1 / 23

Space Weather Workshop 2008

Space Weather Workshop 2008. AF/A3O-W. Bottom Line Up Front Space Weather Impacts Current Status Space Weather Sensors & Plan Personnel and Training Bottom Line. Overview.

erol
Download Presentation

Space Weather Workshop 2008

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript

  1. Space Weather Workshop 2008 AF/A3O-W

  2. Bottom Line Up Front Space Weather Impacts Current Status Space Weather Sensors & Plan Personnel and Training Bottom Line Overview Air Force working with National Partners to implement a shared course of action to provide timely & actionable space weather support

  3. Bottom Line Up Front • AF focusing on improvements in Space Environment mission area • AFSPC, AF/A3O-S/W, and AF Weather Agency (AFWA) working in partnership to address needs across DoD • Must fully exploit space wx data from existing infrastructure and national/international partners • Formalize space weather training and professional development • A3O-W published initial Space Wx Implementation Plan in Mar 08 • Next Step: AFSPC, A3O-W, A3O-S, 14AF, AFWA, and National Partners conduct IPT to develop end-to-end roadmap for way ahead

  4. BLUF: Space Wx Capability Circa 2017 with investment in DMSP, ACE, SOHO, SOON, and RSTN Follow-ons Space-Based Measurement 1 DMSP/SES* 2 ACE/SOHO FO 3 GOES 4 GPS 5 DSP 6 NPOESS 7 C/NOFS Good ( >75%) Moderate (50-75%) Marginal (25-50%) Little or None (0-25%) Ground-Based Measurement 1 SOON/ISOON 2 RSTN/RSTN II 3 NEXION 4 TEC 5 SCINDA 6 Geomag *SES – Space Environment Sensors as payload on other satellites

  5. Space Weather Operations 2 WS/WXZ Space Wx Product Solar Cycle 24 Halloween storms 2003

  6. Importance of Environment • Space Wx has impacts across the DoD – Satellite Ops, GPS users, comms/radars, etc. • Space environment information critical • Attribution — determine cause of anomaly • Environment considered in all anomaly investigations • Provides information necessary to determine appropriate response • Mitigation — plan around predicted problems • Exploitation — information superiority • Fully understand and adjust to environmental conditions Presidential Policy directly supports needed improvements in current capability for the nation

  7. Space Weather Warfighter Impacts

  8. GPS TEC DMSP/NPOESS GOES ACE RSTN DISS SOON Space Weather Supporting The Warfighter AF uses space weather data from ground- and space-based sensors from AF, NOAA, NASA, and other agency platforms Sensors USGS Magnetometers AF provides space environmental data, analyses, forecasts, and critical strategic-level products to DoD warfighters! Ionospheric Analyses & 24 hour Forecasts HF communications and geolocation error analysis Auroral impact to ops … and more

  9. Current Space Weather Sensors ACE – Provides ~1 hr warning for storming SOHO – Imagery – detects Coronal Mass Ejections GOES – Energetic particles, X-Ray flux and X-Ray images POES/DMSP – LEO space wx ionospheric sensors SEON – Ground-based solar observatories DISS – Ground-based ionospheric measurements TEC – GPS-derived ionospheric measurements }

  10. Current Status • Space-Based Space Wx Sensors • DMSP sunset program, NPOESS Nunn-McCurdy restructure de-manifested space environment sensors -- gap in ~2016 • ACE/SOHO (Advanced Composition Explorer / Solar and Heliospheric Observation) no planned replacement ~ 2016-2018 • Ground-Based Space Wx Sensors • Current sensors need replacement • AFWA & SMC working SLEP (System Lifecycle Extension Program) and modernization • Using some R&D sensors (SCINDA & TEC) for ops – will continue to support • Space Environment Models • AFWA making progress … working to add funding in FY08-15 • AFRL R&D progressing, working funding for transition programs • System Effects Products • AFSPC funding ops software capability; Additional R&D funding needed

  11. Space Weather Roadmap • Must prepare for next Solar Max 2011-12 • Must increase sampling of space environment • Several space weather sensors cut from NPOESS • NASA solar observing satellites (ACE/SOHO) beyond planned life with no replacements • Only a few sensors in radiation belts and at geosynchronous orbit • Upgrade ground-based space weather observing capabilities … current sensors becoming unsupportable • Optical- and radio-telescopes & ionospheric sites • Improve space weather analysis, forecasting, and exploitation … leading to system effects capabilities Convene IPT to further refine end-to-end implementation plans … Follow on to Space Wx Architecture Mtg on 16-18 Apr 08 • Increased Wx Program Line investment • Does not include AFSPC POM increases Plan focused on accelerated delivery of needed capabilities

  12. TED DPU MEPED Thermal Plasma Sensor Space Environment Monitor (SEM) Magnetometer Auroral Particle Detector Ultraviolet Disc Imager Ultraviolet Limb Imager NPOESS De-manifested: DoD Space Env Capabilities Back Side DMSP NPOESS Department of Commerce SEM (particle sensor) is the only Post-Nunn-McCurdy NPOESS SWx sensor

  13. Space-Based Sensor Options NPOESS Mitigation • Space Environmental Sensors proposed by AFSPC • Looking to buy sensors for rides-of-opportunity • Currently working plan and support for funding • Currently enhancing NPOESS space environment monitor (SEM-N) • Communications/Navigation Outage Forecast System (C/NOFS) may provide some support Exploit current satellite systems space wx observing capabilities • GPS and other satellites Advocacy with NOAA, NASA, others (FAA NEXGEN may be viable) • Need partnerships to collect from the rest of the space domain • Need ACE replacement FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY17 NPOESS C1 Launch DMSP Space Weather Sensors NPOESS SEM-N Space Environmental Sensors (NPOESS mitigation)

  14. Ground Sensor Upgrades Ground Based Space Wx Sensors (Ionosphere) • Upgrading aging sensor hardware to meet requirements • Begin Ionosphere sensor improvements in FY08 (NEXION replaces DISS) • Leverage additional ionosondes fielded by National Science Foundation, NOAA, and international partners (From ~30 currently to more than 70) • Continue to use NASA JPL Total Electron Content (TEC) data FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 Finish fielding DISS (Digital Ionospheric Sounding System) NEXION (Next generation Ionosonde) X Begin acquisition & fielding NSF Partnerships – Research initiatives within the Atmospheric Sciences Division

  15. Ground Sensor Upgrades (cont’d) Ground Based Space Wx Sensors (Solar Observing) • Begin optical solar sensor upgrade in FY08 (ISOON replaces SOON) … Complete SLEP of SOON in FY09 for Solar Max • Upgrade components of radio solar sensors to ensure they are operational for solar max (RSTN SLEP) • Begin radio solar sensor R&D in FY09 (RSTN replacement) • Collocate and automated solar observing sites • Leverage telescope networks like NSF GONG and SOLIS to improve capabilities and reduce costs (AFSO-21 initiative) FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 SOON (Solar Optical Observing Network) Improved SOON Startup ? ? ? ? Site Install TBD Site Install San Vito Site Install Holloman Site Install Learmonth Production Prototype NSF Partnerships – Global Oscillations Network Group (GONG) and Synoptic Optical Long-term Investigations of the Sun (SOLIS) RSTN (Radio Solar Telescope Network) RSTN SLEP RSTN Replacement R&D RSTN Replacement Development, Production, and Fielding

  16. Ground-Based Space Wx Sensor OpportunitiesNSF National Science Foundation (NSF) SOLIS GONG Potential for cost sharing of capability

  17. Continue to Partner with NASA, AFRL, NWS & USGS TEC fundamental ionospheric parameter; NASA JPL provides worldwide network SCINDA (Scintillation Network Decision Aid) only source of real-time ionospheric scintillation data Magnetometer data essential to space weather products; feeds NORAD space tracking algorithms ACE Data enables ~ 1 hour forecasts for geomagnetic storming

  18. Modeling and Exploitation S/W Upgrades Modeling/Exploitation • POM investments accelerate space wx analysis, forecasts & exploitation capabilities … important to enhance capabilities • A3O-W increasing investment in Space Weather Analysis and Forecast System (SWAFS) across FY08-15 • AFSPC funding SSA Environmental Effects Fusion System (SEEFS) to provide JSpOC tool set to support ops assessments • Investments provide Models, Apps, Graphics, Data Fusion, & Decision Aids to improve operational space weather support FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 Spiral 2 IOC South Atlantic Anomaly Model Physics-based Solar Wind Model COSMIC GAIM Legacy programs Full Physics GAIM SEEFS Integration SSUSI GAIM GUVI GAIM SSULI GAIM HAF GAIM SWAFS (Space Wx Analysis & Forecast Sys) JMSESS Delivery Radiation Dosage, Data-Driven Radiation Belt SWAFS Plus-up. SEEFS (SSA Environmental Effects Fusion Sys) Additional System Impact Models Additional System Impact Models Begin Integration (SWAFS/JSpOC) Integration Complete

  19. Space Wx Training & Personnel Initiatives Space Weather Training • Formalize internal AFWA space weather training course – already available to outside agencies • Continue to provide space weather overview during Weather initial skills training Personnel • Revitalize Advance Academic Degree program for space weather modeling and exploitation • Fill key space weather position with Advanced Academic Degree program graduates • Space weather officers/enlisted attend portions of space professional development

  20. Bottom Line • Accelerating actions to prepare for solar max • AFSPC, AF/A3O-S/W, and AFWA convene IPT to determine way forward … will invite National Partners • Significant investment in ground-based sensor, modeling and exploitation capabilities … will partner with NSF and others • AFSPC working initiative for space-based capabilities … must partner with NOAA, NASA, and others to improve capabilities • Ensure AF space wx expertise available in the future We Are Focused on Improving Space Weather Capabilities

  21. Questions?

  22. Solar Activity RSTN DISS SOON A3O-W Mission View Space Situational Awareness Orbital Drag ACE Spacecraft Charging Ionosphere Communication/GPS Scintillation Aurora F2T2EA Air Mobility Global Strike Surveillance/Recon CAS Flight Hazards Clouds/ Precipitation Battle Damage Assessment Acquisition/ Lock-on Red Forces SAM/SCUD Enemy Airfield Air Forces Ground Forces

  23. Space-Based Sensor OptionsCommunications/Navigation Outage Forecast System (C/NOFS) Space Segment C/NOFS Instrument Payload • Dedicated equatorial satellite for predicting scintillation events • Real time data downlink for forecasting system outages • Pegasus launch 16 Apr 08 • Electric Field Instrument (VEFI) • Planar Langmuir Probe (PLP) • Ion Velocity Meter (IVM) • Neutral Wind Meter (NWM) • GPS Occultation Receiver (CORISS) • RF Beacon (CERTO) Instrument Development Teams: AFRL/VS, NRL, NASA/GSFC, Aerospace, Univ. of Texas at Dallas Ground Segment • SCINDA ground-based scintillation sensor network • Real-time forecast modeling • Data center ops for generation/ dissemination of outage maps • ACTD Demo / Outage map employment by warfighters

More Related