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OVER VIEW OF INDIAN POWER SECTOR 27 th January, 2010

OVER VIEW OF INDIAN POWER SECTOR 27 th January, 2010. DEMAND SUMMARY OF ALL INDIA FORECAST ( AS PER 17th EPS REPORT). 2. INSTALLED CAPACITY (MW) AS ON 31-12-2009 ( TYPE_WISE ). Fossil fuel based capacity=99,862 MW (64%). Total Installed Capacity = 1,56,092 MW.

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OVER VIEW OF INDIAN POWER SECTOR 27 th January, 2010

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  1. OVER VIEW OF INDIAN POWER SECTOR 27th January, 2010

  2. DEMAND SUMMARY OF ALL INDIA FORECAST(AS PER 17th EPS REPORT) 2

  3. INSTALLED CAPACITY (MW) AS ON 31-12-2009 (TYPE_WISE) Fossil fuel based capacity=99,862 MW (64%) Total Installed Capacity = 1,56,092 MW

  4. GENERATION - 2008-09 (BU) Fossil fuel based Generation=590 BU (79%) Total Generation = 746 BU * Estimated

  5. Anticipated Power Supply Position during 11th Plan Period (PEAK)- Based on 62,374 MW Likely Addition in 11th Plan Actual Power Supply Position for 2007-08 & 2008-09

  6. Anticipated Power Supply Position during 11th Plan Period (ENERGY)- Based on 62,374 MW Likely Addition in 11th Plan Actual Power Supply Position for 2007-08 & 2008-09

  7. LIKELY CAPACITY ADDITION IN 11th PLAN (With High Degree of Certainty) 7 Total: 62,374 MW

  8. GENERATION CAPACITY ADDITION DURING 12th & 13th PLANS

  9. LOW CARBON GROWTH STRATEGY Promote Hydro Project Development Facilitate Statutory Clearances of Projects identified for 12th Plan to ensure placement of orders for main packages in 11th Plan 2.Promote Renewable Energy RPOs to be specified by SERCs Trading of Renewable Purchase Certificates Implementation of solar mission Solar Mission – MoP finalizing strategies for development of Solar Projects totaling 1000 MW through NVVNL by 2013. - 200 MW roof top solar by 2013 - SERCs to specify RPOs in respect of solar energy, MoP to make necessary modification in NEP/ Tariff Policy 3.Promoting New Gas based projects with a mix of indigenous Gas and imported RLNG with pooled pricing applicable to all the new and existing projects At least 27,000 MW Gas based capacity needs to be developed during 12th and 13th Plan.

  10. LOW CARBON GROWTH STRATEGY Contd…… • 4.Early notification of CEA regulation on construction of power plants indicating mandatory minimum efficiency levels • 5. Retirement of Old and Inefficient Coal based Generating units • 4000 MW each in 12th and 13th Plan. • List of projects to be retired during 11th Plan has been finalised and 1100 MW already retired. • 6. Implementation of National Enhanced Efficiency Renovation and Modernization Program. • To incentivise States, 50% of generation capability of the unit just before shut down for R&M may be compensated by way of additional allocation from unallocated quota during the normative period of shut down. • Low interest rate financing for enhanced efficiency based R&M.

  11. LOW CARBON GROWTH STRATEGYContd…… • 7. Adoption of Clean Coal Technology • Target:12th Plan – At least 50% of Coal based capacity should be super critical • 13th Plan – All coal based capacity should be super critical • Action: • Creation of Indigenous manufacturing capacity for super critical equipment • Incentivising Indigenous Manufacturers to ensure transfer of Super Critical Technology • Bulk tendering for 11x660 MW Super Critical units with mandatory indigenous manufacturing in progress. To initiate Bulk Tendering for 800 MW size units shortly after finalising orders for 660 MW. • Bulk tendering for projects based on Ultra super critical technology with mandatory indigenous manufacturing by 2011-12. • MOEF to be advised not to clear any Coal based projects w.e.f. 01-04-2012 on Sub-critical technology. No coal linkages for Sub-critical plants for 13th Plan • Propose zero custom duty and excise duty on Super Critical Plans supplied by indigenous manufacturers.

  12. LOW CARBON GROWTH STRATEGYContd…… • 8. Reduction of T&D losses to be accorded high priority • Franchise model to be promoted. • Implementation of R- APDRP to reduce technical and commercial losses. • 9. Implementation of BEE Program • Implementation of ECBC in states • DSM in municipal, agriculture and buildings • Enforcement of energy intensity standards in Energy Intensive Industry and trading of emission reduction certificates. • CFL Bachat Lamp Yojna • Agriculture (Ag DSM) Pump efficiency improvement through ESCO. • Labeling of Appliances • Labeling of Inverters on priority

  13. THREE CAPACITY ADDITION SCENARIOS-12th Plan

  14. THREE CAPACITY ADDITION SCENARIOS-13th Plan (All Figures in MW)

  15. Weighted Average Emissions Fuel- Wise (tCO2/MWh) * * Values calculated on gross generation

  16. Emission Factor (kg/kwh of CO2)

  17. STUDY RESULTS Based on EGEAS Program run for projected load curves • Gas based generation @ 70% PLF in all scenarios • Renewables – Must run • Coal based generation operated on merit order

  18. Note: Figures for 2004-05 and 2006-07 are actual

  19. Note: Figures for 2004-05 and 2006-07 are actual

  20. Anticipated Percentage Reduction of Emission Factor (Kg/Kwh) for Power Sector w.r.t. year 2004-05

  21. Thank You

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