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FMANZ gratefully acknowledges the support of our Gold Sponsors

Learn about the current state of the electricity sector and how it may impact your decisions. Discover strategies for controlling consumption and managing price volatility. This presentation is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.

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FMANZ gratefully acknowledges the support of our Gold Sponsors

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  1. FMANZ gratefully acknowledges the support of our Gold Sponsors

  2. NZ Electricity Market - Where to Next? Mike RoanWholesale Markets ManagerMeridian Energy 13 September 2012

  3. The information provided in this presentation is provided for education and informational purposes only. The information is not intended to be and does not constitute financial advice. It is general in nature and is not specific to you, your business or anyone else. You should not make any decision based on this information (financial or otherwise) without undertaking independent due diligence or seeking your own independent financial or other professional advice. 3

  4. Recap – Other Seminars At previous seminars we combined messages: prices have risen by ~5 per cent since 2000 prices will continue to rise (and can be volatile) we can control the way we use electricity in order to manage cost we can also contract out of exposure to price volatility Take Out: Controlling electricity consumption while contracting out of price volatility will become increasingly valuable to you 4

  5. This Time This time: what is going on in the electricity sector that might be of interest how may this impact you and decisions you make? 5

  6. MED electricity price forecasts remain the same – prices are likely to rise NZ Wholesale Electricity Price Forecast 6 Source: MED Energy Outlook - www.med.govt.nz/sectors-industries/energy/energy-modelling/modelling/new-zealands-energy-outlook

  7. However, there are some cross winds to be aware of: the global economy is weak NZ electric demand is weak reasonable levels of supply (absent hydro shortage) Cross Winds 7

  8. Since 2007, NZ electric demand has been reasonably static The drivers of flat demand are well documented low inflows in 2008 (where consumers were asked to conserve), the global financial crisis, NZAS transformer failure, the Christchurch earthquake and improved energy intensity by consumers Cross Winds – NZ Electric Demand Static Demand Source: Meridian 8

  9. Cross Winds – NZ Electric Demand • Looking forward, much of the above uncertainty continues to exist • ongoing global economic instability and more local impacts are expected to remain • NZAS & Norske Skog announcements are indicators of difficulty that is possibly widespread • This graph includes ~2,000GWh of new supply being added over the next three years Forecast demand growth 9

  10. Offsetting all of the above is hydro fuel availability (inflow volatility) NZ electricity prices largely a function of hydro storage (unlike other countries) Offsets - Issues to be Aware of 10 Source: Meridian

  11. NZ wholesale electricity prices reflect hydro storage capacity Recent Events – NZEM 11 Source: Meridian

  12. Some of our competitors will have big decisions to make Genesis has said it will shut two Huntly units – one in 2012 and one in 2014 Contact is considering repowering its Otahuhu station And there are some very specific challenges to overcome Transpower is completing a number of large transmission upgrades in the near term Genesis is relining the Tekapo canal NZAS request to renegotiate contractual terms (approx 12% of NZ demand) Offsets - Issues to be Aware of 12 Source: Meridian

  13. Major Projects and Timelines Reinforce Auckland consumption - November 2012 Taupo Grid Strengthening - Late 2014 Lower NI Upgrading - 5+ years away 1000MW HVDC Upgrade - February 2013 Tekapo Canal Relining - Jan through April 2013 Lower SI Renewable Upgrade - Stage 1: November 2012 - Stage 2: March 2014

  14. My role is to manage these issues for Meridian More importantly, what do they mean for you? 14

  15. What Does it Mean for You? there are some cross currents for electricity prices • they are still likely to increase some of the specific risks in the near term may result in some volatility • the next 6 months include major transmission upgrade works • contracts provide relief from volatility – both specific risk and hydrology contract duration should match your business risk profile continue hunting down waste regardless 15

  16. Managing Electricity in Your BusinessThe Essentials 16

  17. First things first – Site Type? Non-Half Hourly Time of Use Two types of site in the electricity world 17 * Threshold varies by Network

  18. What charges are included in a bill? Energy (Wholesale purchase + Retailer) Network (Network company e.g. Vector) There are two major cost components:

  19. Variable Pricing Energy component subject to change (30 days notice) Network charges change when those companies change their rates No price certainty. This is the default or ‘Do Nothing’ option Fixed Energy Plan The Energy component of your rate is fixed – typically for 2-3 yrs As above, Network charges change Gives you significant (but not quite complete) price certainty Select a specific tariff for your needs Options are determined by metering configuration Metering changes can enable savings Options differ by network Examples include Day/Night/Weekend tariffs ‘Controlled’ rates Seasonality in some networks Your Pricing Options – Non Half Hourly Main Message: Talk to an expert 19

  20. Fixed Price (with Variable Volume) Meridian calls this “Easiplan” – it is the most common contract Provides price certainty and insulates you from spot market fluctuations Pricing is ‘shaped’ so that different rates apply at different times Spot Pricing This is 100% exposure to the wholesale market (incl. Admin fee) Expect significant variability in the price you pay each month Proportional Pricing Mixture of Fixed Price and Spot Select % you want fixede.g. 80% fixed price, 20% on spot market More complex options Spot supply with Contracts for Differences (CFDs or Hedges) Your Pricing Options – Time of Use Main Message: Talk to an expert 20

  21. Two primary ways to manage your budget Enter into a Supply Agreement Define what you are looking for in a supplier and ask Retailers to respond Use competition to get the best outcome for you Choose a supplier that will add value (we of course think there is only one) 2. Take Control of your electricity consumption Request data from your retailer or use their on-line tools (Business On Line) Eliminate waste! Consider undertaking an energy audit Take advantage of pricingdifferentialse.g. night vs. day rates Meridian customers, talk to one of ourAccount Managers. Managing Your Electricity Budget We are here to help 21

  22. How much do you spend on electricity per annum and how material is it to you? What is your business’s appetite for price risk? How well do you understand the electricity market – do you need help? Do suppliers values align with yours?e.g. sustainability Are you aware of what Retailers offer beyond of price? (On Line, Electronic Invoicing, payment terms,reporting, account management) If you are considering participating in asupply group, are the group’s requirementsaligned with yours? Supply Agreements: Key Questions for You In the success game – Value always beats Price 22

  23. Take Outs controlling consumption will become increasingly valuable wholesale price volatility reflects the place we live this volatility is not a new feature if you enter into contracts, define what success looks like before you begin use trusted partners to get there and ask for advice on how to structure along the way 23

  24. Getting on the Energy Management CycleImprove your energy wasteline 29 August 2012

  25. Energy Management Cycle Westpac followed all elements of this cycle Getcommitment Control, monitor & report Understand Plan & organise Implement • Quarterly M&T Report & Meeting • Monthly Reporting • e-Smart • Annual Implementation plan • 6 weekly meetings • Manage through Action Plan

  26. Energy Management is about reducing waste Reduce energy use and costs AND not adversely impact the operation of the site. Performance improvements need to be measured in KPI’s. Westpac A/C Focus on making good business decisions – any green benefits are the icing on the cake.

  27. You Need to Measure to Manage Energy management needs commitment Customers should expect a return on investment. Westpac recovers more than $2 for every $1 they have spent on EM. Energy needs to be actively managed Benchmarking and targets identify issues, drive improvement Regular reporting is required - add intelligence to information Action plan implementing cost effective solutions Don’t be scared to spend money on Advice!

  28. Understand Your Site/PortfolioHow Much Energy do I use?How much is it costing me?

  29. How does this site compare? What is a common unit of measure? kWh? FTE’s? Output? What is the trend?How does it compare to similar sites?

  30. How can I as an FM make energy savings? Minimise the energy costs Review the operational requirements of the current tenant Compare against your building plant operating hours Invest in cost-effective improvements Use life-cycle costing Start a structured programme with regular reviews

  31. Reduce energy costs to your site(s) Energy Supply Cost Key information How much has it cost me last year? and What will it cost me next year? Tender for the supply of energy gain best price Always avoid default rates. Our experience: two out of three tenders lead to a change in supplier based usually on price Myth of Security of Supply

  32. Network and line costs Network costs are NOT fixed and NOT only Daily charge Network Optimisation: Review nominated capacity charges (HV) Ensure that you are in the best network load group Check every couple of years! Examples: Food: In Christchurch changed load group on 3 sites with annual savings over $160,000 p.a. School: Increase capacity & change load group, savings $10,000 p.a. Power factor - penalty charges introduced by Vector 2012 Reduce energy costs to your site(s) – Part 2

  33. Impact Having gained the best possible delivered energy price for your site or sites: Any investment decisions can be made based on a solid foundation. Reduce energy costs to your site(s) – Part 3

  34. Where does energy normally get consumed in an office building? 73/20 RULE

  35. Review site operating requirements and current control settings Establish current building system operating requirements What is plant controlling? time clock, security system, BMS What is the time on the controlling system? When is plant set to turn on and off? Review regularly as site operations change. Do not be surprised is time of the time clock or other controls are wrong! “Lazy running” - Daylight savings often see plant running an hour longer than required every day

  36. Reset public Holidays annually • Change for daylight savings 2x p.a. Programme for 5 years GOOD INVESTMENT?

  37. Controller Maintenance in Action Westpac established a set operating schedule for a branch and installed many smart relays to lock this in. Westpac monitors operating times using smart meter energy profile information After Hours baseload Weekend load/profile Public Holiday load/profile

  38. Smart meter energy profile information Waste A/C - 108 hours/week Approx $5,000 p.a.

  39. Smart meter energy profile information

  40. Saving Energy is about Reducing Waste Actively manage control systems Building walk through - outside normal operating hours! Identify controllable loads Identify control options that are cost effective Sensor; time switch; Use existing control system or install new control systems?

  41. Use Life Cycle costing to establish benefit Life cycle costing (LCC) looks at the maintained life of a system over a period of time to provide a more accurate view of the financial benefits of each option. LCC factors in the: Purchase cost; and Energy cost; and Maintenance costs of the system. There are very few energy related opportunities that can be justified on energy reduction alone.

  42. What is not working well in terms of Energy Management A large number of sophisticated control systems are failing to deliver the benefits for the end users REASON: No-one is actively managing these systems. This is a LOSE-LOSE: High OPEX costs increases costs to tenants and reduces value of building. Unless these systems are managed in a continuous and proactive manner there is no financial benefit derived from having them installed. A $100,000 BMS is (often) just an expensive time clock

  43. SOLUTION Use a third party to manage control systems! Removes risk of knowledge being lost when an employee moves on. These “management costs” should form part of the OPEX for the building and be passed through to Tenant(s) in all lease agreements. Financial Benefits will exceed Management costs, reducing OPEX Creates a WIN-WIN

  44. Key areas to focus for low cost benefits Ensure the technology you already have is actively managed Use metering information. Saving 1 kW baseload saves more that 6,000 kWh pa ~ $900 Consider professional help - it will be cost effective! You need to measure to manage. Monitor and report operational savings (energy and other system savings). Use action plans and targets (with regular meetings). The old adage is true - a team works better than an individual

  45. More Information or Assistance If you want further information on this presentation, or assistance with the energy management on your site, please contact: Peter McKeown peter@smartpower.co.nz

  46. Smart Metering – what it means for businesses Thursday 13 September, 2012 Hamish McEwen, Business Marketing Manager Meridian Energy September 2012

  47. Records half-hourly consumption data. Regularly transmits consumption data. Remotely receives meter configuration data. What they are not… A check meter A control device A meter is a meter is a meter, unless it’s a smart meter

  48. Consumption across a week WEEK Consumption during the day DAY The benefits of awareness • Knowing what, how, and when, power is being used provides for the opportunity to make changes. • Performance monitoring • Budgeting

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