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Planning for Drought: A Risk Management Approach

Planning for Drought: A Risk Management Approach. Mark Svoboda, Climatologist Monitoring Program Area Leader, National Drought Mitigation Center University of Nebraska-Lincoln, USA South Central U.S. Drought Impacts and Assessment Workshop, Austin, TX July 7, 2011.

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Planning for Drought: A Risk Management Approach

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  1. Planning for Drought: A Risk Management Approach Mark Svoboda, Climatologist Monitoring Program Area Leader, National Drought Mitigation Center University of Nebraska-Lincoln, USA South Central U.S. Drought Impacts and Assessment Workshop, Austin, TX July 7, 2011

  2. Drought: “a force for truth” • Analysis of drought risk management is the starting point for a comprehensive institutional analysis • Stress from drought highlights: • Strengths and weaknesses that are usually hidden • Political priorities and underlying cultural values revealed by difficult choices • Societies will manage climate change in the same way they will manage droughts (for better and worse) Daniel Connell, Australian National University, 2010

  3. Characteristics of Crisis Management • reactive, post-impact • poorly coordinated • untimely • poorly targeted • ineffective • decreases self-reliance  greater vulnerability

  4. United States National Drought Policy • Collection of fragmented efforts • - 88 drought-related federal programs • - No national policy (WDCC,NDPC 1998) • - States have been leaders (WGA, etc.) • Limited funding for monitoring/mitigation • - fraction of response expenditures • Focus on crisis management • - ad-hoc responses and relief payments • - paradigm shift underway? • Then came NIDIS (2006) • Much more to do……

  5. Focusing Events: Windows of Opportunity for Drought Planning

  6. NDMC, 2011

  7. Drought Plan Components • Monitoring and early warning • Assess, communicate, and trigger action • Foundation of a drought mitigation plan • Vulnerability assessment • Who and what is at risk and why? • Mitigation and responseactions • Actions/programs that reduce risk and impacts and enhance recovery

  8. Tools for Planning: NDMC and NIDIS • All droughts are “local” • Planning is a “living” process • Planning should start local • Planning at all scales • Now what?

  9. “Drought Ready” Communities http://www.drought.unl.edu/plan/DRC.htm

  10. The Drought Ready Communities Project • 2 years (June 2008-June 2010) • Funded by NOAA’s Climate Program Office, Sectoral Applications Research Program (SARP), and NIDIS http://drought.unl.edu/plan/DRC.htm

  11. The Pilot Communities • Nebraska City, Nebraska, pop. ~ 7,000 • Wells draw from aquifer under the Missouri River • Decatur, Illinois, pop. ~ 82,500 • Surface water • Norman, Oklahoma ~ 100,000 + • Surface and ground water

  12. 1: Invite & Commit • 2: Gather Information • 3: Start Monitoring • 4: Plan for Education & Awareness • 5: Plan Responses to Reduce Impacts

  13. NIDIS Engaging Preparedness Communities Working Group Establishing a cooperative network of drought stakeholders UNL Project approval number (IRB# 20101111010 EX)

  14. EPC Goal: Assist entities in planning for and reducing the risks associated with drought NIDIS Implementation Plan, 2007

  15. Approach

  16. Approach • Create • database of state drought plan information

  17. Take Home Messages • Be in position to take advantage of focusing events • (windows of opportunity) to push drought planning • to the forefront as a consistent priority via policy • No “one size fits all” option available to develop a • plan • Needs to have a regular update period defined ( • living process) • Many lessons to be shared and learned

  18. Why Plan for Drought?

  19. Please visit the NDMC website for more information: http://drought.unl.edu Thanks! Contact me at: Mark Svoboda 402-472-8238 msvoboda2@unl.edu

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