1 / 6

Critical Mass as a Viable Framework for Agriculture Negotiations Andrew L. Stoler

Critical Mass as a Viable Framework for Agriculture Negotiations Andrew L. Stoler Institute for International Trade. Critical Mass Trade Agreements. Information Technology Agreement – 1996 CM = 90 percent of world trade in covered products = 40 governments

gillian-thomas
Download Presentation

Critical Mass as a Viable Framework for Agriculture Negotiations Andrew L. Stoler

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript

  1. Critical Mass as a Viable Framework for Agriculture Negotiations Andrew L. Stoler Institute for International Trade

  2. Critical Mass Trade Agreements • Information Technology Agreement – 1996 • CM = 90 percent of world trade in covered products = 40 governments • Financial Services Negotiations – 1997 • CM = 70 governments • Basic Telecom Services Negotiations – 1997 • CM = 91 percent of telecom revenues = 69 governments

  3. Potential for Critical Mass Agreements in Agriculture Trade * No double counting of countries that export & import. WTO Members in ( ).

  4. Characteristics of a CMA • Opt – in Agreement • Scope: Market Access & Subsidies • MFN Applicability • Bound in WTO Schedules ? • Subject to DSU ? By Who ?

  5. Change in Net Welfare, $US Millions (2006): Simulation using the ATPS Trade Model * By itself, Brazil realizes important net welfare gains in all scenarios modelled.

  6. NO Need to balance agriculture negotiations with NAMA & Services Multi-speed WTO and unacceptable free riders Comparative advantage in agriculture not distributed along developed and developing country lines YES Nothing in CMA for agriculture makes other negotiations impossible Current draft modalities produce multi-speed WTO and free riders Need to abandon purely mercantilist view and look at total national economic welfare CMA politically viable for agriculture?

More Related