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CRASH COURSE Koreksi dalam UpTrend Mengintip area CRASH sebagai Buy Area. www.V-trader.net www.InvestorSaham.com By . Santo Vibby. History always repeat it’self.
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CRASH COURSEKoreksidalamUpTrendMengintip area CRASH sebagai Buy Area www.V-trader.net www.InvestorSaham.com By . Santo Vibby By. Santo Vibby - www.v-trader.net - This presentation is for internal use, please do not distribute
History always repeat it’self • DalamperjalananJSX, seringkitatemuimajor crash seperti yang sedangterjadisaatini. Masing-masingmempunyaipola historical yang selaluberulang-ulangdengansama. • Data berikutdiambildarimusim bullish ygdimulaithn 2003 setelahkrisisekonomi, namunsayamenggunakan data darithn 2005 hingga 2007 sebelumakhirnyasiklus Major Correction 10 thnterjadipadathn 2008 By. Santo Vibby - www.v-trader.net - This presentation is for internal use, please do not distribute
2005 • JSX Thn 2005 : • Major Crash : August – Oct ( ± 3 months) Penurunan : 21 % dalam 17 hari/candle bars Level tertinggi 1195, Level terendah 951 Spread points : -244 points • Setelahkonsolidasi 3 bulan, recovery mencapai all time high nyadalam : 6 bulan By. Santo Vibby - www.v-trader.net - This presentation is for internal use, please do not distribute
Siklus 2 Siklus 3 Siklus 2 By. Santo Vibby - www.v-trader.net - This presentation is for internal use, please do not distribute
2006 • JSX Thn 2006 : • Major Crash : Jun – August (± 3 months) • Penurunan : 21 % dalam 22 hari/candle bars • Level tertinggi 1542, Level terendah1222 • Spread points : -320 points • Setelahkonsolidasi 3 bulan, recovery mencapai all time high nyadalam : 5 bulan By. Santo Vibby - www.v-trader.net - This presentation is for internal use, please do not distribute
Siklus 2 Crash Siklus 2 By. Santo Vibby - www.v-trader.net - This presentation is for internal use, please do not distribute
2007 • JSX AwalThn 2007 : • Major Crash : January – Maret (± 3 months) • Penurunan : 11 % dalam 22 hari/candle bars • Level tertinggi 1843, Level terendah 1627 • Spread points : -216 points • Setelahkonsolidasi 3 bulan, recovery mencapaiall time high nyadalam : 4 bulan By. Santo Vibby - www.v-trader.net - This presentation is for internal use, please do not distribute
Siklus 2 Crash Siklus 2 By. Santo Vibby - www.v-trader.net - This presentation is for internal use, please do not distribute
2007 • JSX AkhirThn 2007 (hingga 16 August ‟07) • Major Crash : August – diperkirakanhingga October (± 3 months) • Penurunan : 22.5 % dalam 17 hari/candle bars Level tertinggi 2401, Level terendah1863 • Spread points : -538 points • Setelahkonsolidasihampir 1 bulansaja, recovery mencapaiall time high nyadalam : 4 bulan By. Santo Vibby - www.v-trader.net - This presentation is for internal use, please do not distribute
Siklus 4 Crash Siklus 2 Resesi By. Santo Vibby - www.v-trader.net - This presentation is for internal use, please do not distribute
2009 • Gimana ?? • Historikalmengacupadaawal bullish di 2003 • Kesempatanuntukmengumpulkansaham-sahamgratis • dll By. Santo Vibby - www.v-trader.net - This presentation is for internal use, please do not distribute
Super Bullish 5 thn Siklus 2 History repeating By. Santo Vibby - www.v-trader.net - This presentation is for internal use, please do not distribute
KESIMPULAN • Major crash akanterjadidalam rata-rata selama 3 bulan • Crash bukanlah Downtrend, tapimerupakankoreksiuntukhargamenyesuaikandenganperkembangansetelah rally sekian lama • Penurunandarititiktertinggiketitikterendahakanberkisarselama 17-22 haritransaksi. • Spread penurunanbervariasi, namunkejatuhanberkisarpada rata2 12%-25% untukkelas major crash • Setelahkonsolidasiselama 3 bulansecarasideways dalam range lebar, biasanyaakanmencapai level all time high selanjutnyadalamkisaranwaktu 4-6 bulankemudian. • Manfaatinarea crash sebagai moment sebagaipeluanguntuk hit jackpot By. Santo Vibby - www.v-trader.net - This presentation is for internal use, please do not distribute