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IMPACT OF EU ENLARGEMENT ON THE POST-COMMUNIST TRANSFORMATION. by PAL TAMAS [IS HAS/Corvinus UniversityBudapest]. INTERNAL PERIODIZATION. 1993-1998 illusions: Europe as an inverted utopia, symbolical political projects, demonstrative pioneer actions in sectors and localities

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impact of eu enlargement on the post communist transformation

IMPACT OF EU ENLARGEMENT ON THE POST-COMMUNIST TRANSFORMATION

by

PAL TAMAS

[IS HAS/Corvinus UniversityBudapest]

internal periodization
INTERNAL PERIODIZATION
  • 1993-1998 illusions: Europe as an inverted utopia, symbolical political projects, demonstrative pioneer actions in sectors and localities
  • 1998-2004 intensive learning, inventarization, implementation : „the best period”
  • 2004-2008 „easy money”, new normalities, less mental change then expected
  • 2008-2010 crisis, the new [semi]peripheries
impacts
IMPACTS
  • Regulative effects
  • Mobilization of internal resources and energies
  • Competitive effects in policies and reforms
  • Kaanan effects in image-making for national elites
  • Foreign policy effects- regulation failure
  • New geographies [internal, perimetrical]
costs of transition
Costs of transition

„Soft transion” is a primary goal both for the elites and the masses

The losers” problem

EU strategies of „social insurance” [broad distribution of the costs]

Neo-liberals versus new statism

dilemmas
DILEMMAS

a.National state as a policy tool [development and crisis]

b. Does the EU defend from the extreme globalization, ot its an agent of it? [laguna effects]

c.Diffusion of the European Social Model to the East?

d. European citizenships [versus national and subnational ones]

e. The LIMES effects [stabilization, destabilization]

long term effects
Long-term effects
  • Importance of cultural environments. Pre-1989 of longer historical cycles?
  • Continuities/discontinuities of the developmental state in the region
  • Reduction of the „social block” in the GDP –short term, ot long term?
conclusions for the 2010ies
CONCLUSIONS for the 2010ies

1.National models of capitalism

2. After 2008/2010 reconstruction of the national state, as regulator

3.Stabilization of internal semiperipheries in the EU

4.Sharper welfare gap between EU-15 and EU-12

5.Beginning of intensive knowledge worker migration

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