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Avoiding intervention: prospects for sub-crisis conflict prevention

Avoiding intervention: prospects for sub-crisis conflict prevention ANU State of the Pacific conference 19 June 2014 Karl Claxton. Regional security after RAMSI. A growing body of reflections on what worked well and not-so-well during major stabilisation missions

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Avoiding intervention: prospects for sub-crisis conflict prevention

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  1. Avoiding intervention: prospects for sub-crisis conflict prevention ANU State of the Pacific conference 19 June 2014 Karl Claxton

  2. Regional security after RAMSI A growing body of reflections on what worked well and not-so-well during major stabilisation missions • Useful as interventions are demanding and can arise without much warning • But interventions are risky, protracted and expensive for contributors • And can spur dependency or dysfunction in recipient countries • Less attention to efforts to address challenges before they turn into acute crises

  3. Australia’s stake in a peaceful and prosperous neighbourhood remains

  4. Elaborate schemes: the wrong answers to the right question?

  5. Aligning our diplomacy, aid, and trade—national security remade • The start of the quiet rehabilitation of the concept of national security • The ‘three Ds’ of conflict prevention • But needs more than just standard diplomacy, development, and defence • Objectives • Relationships • Already beyond a ‘more interventionist approach’ to ‘partnership frameworks’ • But two paradigm shifts: a new approach to Australian aid and new Pacific diplomacy • Engaging political settlements/accommodation, hybridity, co-production, etc

  6. Discussion

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