The Observing System Research and Predictability Experiment (THORPEX) OWNERSHIP OF THORPEX BY REGIONAL CENTRES AND NMHSs. J N MUTEMI University of Nairobi & IGAD Climate Prediction and Applications Centre Geneva, 8-10 May 2012. E. Africa Regional Centre: ICPAC & NMHSs.
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The Observing System Research and Predictability Experiment (THORPEX)
OWNERSHIP OF THORPEX BY REGIONAL CENTRES AND NMHSs.
J N MUTEMI
University of Nairobi
IGAD Climate Prediction and Applications Centre
Geneva, 8-10 May 2012
E. Africa Regional Centre: ICPAC & NMHSs
?? To what extend do the E.A/GHA NMHSs know about the potential benefit of THORPEX in improving their services. To what extend is THORPEX known as of practical helper of the individual NMHSs in the other sub-regions of Africa?
If within the remaining 2 years, THORPEX is to make a contribution, there should be an effort to make more known THORPEX resources directly to NMHSs and IMTRs.
Regional centre’s and NMHSs can network in
Carrying out regional and country scale diagnosis of synoptic and local scale features/ processes that are pre-cursors to high impact weather events.
“This activity has potential to improve operational attributes of synoptic
models which in turn translates to skill improvement in
In Eastern Africa including the whole of GHA, Let each country in the region
carry out THORPEX case study. For E.A. case study should be current torrential rainfall and consequent adverse impacts in Kenya, Mid-April to 1st Week of May 2012 is good case study, impacts are fresh in the minds and records!
Some NMHSs have NWP divisions (Most do not have). For nearly all in E.A, NWP models and/or NWP products are used directly as acquired from modelling centre/ developer. While it is possible that a given NWP model can be flexible enough for use over any geographical domain, meteorologically, this is too simplistic for realistic performance. At the minimum, NWP models should be tested with some case studies, senstivity testing and adjustment of key processes done to suite particular conditions. This is generally a research issue that the IMTR divisions of NMHSs, Regional Centres and universities can take up effectively.
THANKS TO WMO & THORPEX OFFICE FOR CHANCE
TO CONTRIBUTE TO THORPEX