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Germany’s Green Energy Transition

Germany’s Green Energy Transition. Arne Jungjohann , Heinrich Böll Foundation, Washington DC Durban, December 2011. Part 1 Reaction in Germany after Fukushima driven by…. 1. Concerns on Nuclear 2. Credibility of Renewables 3. Politics. Foto : Anti-Atom- Treck 2010 .

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Germany’s Green Energy Transition

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  1. Germany’s Green Energy Transition Arne Jungjohann, Heinrich Böll Foundation, Washington DC Durban, December 2011

  2. Part 1Reaction in Germany after Fukushima driven by… 1. Concerns on Nuclear 2. Credibility of Renewables 3. Politics Foto: Anti-Atom-Treck 2010

  3. German reaction after Fukushima driven by • Chernobyl 1986 • new risk assessment • 17 old NPP, 80 Million • Germany ½ the size • of Texas

  4. Source:BMU

  5. Jobs: Renewable Energy vs. Lignite Coal Germany, 2004-2010

  6. Part 2Gradual Phase-Out by 2022

  7. Power Generation in Germany (2010) Source: AG Energiebilanzen

  8. Nuclear Phase-Out by 2022… Before Fukushima: 17 NPP operating up to 2032 providing 22% of power ~20 GW installed capacity After Fukushima: Immediate shutdown of 8NPP gradual phase-out by 2022 of remaining 9 NPP

  9. Part 3So what about……energy costs?…power shortages & imports?… CO2 emissions?

  10. Expensive Renewable Energy? No, but modest price tag for ratepayers Source: MdB Hans-Josef Fell

  11. Nuclear is costly: (Subsidy Billions of Euros since 1970) Hard Coal Lignite Nuclear Power Renewables Source: Green Budget Germany

  12. Increasing electricity imports?Not as a net exporter

  13. Increasing emissions?Not with carbon cap on power sector Mio t CO2 Source: BMU

  14. GHG Emissions Increasing emissions?Not with long-term climate targets Source: BMU

  15. Part 4Outlook 2020 – 2050On the Way to a Renewable Energy Economy

  16. Key Climate and Energy Policies Ecological tax reform (1999-2003) Renewable Energy Act (2000) Nuclear Phase Out (2001-2022) Cap and trade (2005) Integrated Climate and Energy Program (2007) Renewable Energy Action Plan (2010) Energy concept 2050 (2010)

  17. Goal: 80% to 100%Renewable Energies by 2050

  18. Energy concept 2050: The road to the renewable era Source:BMU

  19. Thank you for your attention! Arne Jungjohann Heinrich Boell Foundation, Washington DC Arne.Jungjohann@us.boell.org

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