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China’s Increased Trade and Investment in South Asia (Spoiler Alert: It’s The Economy)

China’s Increased Trade and Investment in South Asia (Spoiler Alert: It’s The Economy). Emily Brunjes , Nicholas Levine, Miriam Palmer, and Addison Smith. FOCUS COUNTRIES. Background. Hambantota deep seaport, Sri Lanka . Overview . Background . Econometric Analysis Trade

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China’s Increased Trade and Investment in South Asia (Spoiler Alert: It’s The Economy)

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  1. China’s Increased Trade and Investment in South Asia (Spoiler Alert: It’s The Economy) Emily Brunjes, Nicholas Levine, Miriam Palmer, and Addison Smith

  2. FOCUS COUNTRIES

  3. Background Hambantotadeep seaport, Sri Lanka

  4. Overview • Background • Econometric Analysis • Trade • Direct Investment • Qualitative Analysis • Big Projects • Future Trends • Conclusion

  5. Background Focus Countries’ Trade with China, 2003-2011

  6. Background Focus Countries’ Trade: China vs. India Exports Imports

  7. Background Imports from China vs. India, 2011

  8. Background Focus Countries’ Exports to China vs. India, 2011

  9. Background Chinese Outward Direct Investment (ODI) Flow to Focus Countries, 2003-2011

  10. Background Sri Lanka Total FDI Inflow, 2003-2011 Sri Lanka Inward FDI Stock: China’s Share, 2003-2011

  11. Background Focus Countries’ Inward FDI Stock: China vs. India

  12. Econometric Analysis Trade

  13. Econometric Analysis Trade

  14. Econometric Analysis Trade Expected vs Actual Trade Flows

  15. Econometric Analysis Direct Investment

  16. Econometric Analysis Direct Investment

  17. Econometric Analysis Direct Investment

  18. Qualitative Analysis Big Projects

  19. Future Trends Direct Investment Nepal Sri Lanka

  20. Future Trends Exports Bangladesh Nepal

  21. Future Trends Exports Maldives

  22. It’s the Economy • Trade within normal range • Direct investment below expected • Big projects mainly economic • Future trends show India ahead

  23. Going Forward

  24. Acknowledgments • U.S. Government Office of South Asia Policy • Dr. Melanie Manion, Vilas-Jordan Distinguished Achievement Professor of Public Affairs and Political Science • Dr. Mark Copelovitch, Professor of Public Affairs and Political Science • Dr. Jon Pevehouse, Professorof Political Science and Public Affairs • Dr. Menzie Chinn, Professor of Public Affairs and Economics • Dr. QianXingwang of State University of New York at Buffalo

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