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State of the Confectionery Industry. State of the Confectionery Industry. Second half growth carries category. Retail Sales – IRI 52 Weeks June 16+1.1%. December 28+2.2%. Manufacturers YTD Shipments June 30-3.1% Lbs.+1.4% $. December 31-0.5% Lbs+3.2% $.

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State of the Confectionery Industry

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State of the confectionery industry

State of the Confectionery Industry


State of the confectionery industry

State of the Confectionery Industry

Second half growth carries category

Retail Sales – IRI 52 Weeks

June 16+1.1%

December 28+2.2%

Manufacturers YTD Shipments

June 30-3.1% Lbs.+1.4% $

December 31-0.5% Lbs+3.2% $


2003 retail confectionery sales

2003 Retail Confectionery Sales

  • Total$24.8 Billion

  • Chocolate$13.5 Billion

  • Non-Chocolate$7.6 Billion

  • Gum$3.0 Billion

    NCA Estimates base on U.S. Dpt. Of Commerce 311D Report


Candy gum retail performance

Candy & Gum Retail Performance

2003200220012000

Total Candy & Gum+2.2%+1.5%+2.9%+3.3%

Supermarkets+3.0+1.7%+1.5%+2.4%

Mass & Wal-Mart+0.9%-0.8%+6.7%+6.3%

Drug Stores+4.4%+5.3%+0.8%+0.3%

Convenience+5.5%+3.5%+6.1%+7.3%

IRI $ Sales as of 12/28/03


Candy gum retail performance1

Candy & Gum Retail Performance

2003 Sales Results

Category52 Week52 Week

$ Sales% Change

Chocolate$5.5 billion+ 1.7%

Non –Chocolate$3.3 billion+1.8%

Gum$1.2 billion+5.5%

Total Candy and Gum$10.0 billion+2.2%

IRI $ Sales as of 12/28/03 FDM&W


Trade class 2003 growth

Trade Class 2003 Growth

Channel$ Sales% Growth

Supermarkets$4.3+3.0%

Convenience Stores$3.9+5.5%

Drug Stores$2.1+4.4%

Wal-Mart$2.4+3.5%

Mass X Wal-Mart$1.2-4.4%

Warehouse Clubs$4.0*+4.0%

Dollar Stores$.7*+7.0%


Seasonal confectionery trends

Seasonal Confectionery Trends

2003 2002 20012000 1999 1998

VALENTINE’S-7.6%+6.5%-0.5% +4.7% -2.1% +7.9%

EASTER +2.2%-2.2%-2.4% +11.0% -0.1% +10.5%

HALLOWEEN +0.7%-0.4%+0.2%+4.7%+6.1% +4.6%

CHRISTMAS-1.4%-3.0%+0.7% +1.7% -0.8% -2.9%

* IRI FD&M


Candy gum retail performance2

Candy & Gum Retail Performance

2003 Sales Results 12/28/03

Confectionery+2.2%

Chocolate+1.7%

Everyday Sales+4.3%

Seasonal Sales-2.7%

Non-Chocolate+5.1%

Everyday Sales+5.1%

Seasonal Sales-3.2%

Breath Fresheners-10.6%

Gum+5.5%

IRI $ Sales as of 12/28/03 FDM&W


Non chocolate

Breath Fresheners

2003-10.6%

2002-6.8%

2001-8.6%

* $91 million

* 3% of Non-Choc

Non-Chocolate

Non-Choc

Per Capita

Year

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

9.4

10.2

10.2

10.8

11.3

12.0

12.3

12.2

11.4

11.2

10.0

9.9

Hard Candy

$50 million

Soft/Chewy Candy

$180 million

Chocolate -even


Candy and gum ranked 3rd among 2003 food categories

Candy and Gum Ranked 3rdAmong 2003 Food Categories

+8.5%

IRI Food, Drug & Mass

Excluding Wal-Mart 12/28/03


Candy and gum ranked 1st among 2003 snack categories

Candy and Gum Ranked 1st Among 2003 Snack Categories

IRI Food, Drug & Mass

Excluding Wal-Mart 12/28/03


Candy gum 2003 manufacturer performance

Candy & Gum 2003 Manufacturer Performance

Domestic Production and Imports

December 31, 2003

$ Lbs. % Change

BillionsBillions $Lbs.

Total Confectionery $16.2 7.1 +5.2%+3.0%

Chocolate Candy $9.3 3.4 +6.4% +1.2%

Non-Chocolate Candy $5.0 3.0 +4.0% +5.3%

Gum $1.9 0.5 +3.6% +3.2%

U.S. Department of Commerce Data


Candy gum 2003 manufacturer performance1

Candy & Gum 2003 Manufacturer Performance

Domestic Production Only

December 31, 2003

$ Lbs. % Change

BillionsBillions $Lbs.

Total Confectionery $15.5 6.2 +3.2%-0.5%

Chocolate Candy $8.9 3.3 +4.8% -0.2%

Non-Chocolate Candy $4.3 2.3 +1.4%-0.3%

Gum $1.7 0.4 +1.3%+0.8%

U.S. Department of Commerce Data


Non chocolate import growth

Non-Chocolate Import Growth

Non-Choc.Non-Choc.Non-Choc.Non-ChocNon-Choc

Retail NCA/CMAImport ImportsImports %

YearGrowth %ShipmentsGrowth %% of Totalof US Production

*2003+1.8%-0.3%+21.3%30.1%40.1%

2002+0.3%-5.5%+15.2%26.7%33.4%

2001+0.9%-1.2%+10.4%21.0%24.4%

2000+3.2%-4.3%+9.9%19.2%21.8%

1999+5.8%-3.3%+19.3%17.1%19.6%

1998+6.3%-1.1%+17.7%13.9%14.9%

1997+6.7%+8.8%+7.6%11.7%12.4%

1996+7.6%+5.8%+8.5%10.7%11.4%

  • 2003 Estimates

  • 2002 U.S. Department of Commerce


Confectionery imports exports

Confectionery Imports & Exports

CategoryImportsExports

2003 $ Growth2003 $ Growth

Confectionery$1,970 +23.8% $725 +10.3%

Chocolate $633 +28.7% $357 +2.5%

Non-Chocolate $844 +21.35 $215 +14.6%

Gum $159 +24.9%$63 +26.3%

Global Trade Atlas November 2003


Confectionery imports

Confectionery Imports

Trading Partner2003 ShipmentsGrowth

World$1,970+23.8%

Canada$1,002+38.7%

Mexico $250+27.2%

UK $111 - 13.7%

Germany $67 - 3.4%

Brazil $62+68.5%

Belgium $61+19.2%

China $47+15.3%

Netherlands $42+18.0%

Argentina $40 - 9.8%

Switzerland $36 +9.8%

January – November 2003

Sales in $millions


Confectionery exports

Confectionery Exports

Trading Partner2003 ShipmentsGrowth

World$725+10.3%

Canada$348+13.9%

Mexico $102+20.6%

Japan $29 +2.6%

South Korea $27 - 4.8%

UK $20+58.2%

Germany $14+29.3%

Philippines $12- 37.0%

Taiwan $11+28.7%

France $11 +410.6%

China $11 +9.9%

January – November 2003

Sales in $millions


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