1 / 5

William. M. Lapenta and John C. Derber Environmental Modeling Center NOAA/NWS/NCEP

William. M. Lapenta and John C. Derber Environmental Modeling Center NOAA/NWS/NCEP. Next Generation Operational Global Model Development at NCEP. GDAS/GFS & GEFS Into 2015. Related global system modifications. O bservation usage upgrade (May-Aug. 2013)

duena
Download Presentation

William. M. Lapenta and John C. Derber Environmental Modeling Center NOAA/NWS/NCEP

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript

  1. William. M. Lapenta and John C. DerberEnvironmental Modeling CenterNOAA/NWS/NCEP Next Generation Operational Global Model Development at NCEP

  2. GDAS/GFS & GEFS Into 2015

  3. Related global system modifications • Observation usage upgrade (May-Aug. 2013) • Include METOP-B, NPP-CrIS, MSG-3, GOES sounders, Windsat in data assimilation system • Air quality model and Whole Atmosphere Model (WAM) – Unified? • Lower horizontal resolution • WAM • 600km top • High atmosphere physics • Air Quality • Inclusion of aerosols and chemistry • Surface sources (daily estimate) • Volcano sources

  4. Operational GFS/GEFS in 2020 Next Generation System • The next-generation Global Forecast System must: • Provide skillful guidance for all NOAA operational applications • Demonstrate at least the computational efficiency of the current and future GFS • Perform with full data assimilation cycling • Provide flexibility to meet future demands (nesting, unified) • Execute with WAM, coupled atm/ocean/land/ice and aerosols • Compatibility with NCEP operational suite • Models Currently Under Development in the US • Flow Following Icosahedral Model (FIM& NIM) • Cubed-Sphere Finite Volume (FV-core) • Model for Prediction Across Scales (MPAS) • Non-hydrostatic MultiscaleModel (NMM) • Global Spectral Model (GSM)

  5. Summary of major global model foci • Model • Much higher vertical and horizontal resolution – Semi-Lagrangian • Improved physics • Inclusion of observed sources • WAM and AQ applications – impact on deterministic run • Analysis • Better use of current data • Use of more data • Use of cloud impacted radiances • Collaboration with external groups to enhance global prediction system

More Related