Ecological niche and ecological niche modeling
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Ecological niche and ecological niche modeling. Tereza Jezkova School of Life Sciences, University of Nevada, Las Vegas March 2010. What drives species distributions?. All species have tolerance limits for environmental factors beyond which individuals cannot survive , grow , or reproduce.

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Ecological niche and ecological niche modeling

Ecological niche and ecological niche modeling

Tereza Jezkova

School of Life Sciences, University of Nevada, Las Vegas

March 2010


What drives species distributions

What drives species distributions?

  • All species have tolerance limits for environmental factors beyond which individuals cannot survive, grow, or reproduce


Ecological niche and ecological niche modeling

Environmental Gradient

Tolerance Limits and Optimum Range

Tolerance Limits

Tolerance limits exist for all important environmental factors


Ecological niche and ecological niche modeling

Critical factors and Tolerance Limits


Ecological niche and ecological niche modeling

Critical factors and Tolerance Limits

  • For some species, one factor may be most important in regulating a species’ distribution and abundance.

  • Usually, many factors interact to limit species distribution.


Ecological niche and ecological niche modeling

Critical factors and Tolerance Limits

?

  • Organism may have a wide range of tolerance to some factors and a narrow range to other factors


Ecological niche and ecological niche modeling

Specialist and Generalist species...

Fig. 4-11, Miller & Spoolman 2009


Ecological niche and ecological niche modeling

FUNDAMENTAL NICHE

Biotic factors

Historical

factors

REALIZED

NICHE

Realized

environment


Ecological niche and ecological niche modeling

Tolerance Limits and Optimum Range

Fundamental versus realized niche

Fundamental (theoretical) niche

- is the full spectrum of environmental factors that can be potentially utilized by an organism

Realized (actual) niche

- represent a subset of a fundamental niche that the organism can actually utilize restricted by:

- historical factors (dispersal limitations)

- biotic factors (competitors, predators)

- realized environment (existent conditions)


Ecological niche and ecological niche modeling

Tolerance Limits and Optimum Range

Niche shift

  • Are niches stable?

  • Realized niche shifts all the time due to

    • changing biotic interations,

    • realized environment,

    • time to disperse

NO!

Time T1

Time T2

Realized

Niche

Shift


Ecological niche and ecological niche modeling

  • Fundamental niche shift when tolerance limits change  due to evolutionary adaptation

Time T1

Time T2

Fundamental

Niche

Shift


Resource partitioning

Resource Partitioning

  • Law of Competitive Exclusion - No two species will occupy the same niche and compete for exactly the same resources

    - Extinction of one of them

    - Niche Partitioning (spatial, temporal)


Ecological niche and ecological niche modeling

Niche partitioning and Law of Competitive Exclusion

Chthamalus

Balanus

Chthamalus

Balanus


Ecological niche and ecological niche modeling

Niche partitioning and Law of Competitive Exclusion


Ecological niche and ecological niche modeling

Ecological niche modeling

Purpose: ·  

- Approximation of a Species Distribution


Ecological niche and ecological niche modeling

Ecological niche modeling

Purpose: ·  

- Potential Niche Habitat Modeling

(Invasive species, diseases)


Ecological niche and ecological niche modeling

Ecological niche modeling

Purpose: ·  

- Site Selection or conservation priority:

Suitability Analysis


Ecological niche and ecological niche modeling

Ecological niche modeling

Purpose: ·  

- Species Diversity Analysis


Ecological niche and ecological niche modeling

Ecological niche modeling

Two types:

1. DEDUCTIVE: A priori knowledge about the organism

Example: SWReGAP http://fws-nmcfwru.nmsu.edu/swregap/habitatreview/


Ecological niche and ecological niche modeling

Ecological niche modeling

Two types:

2. CORRELATIVE: Self-learning algorithms based on known occurrence records and a set of environmental variables


Ecological niche and ecological niche modeling

  • Occurrence records:

  • Own surveys (small scale)

  • Digital Databases (e.g. museum specimens)

  • MANIS (mammals)

  • ORNIS (birds)

  • HERPNET (reptiles)

  • HAVE TO BE GEOREFERENCED (must have coordinates)

http://manisnet.org/

http://olla.berkeley.edu/ornisnet/

http://www.herpnet.org/


Ecological niche and ecological niche modeling

  • WORLDCLIM http://worldclim.org/

  • Variables:

  • Temperature (monthly)

  • Precipitation (monthly)

  • 19 Bioclimatic variables

  • Current, Future, Past

  • Resolution:

  • ca. 1, 5, 10 km

  • Coverage

  • World


Ecological niche and ecological niche modeling

Southwest Regional Gap Analysis Project http://earth.gis.usu.edu/swgap

Northwest GAP Analysis Project http://gap.uidaho.edu/index.php/gap-home/Northwest-GAP

  • Variables:

  • Landcover

  • Resolution:

  • ca. 30 m

  • Coverage

  • western states


Ecological niche and ecological niche modeling

Natural Resources Conservation Service (NRCS)

SSURGO Soil Data http://soils.usda.gov/survey/geography/ssurgo/

  • Variables:

  • Soils

  • Resolution:

  • ca. 30 m

  • Coverage

  • USA but incomplete 


Ecological niche and ecological niche modeling

Ecological niche modeling

Step 1: occurrence records

Step 2: environmental variables

Step 3: current ecological niche

Step 4: projected ecological niche


Ecological niche and ecological niche modeling

Ecological niche modeling – models from Maxent


Ecological niche and ecological niche modeling

  • Problems: Models are only as good as the data that goes into it!!!

  • CALIBRATION MODELS

  • Insufficient or biased occurrence records

  • Insufficient or meaningless environmental variables

  • PROJECTION MODELS

  • Inaccuracies in climate reconstructions

  • Dispersal limitations

  • Non-analogous climates

  • Niche shift (evolution)

!!! WRONG INTERPRETATIONS !!!


Ecological niche and ecological niche modeling

sasquatch

blackbear


Ecological niche and ecological niche modeling

  • Exercise (work in pairs):

  • Download museum records for one of nine species

  • Prepare occurrence data file

  • Run the program Maxent for current (0K) and last glacial maximum (LGM) climate

  • Make maps in DivaGIS (or ArcGIS if you have it)

  • Answer questions on the worksheet

  • This PowerPoint is on the website, http://complabs.nevada.edu/~jezkovat/firefighters/niche_modelling.ppt so are the 0K and LGM datasets

  • Detailed instructions are at the end of this PowerPoint


Ecological niche and ecological niche modeling

Species:

MAMMALS:

Chisel-toothed kangaroo rat (Dipodomys microps)

Desert kangaroo rat (Dipodomys deserti)

Pygmy rabbit (Brachylagus idahoensis)

Pika (Ochotona princeps)

Mountain beaver (Aplodontia rufa)

REPTILES and AMPHIBIANS:

Desert Horned Lizard (Phrynosoma platyrhinos)

Coastal Tailed Frog (Ascaphus truei)

Long-nosed Leopard Lizard (Gambelia wislizenii)

Gila monster (Heloderma suspectum)


Download occurrence records

Download Occurrence Records

  • Choose either Manis http://manisnet.org database (mammals) or Herpnet database http://www.herpnet.org/ (reptiles)

  • Select “Data portals”

  • In Manis, click on any of the three providers (e.g. MaNIS Portal at the Museum of Vertebrate Zoology

  • Click “build query”

  • Click “Arctos-MVZ catalog” and scroll down

  • Click on “select a concept” and choose “scientific name”

  • Click on “select a comparator” and choose “contains (% for wildcard)

  • Type in the scientific name (e.g. Dipodomys deserti)

  • Delete number under “Specify record limit”

  • Click on “submit query”

  • WAIT !!!

  • If the server crashes start over again ;)

  • When the server returns the result of your search, click on “Download tabular results” and save the file into a folder


Excel prepare occurrence records csv file

Excel – prepare occurrence records csv. file

  • Open downloaded occurrence records in Excel (right-click and use the “open with” function

  • Delete unnecessary rows up front

  • Sort by “coordinate uncertainty”

  • Delete all records with no coordinates or those with coordinate uncertainty more than 5000 meters

  • Delete all columns except the species, latitude and longitude

  • Make sure the column representing the species has the same value in all cells

  • Format the columns representing latitude and longitude as numbers with 4 decimal places (Font – Format cells – Number – Number – 4 decimal places)

  • Save as “ .csv “


Maxent

Maxent

  • Download the 0K and LGM bioclimatic variables http://complabs.nevada.edu/~jezkovat/firefighters/0K.ziphttp://complabs.nevada.edu/~jezkovat/firefighters/LGM.zip

  • Unzip each dataset into a separate folder

  • Open Maxent (*.bat file)

  • Import your *.csv file of occurrence records

  • Import the folder with the 0K bioclimatic variables

  • Check all three fields

  • Indicate the directory with the LGM

    layers

  • Indicate your output directory

  • Press “Run”


Diva gis

Diva GIS

  • Import your occurrence records by selecting: Data -> Import points to shapefile -> From text file (.txt)

  • Add the shapefile representing “states”: Layer –> add layer –> States.shp

    http://complabs.nevada.edu/~jezkovat/firefighters/states.zip (unzip first)

  • Import your 0K model generated by Maxent (your_species.asc) by selecting: Data -> Import to Gridfile ->Single file. Choose “ESRI ascii” of file and “select integer”

  • Repeat for your LGM model (your_species_ccsm.asc)

  • Use the zoom tool to zoom in or out to capture the model well

  • Unclick the LGM model

  • Click on “Design” in the bottom right corner and click “OK” in the top left corner

  • Save as *.bmp file

  • Click on “data” in the bottom right corner, unclick you OK model and check your LGM model.

  • Click on Design and repeat your steps as before


Ecological niche and ecological niche modeling

BIOCLIMATIC VARIABLES

BIO1 = Annual Mean Temperature

BIO2 = Mean Diurnal Range (Mean of monthly (max temp - min temp))

BIO3 = Isothermality (P2/P7) (* 100)

BIO4 = Temperature Seasonality (standard deviation *100)

BIO5 = Max Temperature of Warmest Month

BIO6 = Min Temperature of Coldest Month

BIO7 = Temperature Annual Range (P5-P6)

BIO8 = Mean Temperature of Wettest Quarter

BIO9 = Mean Temperature of Driest Quarter

BIO10 = Mean Temperature of Warmest Quarter

BIO11 = Mean Temperature of Coldest Quarter

BIO12 = Annual Precipitation

BIO13 = Precipitation of Wettest Month

BIO14 = Precipitation of Driest Month

BIO15 = Precipitation Seasonality (Coefficient of Variation)

BIO16 = Precipitation of Wettest Quarter

BIO17 = Precipitation of Driest Quarter

BIO18 = Precipitation of Warmest Quarter

BIO19 = Precipitation of Coldest Quarter


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