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Balance OF PAYMENTS

Balance OF PAYMENTS. National Income vs. Domestic Income. Net Factor Income [NFI] is income earned on overseas work or investments minus income generated domestically but paid to foreigners. Source: United Nations Main Aggregates Database. Compare Macau and the Philippines GDP or GNP.

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Balance OF PAYMENTS

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  1. Balance OF PAYMENTS

  2. National Income vs. Domestic Income • Net Factor Income [NFI] is income earned on overseas work or investments minus income generated domestically but paid to foreigners.

  3. Source: United Nations Main Aggregates Database

  4. Compare Macau and the Philippines GDP or GNP • Macau produces a lot of profits paid to overseas owners of casinos. • Philippines workers earn a lot of income overseas. • Which is larger Philippines’ GDP or Philippines GNP? • Does Macau have greater GDP or GNP?

  5. NFI Across Countries Source: United Nations Main Aggregates Database

  6. Current Account Balance Census and Statistics Department • Current Account: NX +NFI • NFI = Primary Income (Overseas Wage & Investment Income) + Secondary Income (Transfers)

  7. Link Global Imbalances World Current Account equals zero!

  8. International Capital Flows • Capital Outflows: domestic acquisition of foreign assets. • Capital Inflows: foreign acquisition of domestic assets Net Capital Outflows = Capital Outflows – Capital Inflows Money is an asset. Most international financial transaction are swaps of one asset for another and have zero net effect on capital flows. Only net trade of foreign assets for goods or services creates opportunity for net capital flows. Current Account = Net Capital Outflows

  9. Savings & Current Account • Gross National Savings: GNS • GNS = GNI – Consumption (PCE + GCE) • GNI = GDP + NFI • GDP = Consumption + Gross Capital Formation + Net Exports (Exports – Imports) • GNS – GCF = NX + NFI = Current Account

  10. Capital & Financial Account • Current Account is net capital outflows (i.e. national savings less national investment). • Capital & Financial Account measures the allocation of net inflows. • Capital Account: Transfer of Real Assets • Financial Account: Transfer of Financial Assets • Non-reserve Assets • Direct Investment: (Taking Controlling Stakes in Foreign Entities) • Portfolio Investment: (Stocks, Bonds) • Financial Derivatives (Futures, Swaps) • Other (Mostly Bank Loans and Deposits)

  11. Salient Feature of Balance of Payments Capital & Financial Account 2011 Increases in financial assets, and decreases in liabilities should be shown as debits. Decreases in financial assets, and increases in liabilities should be shown as credits.

  12. Balance of Payments Foreign Currency Paid (Debit) Foreign Currency Received (Credit) Exports (+) Income Receipts (+) {Non reserve} Capital Inflows (+) Imports (-) Income Payments (-) {Non reserve} Capital Outflows (-) Credits – Debits = Increase in Reserves Link Overall Balance = Current Account + Capital & Financial Account

  13. Learning Outcomes Students should be able to: • Explain the different methods of calculating GDP • Calculate simple real aggregates like real GDP. • Use price indices to calculate inflation rates. • Adjust nominal series for inflation. • Define and calculate real ex post and ex ante real interest rates. • Define the elements of the Balance of Payments Tables

  14. Math Review • Review: Constrained optimization other advanced math. • 1:30-3:00 pm on Wednesday, Sept. 24th, 2014. • The venue is 4620 main academic building.

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