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LTE Market overv iew beyond 2010

LTE Market overv iew beyond 2010. Bill Tsao / 曹維陵 bill.tsao @rohde-schwarz.com Sales Manager Rohde & Schwarz Taiwan, Ltd. Agenda. Wireless t echnology evolution path Wireless Broadband Market status. Wireless t echnology evolution path. 2005/2006. 2009/2010. 2011/2012. 2007/2008.

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LTE Market overv iew beyond 2010

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  1. LTEMarket overviewbeyond 2010 Bill Tsao / 曹維陵bill.tsao@rohde-schwarz.com Sales Manager Rohde & Schwarz Taiwan, Ltd.

  2. Agenda • Wireless technology evolution path • Wireless Broadband Market status

  3. Wireless technology evolution path 2005/2006 2009/2010 2011/2012 2007/2008 2013/2014 EDGE, 200 kHz DL: 473 kbps UL: 473 kbps EDGEevo DL: 1.9 Mbps UL: 947 kbps VAMOS Double Speech Capacity GSM/ GPRS HSDPA, 5 MHz DL: 14.4 Mbps UL: 2.0 Mbps UMTS DL: 2.0 Mbps UL: 2.0 Mbps HSPA+, R7 DL: 28.0 Mbps UL: 11.5 Mbps HSPA+, R8 DL: 42.0 Mbps UL: 11.5 Mbps HSPA+, R9 DL: 84 Mbps UL: 23 Mbps HSPA+, R10 DL: 84 Mbps UL: 23 Mbps HSPA, 5 MHz DL: 14.4 Mbps UL: 5.76 Mbps LTE (4x4), R8+R9, 20MHz DL: 300 Mbps UL: 75 Mbps LTE-Advanced R10 DL: 1 Gbps (low mobility) UL: 500 Mbps 1xEV-DO, Rev. 0 1.25 MHz DL: 2.4 Mbps UL: 153 kbps 1xEV-DO, Rev. A 1.25 MHz DL: 3.1 Mbps UL: 1.8 Mbps 1xEV-DO, Rev. B 5.0 MHz DL: 14.7 Mbps UL: 4.9 Mbps DO-Advanced DL: 32 Mbps and beyond UL: 12.4 Mbps and beyond cdma 2000 Fixed WiMAX scalable bandwidth 1.25 … 28 MHz typical up to 15 Mbps Mobile WiMAX, 802.16e Up to 20 MHz DL: 75 Mbps (2x2) UL: 28 Mbps (1x2) Advanced MobileWiMAX, 802.16m DL: up to 1 Gbps (low mobility) UL: up to 100 Mbps

  4. Wireless Broadband WorldwideCustomers by Technology

  5. German mobile data increase 2005-2009* Mobile Broadband MarketReal mobile broadband is happening now Q2/2010:530 million mobile broadband subscriptions (WCDMA, HSPA)** 71% of the German internet users own an internet capable mobile user device*** Sources: *Bundesnetzagentur **GSA (Global mobile Supplier Association) ***Accenture Mobile Web Watch

  6. Wireless Broadband WorldwideWiMAX operator/manufacturer broaden scope to (TD-)LTE US WiMAX service provider Clearwire announced plans to trial LTE technology this year, August 2010 Yota chooses LTE over WiMAX for new market rollouts, May 2010 Beceem Ends 4G Debate with integrated 4G LTE/WiMAX Chip, February 2010 Sequans’ LTE solutions feature high performance category 3 throughput, TDD and FDD for global compatibility, August 2010

  7. Strong rising LTE commitmentsA global operator community is ready to start • Up to 22 LTE networks in service by end 2010 • Up to 45 LTE networks in service by end 2012 Source of data: GSA Information Paper “Evolution to LTE” – June 7, 2010Slide

  8. LTE Commitments (status in Dec.2009)

  9. LTE Commitments (status in Jun.2010)

  10. LTE commitments

  11. LTE is commercially available • LTE commercial launch on Dec 14, 2009 • Two city networks in Stockholm and Oslo • Gothenburg added in August 2010 • Population coverage at launch: 400,000 • Initially modems/USB dongles for 4G only • Limited number of modems to start with

  12. Germany – Digital DividendLTE 800 - Broadband Access in rural areas • Deutsche Telekom starts nation wide LTE-Deployment • Around 500 LTE-Sites on Band 20 planned until end 2010 • No mobility in the beginning • Further Band 7 deployment will start in 2011 • Vodafone Germany to deploy LTE network • Nation wide LTE coverage by 2013 starting with Band 20 • Plans to have 1,500 base stations upgraded bythe end of 2011 in rural areas without access to broadband services.

  13. LTE - front runners pushing the wireless industry • Verizon providing coverage to about 100 millionpeople by the end of 2010. 2013 Verizon Wirelessexpects to have same coverage with LTE as they dohave now with their 3G network based on 1xEV-DO Rev. A • NTT DOCOMO is verifying its new commercial LTE network in the Tokyo area, prior to the full-scale launch of a commercial extra-high-speedLTE service in December • China Mobile TD-LTE trials currently running,challenging timescales established for prototype, dual-mode and multimode devices

  14. Verizon WirelessMarket update Seattle, WA • During the Verizon web case onJune 15, 2010 Verizon Wireless Vice President,Tony Lewis, was concrete about their plans to launchLTE in 25 to 30 markets providing coverage to about 100 million people by the end of 2010, • Verizon will initially roll-out 10 cell sites in multiple key locations and will increase the number of cell sites towards the end of the year to provide more coverage, • By 2013 Verizon Wireless expects to have same coverage with LTE as they do have now with their 3G network based on 1xEV-DO Rev. A, which is covering today approximately 95% of the US population, • Verizon Wireless announced that Rohde & Schwarz has been selected to provide test solutions for LTE device certification, • http://news.vzw.com/news/2010/02/pr2010-02-16r.html Boston, MA

  15. NTT DoCoMoMarket update • NTT DOCOMO is the world’s leading mobile operator and provider of advanced mobile services. The company serves over 56 million customers in Japan, including 49 million using i-mode™, the world’s most popular mobile e-mail/Internet platform, and 54 million using FOMA™, the world’s original 3G mobile service based on W-CDMA. • TOKYO, JAPAN, June 8, 2010 – NTT DOCOMO, INC. announced today thaton June 8 it will begin verifying its newcommercial mobile network system basedon the Long Term Evolution (LTE) protocolin the Tokyo area, prior to the full-scalelaunch of extra-high-speed LTE commercialservice in December. • TOKYO, JAPAN, July 29, 2010 - NTT DOCOMO, INC. today unveiled the brand name and logo of its forthcoming LTE next-generation mobile service for the Japanese market, which is scheduledto launch in December. The brand name is writtenXi™ and read “crossy.”

  16. LTE ETWS application Source: 3GPP TS 22.168 version 8.1.0

  17. China MobileMarket update • Li Yizhong, Minister of Industry and Information Technology, stated that TD-SCDMA subscribers in China are expected to reach 80 million by 2011. The China Mobile TD-SCDMA system covered 284 cities by end 2009. China Mobile had 7.69 million 3G/TD-SCDMA subscribers total at end March 2010. • China Mobile internet page:„We undertook efforts to upgrade our core network to become fully IP-based, and established a 2G and 3G soft switch IP network that offers superior quality and is the world's biggest. We are committed to network quality improvement and TD technology innovation. ... We also promoted the international standardization of TD-LTE in several international organizations, paving the way for the continuous and healthy development of the TD industry. We will debut our TD-LTE showcase network at the WorldExpo Shanghai 2010.” • TD-LTE trials now • Timescales established forprototype, dual-mode andmultimode devices • In-service estimated as 2012-2013

  18. The LTE eco-system is building upLTE FDD and TD-LTE • Several LTE platforms have been announced by device and chipset manufacturers and were demonstrated to carriers and at trade shows, • 1st commercial LTE handsets are data cards, majority LTE-only, limited to one frequency band/bandwidth, • Next wave is going to be dual-mode or even triple, supporting several frequency bands, • Various field trials are ongoing, using selected infrastructure provider and device manufacturer, Close to 20 chip set and terminal manufacturers reported platforms into GSA

  19. LSTI Activities - Progress Source: LSTI

  20. LSTI – Initial Results

  21. GCF FDD Certification test statusGCF&PTCRB GCF TDD • GCF on schedule to start the LTE certification test • Estimate to start with GCF CC V3.40 before the end of 2010 • Certificate band includes: Band 13 Band 20 Band 3 Band 1 ~ ~ 760 825 1790 2050 Band 40 Band 7 Band 38 ~ ~ ~ MHz 2350 2600

  22. Certification test statusGCF&PTCRB • PTCRB plans to start the LTE certification test in Q1/2011 • Certificate band includes: Band 12 Band 17 PTCRB FDD Band 4 Band 13 ~ MHz 1950 720 760

  23. LTE/LTE-A Frequency Bands (FDD/TDD)

  24. Voice over LTE • LTE is likely deployed focus on data service only • Voice service of LTE will be introduce in second step • One Voice initiative • Introduce by GSMA in Feb.2010 • Using IP Multimedia System (IMS) base one 3GPP spec. • GSMA is driving both SMS and Voice service

  25. What Analyst say about LTE • Strategy Analytics forecasts the global LTE handset market will reach 150 million by 2013. • ABI Research forecasts by 2013 operators will spend over $8.6 billion on LTE base stations infrastructure. • IDATE Consulting & Research“LTE subscribers to reach 380 million by 2015” • Pyramid Research predicts LTE will grow faster than 3G.

  26. Thank you for your attention!

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