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BP Strategy Recommendations. Short-run and long-run approaches to a carbon-constrained future. The Present Environment. High and increasing demand for oil. Dwindling rates of oil production. Instability in Middle East Iraq Demand for Energy Independency Threat of Terrorism

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BP Strategy Recommendations

Short-run and long-run approaches to a carbon-constrained future.


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The Present Environment

  • High and increasing demand for oil.

  • Dwindling rates of oil production.

  • Instability in Middle East

  • Iraq

    • Demand for Energy Independency

    • Threat of Terrorism

  • Increasing profile of anthropocentric climate change.


  • Recent new york times headlines l.jpg
    Recent New York Times Headlines:

    • “Global warming to bring heavier rains, snow,” October 14th, 2005.

    • “As Polar Ice Turns to Water, Dreams of Treasure Abound,” October 10th, 2005.

    • “In a Melting Trend, Less Arctic Ice to Go Around,” September 29th, 2005.

    • “Time to Connect the Dots,” September 28th, 2005.


    The future environment l.jpg
    The Future Environment

    • Sharpened salience of global warming issue and demand for carbon abatement.

    • Emissions restrictions on CO2 and cap-and-trade mechanisms will create value for CO2.


    Strategy l.jpg
    Strategy

    • Increase capacity for producing innovation in energy technologies.

    • Position to take full advantage of this capacity by actively entering the enhanced oil recovery (EOR) and carbon capture markets as interim strategies

    • Influencing the agenda by manipulating the pace, shape, and direction in which carbon abatement will be pursued in the U.S.

    • Focus is on taking profitable actions in the short-run which will facilitate a long-run agenda setting strategy.


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    Increase Capacity

    • Heavy investment in R&D.

      • Technology

      • Infrastructure

      • Processes

  • Develop and invest in relationships with key decision makers and players.


  • Strategy8 l.jpg
    Strategy

    • Increase capacity for producing innovation in energy technologies.

    • Position to take full advantage of this capacity by actively entering the enhanced oil recovery (EOR) and carbon capture markets as interim strategies

    • Influencing the agenda by manipulating the pace, shape, and direction in which carbon abatement will be pursued in the U.S.

    • Focus is on taking profitable actions in the short-run which will facilitate a long-run agenda setting strategy.


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    Positioning

    • Target and acquire mature oil fields in proximity to BP owned point sources of CO2 in Gulf Coast region of Texas.

    • Pursue federal and state funding for BP owned CO2 pipeline and monitoring infrastructure.

    • Capture CO2 from point sources and use for EOR.


    Strategy11 l.jpg
    Strategy

    • Increase capacity for producing innovation in energy technologies.

    • Position to take full advantage of this capacity by actively entering the enhanced oil recovery (EOR) and carbon capture markets as interim strategies

    • Influencing the agenda by manipulating the pace, shape, and direction in which carbon abatement will be pursued in the U.S.

    • Focus is on taking profitable actions in the short-run which will facilitate a long-run agenda setting strategy.


    Co 2 cap and trade l.jpg

    CO2 Cap-and-Trade

    What is it and how does it work?


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    Influencing the Agenda

    • Target public  raise profile of global warming.

    • Provide info to relevant Congressional players.

    • Invest in relationships with key leaders.

    • Establish a PAC to support candidates

    • Build alliances with industry partners and NGOs.


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    Strategy

    • Increase capacity for producing innovation in energy technologies.

    • Position to take full advantage of this capacity by actively entering the enhanced oil recovery (EOR) and carbon capture markets as interim strategies

    • Influencing the agenda by manipulating the pace, shape, and direction in which carbon abatement will be pursued in the U.S.

    • Focus is on taking profitable actions in the short-run which will facilitate a long-run agenda setting strategy.


    Players l.jpg
    Players

    • Allies – Short run

      • Mid sized oil companies, chemical plants, refineries.

      • Industry groups like Gulf Coast Carbon Center

      • NGO allies

      • Texas public, governor, and many congressional leaders.

    • Allies – Long run

      • Utilities can be convinced to invest in IGCC, which reduces cost of carbon capture.

      • Public and increasing number of representatives.

      • Foreign industrialized countries


    Players16 l.jpg
    Players

    • Opponents – Short run

      • Older coal-burning utities

      • Taxpayers in other states

      • “Pork Barrel” alarmists.

    • Opponents – Long run

      • Oil companies without CO2 transportation capacity


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    A final word…

    • Short term and long term strategies to be kept separate:

    • Public outreach and work with NGOs  High profile

    • EOR and pipeline subsidies, as well as push for carbon cap-and-trade  Low profile


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