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CLIMATE CHANGES ISSUES AFFECTING IRISH INDUSTRY Interim briefing 12 March 2003

CLIMATE CHANGES ISSUES AFFECTING IRISH INDUSTRY Interim briefing 12 March 2003. Kyoto Five Years On. Kyoto Protocol history in brief Targets for EU countries Protocol ratification – are we there yet? How is EU doing? How is Ireland doing? Fiona Murray.

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CLIMATE CHANGES ISSUES AFFECTING IRISH INDUSTRY Interim briefing 12 March 2003

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  1. CLIMATE CHANGES ISSUES AFFECTING IRISH INDUSTRY Interim briefing 12 March 2003

  2. Kyoto Five Years On • Kyoto Protocol history in brief • Targets for EU countries • Protocol ratification – are we there yet? • How is EU doing? • How is Ireland doing? Fiona Murray

  3. Update on Negotiated Energy Agreement Pilot Programme • Introduction and context • Pilot project details • The role of audits • Progress and next steps Peter Brabazon

  4. Climate Change Measures • What’s in store for Irish industry? Brian Motherway

  5. KYOTO - FIVE YEARS ON Fiona Murray 12 March 2003

  6. Contents • Kyoto Protocol history in brief • Targets for EU countries • Protocol ratification – are we there yet? • How is EU doing? • How is Ireland doing?

  7. History • Oct 1990 EU committed to holding 2000 CO2 emissions to 1990 levels, formalised UNFCCC June 1992 • 1997 Kyoto Protocol to UNFCCC set up to control industrialised countries’ emissions, EU responsible for 24% GHGs • “Burden-sharing” agreement aimed at ensuring EU meets overall 8% reduction under Kyoto • Expressed as legally binding percentage changes for each country

  8. Targets for EU and other major players

  9. EU & Worldwide Targets • What are the relative percentage contributions from each player?

  10. Total CO2 emissions of Annex 1 parties in 1990 (part 1)

  11. Total CO2 emissions of Annex 1 parties in 1990 (part 2)

  12. Total CO2 emissions of Annex 1 parties in 1990 (part 3)

  13. Rules for Ratification • The rules for entry into force of the Kyoto Protocol require 55 Parties to the Convention to ratify (or approve, accept, or accede to) the Protocol, including Annex I Parties accounting for 55% of that group’s carbon dioxide emissions in 1990. (See Article 25 of the Protocol)

  14. Ratification progress • Dec 2002 Canada made 100th ratification • Japan and EU already ratified • Only now requires Russian Federation to ratify to bring Protocol into force • Australia and US have stated they will not join

  15. If they ratify

  16. If they ratify

  17. Kyoto Mechanisms • Joint Implementation – Emission Reduction Units (ERUs) • Clean Development Mechanisms – Certified Emissions Reductions (CERs) • Emissions Trading - Assigned Amount Units (AAUs) • The Registry system

  18. EU Progress • "The situation is now that the EU is slightly less than half way towards reaching the target, with just over half of the time gone before the Protocol’s first compliance period starts in 2008.“ Domingo Jiménez-Beltrán EEA Executive Director Dec 2002

  19. Reported Progress • EU reached CO2 stabilisation target despite upturn in greenhouse gas emissions (reported mid-2002 for 2000 figures) • Total CO2 emissions from the 15 EU Member States were 0.5% lower in 2000 than 10 years earlier • However, EU emissions of CO2 and other greenhouse gases rose between 1999 and 2000 • CO2 accounts for around 80% of the EU’s total greenhouse gas emissions • In 2000 total EU GHG emissions stood 3.5% below 1990 level while in 1999 they had been 3.8% lower

  20. Total EU Greenhouse Gas Emissions in Relation to the Kyoto Target

  21. Individual Country Progress • How are EU members progressing individually?

  22. Greenhouse gas emission trends and Kyoto Protocol targets for 2008-2012

  23. Distance-to-target (DTI) for EU Member States in 2000 (Kyoto Protocol and EU burden sharing targets)

  24. Ireland’s Target By period 2008-20012 • EU committed to reduction of 8% from 1990 levels • Ireland allowed increase of 13% from 1990 levels • “Do nothing” scenario projects increase to 37% • Already Ireland is over 29% above 1990 levels • Amongst worse three performers in Europe • Substantial penalties if target not met • Essential to arrest this continued growth and reverse the process

  25. +56% +157% +76% +19% +36% Projected CO2 emissions (Green Paper) Ireland’s target: +13% over 1990 MTCO2E

  26. Government Policy • Green Paper on Sustainable Energy [1999] • National Development Plan [2000 – 2006] • National Climate Change Strategy [2000] • Programme for Government [2002] • Policy Drivers: Kyoto Security of Supply Environment Market Liberalisation Targets for RE & CHP Competitiveness

  27. LIEN contribution  If LIEN members had not implemented energy saving projects; • Energy consumption would have been 285 GWh higher in a “business as usual” scenario • In environmental terms, this is equates to a savings of 120,000 tonnes CO2

  28. KYOTO - FIVE YEARS ON Fiona Murray 12 March 2003

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