Nj shares the evaluation of 2007 grants
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NJ SHARES The Evaluation of 2007 Grants. October 20, 2008 Revised 11/21/08. Evaluation Goals. Characterize 2007 NJ SHARES grant recipients Characterize 2007 NJ SHARES grants Examine good faith payments Analyze post-grant payment compliance. 2. Evaluation Components.

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NJ SHARES The Evaluation of 2007 Grants

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Nj shares the evaluation of 2007 grants

NJ SHARES The Evaluation of 2007 Grants

October 20, 2008

Revised 11/21/08


Evaluation goals

Evaluation Goals

  • Characterize 2007 NJ SHARES grant recipients

  • Characterize 2007 NJ SHARES grants

  • Examine good faith payments

  • Analyze post-grant payment compliance

2


Evaluation components

Evaluation Components

  • Part 1 – NJ SHARES database analysis

    • Characterizes grant recipients

    • Characterizes grants

  • Part 2 – Utility transaction data analysis

    • “Good Faith” Payment Analysis

    • Grant Coverage Analysis

    • Post-Grant Payment Compliance

3


Evaluation components1

Evaluation Components

  • Data received from:

    • ACE

    • Elizabethtown Gas

    • NJNG

    • PSE&G

    • SJG

    • JCP&L (Not usable)

    • Rockland (Not usable)

4


Nj shares database analysis 2007 grant counts by utility

NJ SHARES Database Analysis2007 Grant Counts by Utility

5


Nj shares database analysis q1 grant counts by type

NJ SHARES Database Analysis Q1 Grant Counts by Type

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Nj shares database analysis 2007 grant counts by county

NJ SHARES Database Analysis 2007 Grant Counts by County

7


Nj shares database analysis years received grants 2005 2008

NJ SHARES Database Analysis Years Received Grants, 2005-2008

8


Nj shares database analysis household members contributing to income

NJ SHARES Database Analysis Household Members Contributing to Income

9


Nj shares database analysis 2005 2007 recipient income sources

NJ SHARES Database Analysis 2005-2007 Recipient Income Sources

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Nj shares database analysis 2005 2007 annual household income

NJ SHARES Database Analysis 2005-2007 Annual Household Income

11


Nj shares database analysis 2005 2007 household poverty level

NJ SHARES Database Analysis 2005-2007 Household Poverty Level

12


Nj shares database analysis 2005 2007 household composition

NJ SHARES Database Analysis 2005-2007 Household Composition

Note: A household can be included in more than one category.

13


Nj shares database analysis 2005 2007 household composition1

NJ SHARES Database Analysis 2005-2007 Household Composition

Note: “Single Parent” and “Elderly Only” households were identified using the age grouping

variables, in the database not the variable “Category”.

14


Nj shares database analysis 2006 2007 household poverty level

NJ SHARES Database Analysis 2006-2007 Household Poverty Level

15


Nj shares database analysis 2006 2007 household poverty level1

NJ SHARES Database Analysis 2006-2007 Household Poverty Level

16


Nj shares database analysis 2005 2007 recipient household size

NJ SHARES Database Analysis 2005-2007 Recipient Household Size

17


Nj shares database analysis 2005 2007 main heating fuel

NJ SHARES Database Analysis 2005-2007 Main Heating Fuel

18


Nj shares database analysis 2005 2007 recipient reported bill balance at grant application

NJ SHARES Database Analysis 2005-2007 Recipient-Reported Bill Balance at Grant Application

19


Nj shares database analysis 2007 recipient reported bill balance at grant application

NJ SHARES Database Analysis 2007 Recipient-Reported Bill Balance at Grant Application

20


Nj shares database analysis mean 2005 2007 recipient reported bill balance at grant application

NJ SHARES Database Analysis Mean 2005-2007 Recipient-Reported Bill Balance at Grant Application

21


Nj shares the evaluation of 2007 grants

NJ SHARES Database Analysis Collections Actions Pending at Grant Application for 2005-2007 Recipients

Note: Percentages may not sum to 100% because a household with grants for more than one utility may have two different collections actions.

22


Nj shares database analysis 2005 2007 reason for grant application

NJ SHARES Database Analysis 2005-2007 Reason for Grant Application

23


Nj shares database analysis detailed 2007 recipient other reasons for grant application

NJ SHARES Database Analysis Detailed 2007 Recipient “Other” Reasons for Grant Application

  • Temporary financial crisis

  • Household changes (spouse leaving or dying or a new baby in the home)

  • Car repairs

  • Meter read after months of low, estimated bills

  • Over income limit for LIHEAP

  • Mortgage, rent, or child support arrearages or increases

  • Medical costs

  • Home repairs

  • Moving costs

  • Other bills

24


Nj shares database analysis 2005 2007 grant amounts

NJ SHARES Database Analysis 2005-2007 Grant Amounts

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Nj shares database analysis 2007 grant amounts

NJ SHARES Database Analysis 2007 Grant Amounts

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Nj shares database analysis 2007 mean grant amount by utility

NJ SHARES Database Analysis 2007 Mean Grant Amount by Utility

27


Part 2 utility data analysis methodology

PART 2Utility Data Analysis Methodology

  • Focused on Q1 2007 grant recipients

  • Transaction data from participating utilities

  • Files contain payments, charges, account balances

  • Analyzed:

    • Existence of “Good Faith Payment”

    • Grant coverage of pre-grant balances

    • Ratio of payments made to charges incurred at key intervals

  • Used Q1 2006 and Q1 2008 recipients as comparison groups

28


Utility data analysis sample group definitions

Utility Data Analysis Sample Group Definitions

29


Utility data analysis sample group definitions continued

Utility Data Analysis Sample Group Definitions (continued)

2006

2008

2007

Q1 2007 ANALYSIS PERIOD

GRANT DATE

GRANT DATE + 1 DAY

Q1 2006 ANALYSIS PERIOD

GRANT DATE + 1 DAY

GRANT DATE + 1 YEAR + 1 DAY

GRANT DATE

Q1 2008 ANALYSIS PERIOD

GRANT DATE – 1 DAY

GRANT DATE

1 YEAR

30


Good faith payment analysis good faith period definition

“Good Faith” Payment Analysis “Good Faith” Period Definition

  • The “Good Faith” payment period is defined as 90 days prior to intake through the day before the grant is applied to the account.

  • Only payments made by the customer are counted.

“GOOD FAITH” PERIOD

GRANT DATE

INTAKE DATE – 90 DAYS

INTAKE DATE

GRANT DATE – 1 DAY

31


Good faith payment analysis attrition analysis

“Good Faith” Payment AnalysisAttrition Analysis

* An account is eligible for analysis if we were able to find the NJ SHARES grant in the transaction data and if we were able to duplicate the utility-reported account balances.

32


Good faith payment analysis percent making good faith payment

“Good Faith” Payment AnalysisPercent Making “Good Faith” Payment

33


Good faith payment analysis

“Good Faith” Payment Analysis

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Good faith payment analysis q1 2007 recipients

“Good Faith” Payment Analysis Q1 2007 Recipients

35


Good faith payment analysis number of payments for those paying at least 100

“Good Faith” Payment Analysis Number of Payments for Those Paying at Least $100

36


Grant coverage analysis attrition analysis

Grant Coverage AnalysisAttrition Analysis

* An account is eligible for analysis if we were able to find the NJ SHARES grant in the transaction data and if we were able to duplicate the utility-reported account balances.

37


Grant coverage analysis q1 2006 q1 2008 grant coverage

Grant Coverage Analysis Q1 2006-Q1 2008 Grant Coverage

38


Grant coverage analysis q1 2007 grant coverage distribution

Grant Coverage Analysis Q1 2007 Grant Coverage Distribution

39


Grant coverage analysis q1 2007 grant coverage

Grant Coverage Analysis Q1 2007 Grant Coverage

40


Payment compliance analysis attrition analysis

Payment Compliance AnalysisAttrition Analysis

* An account has usable data if it appears to have received the NJ SHARES grant and if we were able to duplicate the utility-reported account balances.

41


Payment compliance analysis mean percent of bills paid

Payment Compliance Analysis Mean Percent of Bills Paid

42


Payment compliance analysis mean percent of bills paid accounts with 12 months of data

Payment Compliance Analysis Mean Percent of Bills PaidAccounts with 12 Months of Data

43


Payment compliance analysis accounts with 12 months of data

Payment Compliance Analysis Accounts with 12 Months of Data

44


Payment compliance analysis percent of bills paid recipients with 12 months of data

Payment Compliance Analysis Percent of Bills Paid Recipients with 12 Months of Data

45


Payment compliance analysis mean bill balance

Payment Compliance Analysis Mean Bill Balance

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Payment compliance analysis mean bill balance accounts with 12 months of data

Payment Compliance Analysis Mean Bill BalanceAccounts with 12 Months of Data

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Payment compliance analysis segmentation analysis of q1 2007 grant recipients

Payment Compliance Analysis Segmentation Analysis of Q1 2007 Grant Recipients

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Payment compliance analysis segmentation analysis of q1 2007 grant recipients continued

Payment Compliance Analysis Segmentation Analysis of Q1 2007 Grant Recipients (continued)

* Note: Only customer payments are counted.

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Payment compliance analysis segmentation analysis of q1 2007 grant recipients continued1

Payment Compliance Analysis Segmentation Analysis of Q1 2007 Grant Recipients (continued)

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Payment compliance analysis segmentation analysis of q1 2007 grant recipients continued2

Payment Compliance Analysis Segmentation Analysis of Q1 2007 Grant Recipients (continued)

* Note: Only customer payments are counted.

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Payment compliance analysis segmentation analysis of q1 2007 grant recipients continued3

Payment Compliance Analysis Segmentation Analysis of Q1 2007 Grant Recipients (continued)

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Payment compliance analysis segmentation analysis of q1 2007 grant recipients continued4

Payment Compliance Analysis Segmentation Analysis of Q1 2007 Grant Recipients (continued)

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Payment compliance analysis segmentation analysis of q1 2007 grant recipients continued5

Payment Compliance Analysis Segmentation Analysis of Q1 2007 Grant Recipients (continued)

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Payment compliance analysis segmentation analysis of q1 2007 grant recipients continued6

Payment Compliance Analysis Segmentation Analysis of Q1 2007 Grant Recipients (continued)


Payment compliance analysis segmentation analysis of q1 2007 grant recipients continued7

Payment Compliance Analysis Segmentation Analysis of Q1 2007 Grant Recipients (continued)

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Payment compliance analysis segmentation analysis of q1 2007 grant recipients continued8

Payment Compliance Analysis Segmentation Analysis of Q1 2007 Grant Recipients (continued)


Payment compliance analysis segmentation analysis of q1 2007 grant recipients continued9

Payment Compliance Analysis Segmentation Analysis of Q1 2007 Grant Recipients (continued)


Nj shares the evaluation of 2007 grants

Payment Compliance Analysis Q1 2007 Grant Recipients Receiving USF or LIHEAP in the 12 Months Following Grant

59


Nj shares the evaluation of 2007 grants

Payment Compliance Analysis Q1 2007 Grant Recipients Receiving USF or LIHEAP in the “Good Faith” Period

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