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Crisis & Belief

Crisis & Belief. The Political Economy of Care and Fear. Petrik Runst – UW Eau Claire. Government Spending in the 20 th century. Robert Higgs (1988) Crisis & Leviathan, Oxford University Press. Supply Side Explanation. Gordon Tullock James Buchanan Richard Wagner Niskanen

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Crisis & Belief

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  1. Crisis & Belief The Political Economy of Care and Fear PetrikRunst – UW Eau Claire

  2. Government Spending in the 20th century Robert Higgs (1988) Crisis & Leviathan, Oxford University Press

  3. Supply Side Explanation • Gordon Tullock • James Buchanan • Richard Wagner • Niskanen • Mancur Olson • Vincent Ostrom Public Choice

  4. Demand Side Explanation? • Do people actually want more government during a crisis?

  5. Evolutionary Psychology Coordination of tribal movement cooperation warfare Van Vugt, 2006; Van Vugt, Hogan& Kaiser, in press Economics War

  6. More Evidence • Common leadership characteristics across 61 societies that correspond to desirable characteristic of ‘Big Men’ DenHartog et al., 1999; see also Epitropaki & Martin, 2004; Hogan & Kaiser, 2005; Lord & Maher, 1993 Boehm, 1999; Johnson & Earle, 2000; Sahlins, 1963

  7. More Evidence • When reminded of their mortality, people are more likely to demand a charismatic leader Cohen, 2004 • Americans are more likely to vote for hawkish leaders at times of military crisis McCann (1992) • Approval ratings increase when under attack Johnson & Tierney (2006)

  8. Modern Evidence • Crisis & Government Growth – 19th and 20th century Runst & Wagner (2011) Higgs (1988) Warren (1935)

  9. Some Theory – Haidt (2012) Liberals Care/Harm Fairness liberty foundation Economic Crisis  More Government

  10. Some Theory – Haidt (2012) Conservatives Loyalty/Betrayal Authority/Subversion Sanctity/Degradation Military Crisis  More Government

  11. World Value Survey Change in Attitudes =

  12. Figure 1 - Swiss Household Panel - Tax Increase for the Rich (1 – favor increase; 3 – favor decrease)

  13. Figure 2 - Swiss Household Panel - Party Preference

  14. Figure 3 - General Social Survey - Party Preferences

  15. Figure 4 - ALLBUS - Party Preference

  16. Experimental Set-Up

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