ClearSky Reruns for Accomplished Agricultural Burning by Automated FETS Access
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ClearSky Reruns for Accomplished Agricultural Burning by Automated FETS Access. Presented by: Brian Lamb, WSU-LAR Contributors: Andrew Fink, Pennsylvania State University and WSU-LAR Summer REU Fellow; Joe Vaughan WSU-LAR Jen Hinds, WSU-LAR Ray Peterson, Pasayten Consulting

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ClearSky Reruns for Accomplished Agricultural Burning by Automated FETS Access

Presented by: Brian Lamb, WSU-LAR

Contributors:

Andrew Fink, Pennsylvania State University and WSU-LAR Summer REU Fellow;

Joe Vaughan WSU-LAR

Jen Hinds, WSU-LAR

Ray Peterson, Pasayten Consulting

2009 FETS Project Meeting

Boise, ID, August 31--Sept 1, 2009


Standard Overnight Run of the ClearSky Ag-Burn Smoke Dispersion Modeling Decision Support System

  • Ag-burn scenarios:

  • defaults

  • web-submitted by users

IC/BC (GFS)

landuse

terrain

Hybrid emissions generation

MCIP

CALMET

reformatter

WRF

CALPUFF

MCIP

Met files

CALMET

Met files

Met Forecast

Web-served PM2.5

plume animations


Clearsky use evaluation
ClearSky Use & Evaluation Dispersion Modeling Decision Support System

  • ClearSky runs nightly with default emission scenarios and/or with user submitted scenarios

    • Emission scenarios are potential burns (may have little to do with the next day’s reality)

  • Previous evaluations have been post-burn season

    • Compilation of accomplished burns

    • Compilation of available PM2.5 ambient observations

    • Rerun of ClearSky for each burn day for the season

    • Analysis of model results and observations

    • A very labor intensive process, hampered by inconsistent methods for identifying accomplished burns

  • FETS offers a new way to approach ClearSky Evaluation

    • Rapid (Automated) access to accomplished burns

    • Automated access to AIRNOW PM2.5 observations

    • Automated processing each day to develop performance statistics


Accomplished Burn Rerun of ClearSky using FETS Dispersion Modeling Decision Support System

Accomplished Burn Acquisition for previous day

WRAP/

FETS

Database

EPA/STI

AIRNow

Gateway

Hybrid emissions generation

Access AIRNow PM2.5 for Sites

CALMET

Met files

CALPUFF

Web-served

Predicted vs. Observed

PM2.5 Plots

Web-served PM2.5

plume animations

New version of

Web-served PM2.5

plume animations

Scenario PM2.5 results


Monitoring data for PM2.5 for comparison to ClearSky CALPUFF PM2.5 results is obtained via the AIRNow gateway


Currently, access for FETS agricultural burns is interactive.

Automated FETS access is eagerly anticipated!

Emissions used to rerun CALPUFF


Example interactive.

Left: ClearSky image for a model re-run for July 19, 2009. The Kamiah, ID PM2.5 station is marked “x”.

Below: line plot of modeled and observed PM2.5


Summary

Summary interactive.

In this project, we attempt to provide burn coordinators with a way to retrospectively compare ClearSky PM2.5 results for accomplished agricultural burns against PM2.5 observations retrieved from EPA's AIRNow database.

This prototype system accesses accomplished burns, submitted by the Nez Perce Tribe, from the WRAP Fire Emissions Tracking System (FETS) and uses these to generate ClearSky scenarios to model.

Our goal is to improve how well ClearSky can support agricultural-burning decisions. Automated re-simulation of accomplished ag burns will build a database of well-matched simulated and observed results for use in improving ClearSky and in improving user confidence.


Thanks for your attention
Thanks for your attention interactive.!

Acknowledgments:

  • Matt Mavko at Air Sciences Inc., for help accessing WRAP-FETS.

  • SIMILE Widgets and Google, for software.

  • Project support by the National Science Foundation's REU program.


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