Econ 240 C. Lecture 12. The Big Picture. Exploring alternative perspectives Exploratory Data Analysis Looking at components Trend analysis Forecasting long term Distributed lags Forecasting short term. Schedule 6. Schedule 9. The story based on a bivariate distributed lag model. 07-08.
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Econ 240 C
The story based on a bivariate distributed lag model
Another Story Based On a Univariate ARIMA Model
Dlnucbud (07-08) = 0.046
Dlnucbudf(07-08) = 0.0452
Dlnucbud(07-08) = 0.0696
Estimate ARONE Model for dlncapy
Fitted fractional change in UC Budget is 0.032 (3.2%)versus
Governor’s proposal of 0.033 (3.3%)