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Dr. Terry Clower Director, Center for Economic Development and Research University of North Texas

The Next Hundred Million And The Next Six Million – or more Population Trends in the US and North Texas. Dr. Terry Clower Director, Center for Economic Development and Research University of North Texas. Areas of Influence. The Texas Triangle. Location: Eastern Texas

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Dr. Terry Clower Director, Center for Economic Development and Research University of North Texas

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  1. The Next Hundred Million And The Next Six Million – or more Population Trends in the US and North Texas Dr. Terry Clower Director, Center for Economic Development and Research University of North Texas

  2. Areas of Influence

  3. The Texas Triangle Location: Eastern Texas Principal Cities: Austin, Dallas/Fort Worth, Houston, San Antonio Population 2000: 16,131,347 Population 2050: 35 million

  4. Projected Ethnicity Change in the U.S. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2004

  5. Age-Sex Structure of U.S. Source: U.S. Census Bureau

  6. Regional Population 1960-2000 Absolute Change: 3,458,166 Percent Change: 186.82% Average Decennial Growth: 864,542 (2½ Arlingtons!)

  7. Population Growth in NCT, 2000-2040 Source: Texas State Data Center 2008 Population Projections

  8. Population Growth in Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington MSA, 1980-2040 (2000-2007 Migration Scenario) Sources: 1980-2000. U.S. Census Bureau Counts; 2008 Census Bureau Estimates; 2040: State Data Center 2000-2007 Migration Scenario Projection

  9. Population Growth in Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlingtonby Area, 1980-2040 Sources: 1980-2000. U.S. Census Bureau Counts; 2008 Census Bureau Estimates; 2040: State Data Center 2000-2007 Migration Scenario Projection

  10. Age-Sex Structure of NCT, 2008 andProjected 2040 (Scenario 2000-2007) Source: Census Bureau 2008 Population Estimates; Texas State Data Center 2008 Population Projections

  11. Projected Ethnic Change in theNorth Central Texas, 2000-2040 Source: Texas State Data Center 2008 Population Projections, 0.5 Migration Scenario

  12. Percentage of NCT Population byEthnicity at Each Age, 2000 At age 0: % Anglo: 60 % Hispanic: 21 At age 85+: % Anglo: 86 %Hispanic: 4 Source: Texas State Data Center

  13. Percentage of NCT Population byEthnicity at Each Age, 2040 Source: Texas State Data Center Population Projections, 2000-2004 Migration Scenario

  14. Conclusions • Population of the Texas Triangle will more than double by 2050 • Population of DFW MSA will more than double by 2040 • Anglos are still the U.S. majority in 2050 • Hispanics will be majority in NCT by 2033 with 0.5 migration scenario • Most of U.S. pop young adults to middle aged (20-44yrs) in 2050 • Most of NCT population is middle aged (35-49 yrs) by 2040 Contact info: Terry L. Clower, Ph.D. Director, Center for Economic Development and Research University of North Texas (940) 565-4049 tclower@unt.edu www.unt.ede/cedr

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