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Obama: The Sequel. Clodagh Harrington De Montfort University Twitter @DMUClodagh Blog https://charri03.our.dmu.ac.uk/. ‘Four More Years’. 2012 - How did he do it?. Campaign strategy Demographics – a majority of minorities ‘It’s the candidate, stupid!’ Incumbency and record
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Obama: The Sequel Clodagh Harrington De Montfort University Twitter @DMUClodagh Blog https://charri03.our.dmu.ac.uk/
2012 - How did he do it? • Campaign strategy • Demographics – a majority of minorities • ‘It’s the candidate, stupid!’ • Incumbency and record • Honeymoon period. Over.
2012 Realism • First term achievements: • Unemployment under 8% • Economic Stimulus package (ARRA) • ‘Obamacare’ healthcare reform • Auto-industry back in business • Credit card reform • Iraq (over) Afghanistan (2014 withdrawl) • 2010 – mid terms and Tea Party challenge
Second term challenges • Bi-partisanship – or lack of • Economy • $85 billion govt cuts (March 2013) as part of $1.2 trillion spending cuts over 10 years • Unemployment • Poverty and income inequality • Foreign policy • Climate change • And much more...
Legacy • How to measure presidential greatness? • Personal traits and accomplishments • First African American president • Economic saviour? • Nation building at home? • Immigration reform? • (Meaningful) gun control? • Stability and security for the C21? • 2016 successor?
Sources • www.realclearpolitics.com • http://www.politics1.com/p2012.htm • www.fivethirtyeight.com • www.opensecrets.org • www.centerforpolitics.org • www.gallup.com • www.barackobama.com • www.mittromney.com • www.ontheissues.org • www.tnr.com • http://elections.nyt.com • http://mediamatters.org • www.pbs.org • www.npr.org • www.bipartisanpolicy.org