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2010 Iraqi National Elections Overview

COINSOC. UNCLASSIFIED. 2010 Iraqi National Elections Overview. Contents pulled from multiple sources including USF-I J-9. UNCLASSIFIED. Ed Carr, Interagency SME COINSOC. 1. COINSOC. UNCLASSIFIED. 2010 Iraqi Parliamentary Elections Overview Elections Event Status

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2010 Iraqi National Elections Overview

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  1. COINSOC UNCLASSIFIED 2010 Iraqi National Elections Overview Contents pulled from multiple sources including USF-I J-9 UNCLASSIFIED Ed Carr, Interagency SME COINSOC 1

  2. COINSOC UNCLASSIFIED • 2010 Iraqi Parliamentary Elections Overview • Elections Event Status • Elections Preparations and Tasks • Elections Timeline • Election Attack Trends Ed Carr, Interagency SME COINSOC UNCLASSIFIED 2

  3. COINSOC UNCLASSIFIED • “Parliamentary elections and seating of the Government will shape the strategic environment and drawdown in 2010.” • General Ray Odierno guidance to 1/3ID(AAB) COINSOC 10-08 on • January 2, 2010 Ed Carr, Interagency SME COINSOC UNCLASSIFIED 3

  4. COINSOC UNCLASSIFIED Iraqi Parliamentary Elections Events • Standard Elections Events • Voter Registration Update (VRU) – completed 30 Sept 09 • Party/Political Entity accreditation – completed 06 Sept 09 • Coalition formation and accreditation – completed 13 Nov 09 • Candidate nomination and registration – completed 20 Dec 09 • Campaigning / Public Outreach / Voter Education • Special Needs Voting (SNV) (4 Mar) • Election day voting (7 Mar) • Complaint and adjudication period • Certification of results (~ 45 days after election) Ed Carr, Interagency SME COINSOC UNCLASSIFIED 4

  5. COINSOC Dahuk Erbil Ninewa Sulaymaniyah Kirkuk Salah ad Din Diyala Al Anbar Wasit Babil Karbala Maysan Qadisiyah Dhi Qar An Najaf Basrah Muthanna UNCLASSIFIED • Distribution of 2010 Polling Centers • Dahuk • Ninewa • Erbil • Kirkuk • Salah ad Din • Sulaymaniyah • Diyala • Baghdad K • Baghdad R • Al Anbar • Karbala • Babil • Wasit • Maysan • Qadisiyah • Dhi Qar • Muthanna • An Najaf • Basrah 229 717 476 299 283 483 384 736 1005 312 217 353 276 224 243 414 170 282 485 USD-N Baghdad USD-C USD-B USD-W 7,588 Total Polling Centers • GPS points distributed out to the USDs for • verification and identification. USD-S Ed Carr, Interagency SME COINSOC UNCLASSIFIED

  6. Movement of Election Materials UNCLASSIFIED Arrive at GEO Warehouse Est. 9-11 days prior Distribute to Polling Center (est. 7,579 PCs) Est. 2 days prior Post Election Day Return to GEO Warehouse Tally sheets to DEC Arrive at Airport Est. 9-11 days prior Depart Country of Origin Est. 11-14 days prior PC Najaf Karbala Karbala Najaf PC Elections Materials Depart Country Of Origin Babylon Babylon NajafAirport* IHEC Headquarters Data Entry Center (DEC) Baghdad PC Qadissiyah Qadissiyah PC PC Baghdad Anbar Anbar Baghdad BaghdadAirport Wassit Diyala Diyala Wassit PC Salah Al-Din Salah Al-Din PC PC Dahuk Erbil Erbil Dahuk PC Kirkuk Ninewa Kirkuk Ninewa ErbilAirport* Sulaymaniyah PC Sulaymaniyah PC Basrah Thi-Qar Basrah Thi-Qar PC Maysan Maysan BasrahAirport • USF-I will stand-by to assist with route clearance if requested - not allowed to transport or handle election materials Muthanna Muthanna PC Phase V Phase I Phase II Phase III Phase IV Ed Carr, Interagency SME COINSOC UNCLASSIFIED

  7. COINSOC UNCLASSIFIED Elections Supreme Security Council (ESSC) • Mandated by the Prime Minister (PM) to oversee Elections Security • Chairman- LTG Ayden (Deputy MoI) • Secretary- IHEC Field Security Manager • Subcommittee members- MoI, MoD, IGFC, PAO, MoIntel, PMNOC • USF-I Representative • Security plan • Provides guidance and directives to ministries involved in elections security • Defines USF-I support role • Draft plan reviewed and undergoing further staffing • Support from USF-I identified by ESSC • Provide support to Iraqi forces • Provide support to the security plan and ISF stationed at the disputed areas • Provide and exchange intelligence information with GoI Intel and Security agencies • Provide support to UN Monitors & International Observer teams • All items provided as requested and IAW Security Agreement Ed Carr, Interagency SME COINSOC UNCLASSIFIED 7

  8. COINSOC UNCLASSIFIED Draft Tasks to USDs • Continue partnered Full Spectrum Ops with ISF to disrupt VEN and FT&F ability to impact elections process and formation of new government. • Advise and Assist ISF, as requested • Election Site Security • Security Plan Rehearsals • Logistical Support Requirements • Vulnerability Assessments of key IHEC/GEO facilities • Elections Intelligence Surveillance Plan • Participate in Governorate level ESSC sub-committees • Provide ISF with enabler support • BPT monitor ballot material movements and provide route clearance, as requested • Provide support to UN, USEMB and other approved International Observer teams USF-ISupport IAW the Security Agreement Ed Carr, Interagency SME COINSOC UNCLASSIFIED 8

  9. COINSOC UNCLASSIFIED International Observer Support • Background – 2009 Provincial Elections effort • Approx 300 international observers were supported during 2009 Provincial Elections • Consisted of US, European Union, UNAMI, Arab League and various Missions • US Department of State made up the majority of observers • 20,000 domestic observers and political observers were present • European Union designated a coordinator for the Observer efforts • Expected Support Levels • US – 25 Teams (4 pax each); Goal: at least one per province • UN – 14 Teams (4 pax each) • EU – 10 pax (electoral assessment team); Irbil, Baghdad, & Basrah; est 80 each monitors • Support Anticipated • Security support • Transportation (Ground / Air) ; combined effort between USF-I and DoS RSO • Life Support at FOBs • Support to last approx 8 days (pre SNV to post general election day period) • US teams will have 2-3 RSO members accompany each team • UN teams will provide PSDs but need US military movement teams (MMTs) Awaiting further USG guidance on specific locations Ed Carr, Interagency SME COINSOC UNCLASSIFIED

  10. UNCLASSIFIED Election Smart Card Service-member Info Only SERVICEMEMBER INFORMATION CARD SERVICEMEMBER INFORMATION CARD • OVERVIEW • The January 2010 Elections will allows the Iraqi people to vote for the Council of Representatives (CoR). The last CoR election was held in 2005. • The MNF-I Commander’s number 1 priority is to ensure the people of Iraq have the security environment needed to execute their own credible and legitimate elections that are accepted both domestically and internationally. • The Independent High Electoral Commission of Iraq (IHEC) is the lead GoI agency for all election matters and the UN Assistance Mission, Iraq (UNAMI) is the lead international agency assisting with the conduct of the election process. • The US Embassy-Baghdad is the lead US Government agency for any electoral support to UNAMI and IHEC. • REPORTING REQUIREMENTS Report to your chain-of-command the following: • Events that may interfere with the conduct of credible and legitimate election process • Threats or acts of intimidation against ISF, IHEC officials, election workers, district and provincial officials, candidates, or NGOs • Political gatherings, voter education activities, campaigning activities, and media events • Any assistance requested and/or given to GoI/ISF with election preparations • DO • DO be absolutely NEUTRAL in all matters relating to elections • DO continue to follow all Force Protection rules • DO review Standing Rules of Engagement • DO follow Unit SOPs regarding contact with the media • DO direct Iraqi citizens to the appropriate election offices for election related queries and/or complaints • IHEC National Call Center Numbers (Toll Free): Mobile # is 7777 and Landline #s are 743-2516, 743-2518, or 743-2519 • DON’T • DON’T appear to favor or dislike any Iraqi parties or candidates (remain neutral) • DON’T attempt to teach Iraqis about their electoral process • (Iraqis will teach other Iraqis) • DON’T enter into “political” debates about elections • DON’T interfere with peaceful Iraqi political gatherings • DON’T interfere with media coverage • DON’T distribute, produce, or help procure election or voter education materials UNCLASSIFIED Ed Carr, Interagency SME COINSOC

  11. February March Jun Aug Sept Jul December May April January UNCLASSIFIED IO Support to Elections Shaping Main Effort Sustaining Seating of Government HPA Window HPA Window Elections CoR First Session Speaker Negotiations CoR Elects President PM Nominated PM, CoM Sworn in Certification of Results Elections level of effort • Promote peaceful seating of • government • Mitigate negative perceptions from election results • Influence Iraqis to reject foreign meddling/influence in elections • Influence populace to act IAW values • Enhance sense of security • Encourage participation in election process • Promote objective values • Promote loyalty to Iraq Key Tasks • Success of Elections • Peaceful transition of power • Democracy allows dialogue to resolve differences • Iraqi pride and self-confidence • Iraqi electoral system success • Candidates need to be judged IAW values • Iraq will not be a client state • Iraqis will choose their leaders • The ISF is capable Themes • Highlight Iranian malign/strategic goals • Expose IRGC-QF activities in Iraq • Expose Iranian proxies Balancing Iranian Influence • Public “Call For Action” (Report suspicious activities/individuals) • Promote ISF successes and GOI democratic practices • Criminalize and Discredit Violent Extremist FT&F AQI/VBIED UNCLASSIFIED

  12. UNCLASSIFIED Elections and Transfer of Power Timeline 2010 MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP Ramadan & Eid 1 2 5 6 7 4 3 Seated President’s Term New President’s Term CoR Term New CoR Members’ Term New CoM Seated Prime Minister & CoM Continue Responsibilities IHEC sets certification timetable Estimated 30 Days Estimated 30 Days Maximum 30 Days 15 Days Maximum 30 Days National Elections 7 MAR Supreme Court Certifies Results (Day 45) – 23APR CoR Elects President (Day 135) – 22 JUL PM Picks COM (Day 180) – 5 SEP 1 5 3 2 4 PM, COM Sworn In Soon after 5 SEP Former President convenes CoR CoR First Session – Speaker Negotiations (Day 75) – 23 MAY PM Nominated (Day 150) – 6 AUG National Holidays • Liberation Day 9 Apr • Labor Day 1 May • Death of 10th Imam 15 Jun • Birth of 12th Imam 26 Jul • Start of Ramadan 11 Aug Speaker Elected (Day 105) – 22 JUN Constitutional Mandate • While the Constitutional provisions for seating the government are sequential, the newly seated CoR can negotiate key positions simultaneously as witnessed in 2006. The President must be named before PM, but the Speaker selection is flexible. • In 2006, the President & the PM were named before the Speaker, yet all 3 positions were named in a week approximately 5 months after the election. • The Prime Minister & his CoM are the continuity of the government during transition • Military & bureaucracy as key institutions to facilitate transfer of democratic authority UNCLASSIFIED Ed Carr, Interagency SME COINSOC 12

  13. UNCLASSIFIED 15 Dec 05 – National Parliamentary Elections 20 Jan 06 – Elections Results 31 Jan 09 – Provincial Elections 10 Feb 09 Election Results 30 Jan 05 – Provincial Elections 13 Feb 05 Election Results All Attacks During Elections3 Weeks Before Elections – 3 Weeks After Election Results Includes IED F/C Source: SIGACTS III DB CF and HN Reporting Date of Info: 01 Jan 2010 Ed Carr, Interagency SME COINSOC UNCLASSIFIED

  14. COINSOC UNCLASSIFIED Questions? Ed Carr, Interagency SME COINSOC UNCLASSIFIED

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