Independent review of spp s cost benefit study for the priority transmission projects
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INDEPENDENT REVIEW OF SPP’S COST/BENEFIT STUDY FOR THE PRIORITY TRANSMISSION PROJECTS PowerPoint PPT Presentation


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INDEPENDENT REVIEW OF SPP’S COST/BENEFIT STUDY FOR THE PRIORITY TRANSMISSION PROJECTS. Presented To: SPP Board of Directors/Members Committee Presented By: Craig R. Roach, Ph.D. Boston Pacific Company, Inc. April 27, 2010. OUTLINE. METHODOLOGICAL CONCERNS METHODOLOGICAL FIXES

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INDEPENDENT REVIEW OF SPP’S COST/BENEFIT STUDY FOR THE PRIORITY TRANSMISSION PROJECTS

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INDEPENDENT REVIEW OF SPP’S COST/BENEFIT STUDY FOR THE PRIORITY TRANSMISSION PROJECTS

Presented To:

SPP Board of Directors/Members Committee

Presented By:

Craig R. Roach, Ph.D.

Boston Pacific Company, Inc.

April 27, 2010


OUTLINE

  • METHODOLOGICAL CONCERNS

  • METHODOLOGICAL FIXES

  • RESULTS


I. METHODOLOGICAL CONCERNS

  • With benefits that are here:

    • Jobs benefits from wind

    • Natural gas price decreases

    • With benefits that are not here:

      • Consumer protection against natural gas price increases

      • Consumer protection against high carbon prices


I. METHODOLOGICAL CONCERNS (continued)

  • Isolating transmission benefits from generation

    • Consequence is that it pushes the Board to consider non-traditional benefits


II. METHODOLOGICAL FIXES

  • Intended consequence is to allow greater reliance on traditional benefits

    • Base Case uses current wind capacity (3.7 GW), Change Case 6.9 GW

    • Three alternative natural gas price forecasts

    • Three alternative CO2 prices/taxes


III. RESULTS

  • SPP modeled 6 scenarios for Boston Pacific


III. RESULTS (continued)

  • Two analytical points

    • Higher natural gas prices increase production cost savings


III. RESULTS (continued)

  • CO2 prices decrease production cost savings


III. RESULTS (continued)

  • Additional benefits categories to consider first

    • Reliability

    • Seams

    • Explicit modeling of later years


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