and pathogens Subtotal 2013:>US$4.6 billions

  8. Field Experiment 2013/2014 Season Soybean Low Carbon Emission Agriculture Program Soybean Experimental Field Land use intensification conventional DREB1 DREB2 AREB DREB1b BR16 AREB DREB1 BR16 DREB1b DREB2 BR16 Areb- transgenic DREB1 AREB DREB2 DREB1b DREB1 DREB1b BR16 AREB DREB2 Integrated system- crop-livestock-forest • 40°C (104 °F) - 49 days – rainfall 44 mm • Typical rainfall season 300 mm Fonte: MAPA, 2010 – Fotos de Votorantin Metais 88

  9. Sharing Knowledge of Tropical Agriculture Structuring Projects in Africa Pro-Savannah Project - Mozambique Brazil 13º S Lichinga Nacalacorridor Nampula 17º S • Similar biomes • Similar challenges • New learning opportunities • A common vision for the future

  10. Thank you “…But the availability of farmland is in fact only a secondary reason for the extraordinary growth in Brazilian agriculture. If you want the primary reason in three words, they areEmbrapa, Embrapa, Embrapa.” The Economist, August 28th 2010 ladislau.martin@embrapa.br www.embrapa.br

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