Impact of eu enlargement on the post communist transformation
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IMPACT OF EU ENLARGEMENT ON THE POST-COMMUNIST TRANSFORMATION. by PAL TAMAS [IS HAS/Corvinus UniversityBudapest]. INTERNAL PERIODIZATION. 1993-1998 illusions: Europe as an inverted utopia, symbolical political projects, demonstrative pioneer actions in sectors and localities

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IMPACT OF EU ENLARGEMENT ON THE POST-COMMUNIST TRANSFORMATION

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Impact of eu enlargement on the post communist transformation

IMPACT OF EU ENLARGEMENT ON THE POST-COMMUNIST TRANSFORMATION

by

PAL TAMAS

[IS HAS/Corvinus UniversityBudapest]


Internal periodization

INTERNAL PERIODIZATION

  • 1993-1998 illusions: Europe as an inverted utopia, symbolical political projects, demonstrative pioneer actions in sectors and localities

  • 1998-2004 intensive learning, inventarization, implementation : „the best period”

  • 2004-2008 „easy money”, new normalities, less mental change then expected

  • 2008-2010 crisis, the new [semi]peripheries


Impacts

IMPACTS

  • Regulative effects

  • Mobilization of internal resources and energies

  • Competitive effects in policies and reforms

  • Kaanan effects in image-making for national elites

  • Foreign policy effects- regulation failure

  • New geographies [internal, perimetrical]


Model questions in the 90ies

MODEL QUESTIONS IN THE 90IES


Costs of transition

Costs of transition

„Soft transion” is a primary goal both for the elites and the masses

The losers” problem

EU strategies of „social insurance” [broad distribution of the costs]

Neo-liberals versus new statism


Impact scenarios darvas 2010

Impact scenarios [Darvas, 2010]


Dilemmas

DILEMMAS

a.National state as a policy tool [development and crisis]

b. Does the EU defend from the extreme globalization, ot its an agent of it? [laguna effects]

c.Diffusion of the European Social Model to the East?

d. European citizenships [versus national and subnational ones]

e. The LIMES effects [stabilization, destabilization]


Long term effects

Long-term effects

  • Importance of cultural environments. Pre-1989 of longer historical cycles?

  • Continuities/discontinuities of the developmental state in the region

  • Reduction of the „social block” in the GDP –short term, ot long term?


Conclusions for the 2010ies

CONCLUSIONS for the 2010ies

1.National models of capitalism

2. After 2008/2010 reconstruction of the national state, as regulator

3.Stabilization of internal semiperipheries in the EU

4.Sharper welfare gap between EU-15 and EU-12

5.Beginning of intensive knowledge worker migration


Support structure for eu ee

Support structure for EU EE [ ]


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