Reforming danish almp an assessment from a flexicurity perspective
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"Reforming Danish ALMP - an assessment from a flexicurity perspective". Per Kongshøj Madsen Centre for Labour Market Research (CARMA) Aalborg University , Denmark www.carma.aau.dk OECD Employment, Labour and Social Affairs Seminar March 3, 2014. Per Kongshøj Madsen.

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Reforming danish almp an assessment from a flexicurity perspective

"Reforming Danish ALMP - an assessment from a flexicurity perspective"

Per Kongshøj Madsen

Centre for Labour Market Research (CARMA)

Aalborg University, Denmark

www.carma.aau.dk

OECD Employment, Labour and Social Affairs Seminar

March 3, 2014


Per kongsh j madsen

Per Kongshøj Madsen

Professor at CARMA, Aalborg University and Research Fellow at IZA

Chairman of the EconomicCouncil of the Labour Movement

Member of the Koch-Commission


What s to come

What’s to come

  • The background: Danish flexicurity and the crisis

  • The criticism of ALMP

  • The tasks of the expertgroup

  • Proposals for reform

  • Whatare the next steps?


The danish version of flexicurity

The Danish version of flexicurity

Low EPL

Highmobility

Adaption to globalization

The social contract

Flexible labour market

Support from welfarestate institutions

Educational policy and more!

Unemploy-mentínsurance

ALMP

Employment security

Income security


Danish flexicurity against the wind

Danish flexicurity – against the wind

  • The overall developmenton the labour market:

    • Steepdecline in employment in 2008-2009

    • Then stagnation in employment and unemployment

    • A remarkable decline in the workforce

  • The reactions to the crisis (figure 8)

  • The stress on Danish flexicurity ”classic” (figure 9)

  • Still shelter from the storm!

  • Demolition of Danish flexicurity orgradual reforms?


Stylized facts

Stylized facts


Reforming danish almp an assessment from a flexicurity perspective

Decline i GDP


Reforming danish almp an assessment from a flexicurity perspective

Elasticity of employmentwithrespect to GDP


Flexicurity under stress

Flexicurity under stress?

Call for more job security

Can the social partners keep the balance?

Flexible labour market

Fewer public resources)

Educational policy and more!

Unemploy-mentínsurance

ALMP

Under pressure from the crisis

Lessgenerosity


Ltu in the eu

LTU in the EU

Unemployed for more than 12 months as a share of total unemployment:

Source: Eurostat


Reforming danish almp an assessment from a flexicurity perspective

Source: Eurobarometer:Monitoring the social impact of the crisis Wave 6, Flash EB No. 338, April 2012.


Falling apart or minor cracks in the building

Falling apartorminor cracks in the building?

Per Kongshøj Madsen (2013): “Shelter from the storm?” - Danish flexicurity and the crisis in: IZA Journal of European Labor Studies, Vol. 2, No. 6,


What s to come1

What’s to come

  • The background: Danish flexicurity and the crisis

  • The criticism of ALMP

  • The tasks of the expertgroup

  • Proposals for reform

  • Whatare the next steps?


The calls for reform

The calls for reform

  • Inefficient and ”meaningsless” activation

  • Disappointingresults from manyevaluations of effects and costs of ALMP, especially of ”education”


The calls for reform1

The calls for reform

  • Toomuchcontrol

    • Of the unemployed by the jobcentres

    • Of the work of the job-centres by the national authorities

  • Dissatisfactionwith the functioning of the job-centres:

    • Too small to fitwith the regional labour markets

    • Too small to care for groupswithspecialneeds (e.g. academics)

    • The governance system (lack of cooperationbetween the jobcentres, the weakerrole of regions, the regional boards and the social partners)


The calls for reform2

The calls for reform

  • Overlappingactivities of the jobcentres and the UI-funds.

  • Not sufficient contactbetween the jobcentres and the employers

  • Dissatisfactionwith the IT-platforms of the jobcentres

  • The shortening of the duration of unemploymentbenefits from four to twoyears from January 1, 2013, makes it more urgent to make an effectiveeffort to get the unemployed back to work.


The tasks of the koch commitee

The tasks of the Koch-commitee

  • To makeproposals for reforms that:

    • Lead to lasting employmentfor the unemployed

    • Implies an upgrading of qualificationsif relevant

    • Arebasedon more onconfidence and lessoncontrolwith the unemployed (empowerment)

    • Strengthen the link between the job-centres and the employers

    • Make the instruments used more cost-effectivethat at present

    • Do not implyextracostsfor the public budgets

  • A tripartiteprocess


The proposals five pillars

The proposals: Fivepillars

  • New, individual and job-focused effort for the individual unemployed

  • Targeted training and education of unemployed

  • Enhanced focus on the needs of businesses

  • Stronger economic incentives for the job-centres and less bureaucracy and process requirements

  • New regional organization and stronger stakeholder involvement


Pillar a individual support

Pillar A: Individual support

  • Assistance already in the dismissal phase

  • Job search phase with frequent counseling in the first six months

  • Activation after 6 months with job-training measures for the unemployed over 30 years (after 3 months for young unemployed under 30 years of age)

  • Elimination of repeated mandatory activation

  • Initial profiling and stricter requirements to support to high-risk groups

  • Low risk-groups may choose to complete the first six months of counseling in the unemployment insurance funds


Pillar a more individual support

Pillar A: More individual support

  • Booking of interviews and job search support activities in the first six months

  • Training of managers and employees in UI-funds and job centres in counselling

  • Requirement for ongoing documentation of intensive, comprehensive and realistic search in a Job Log

  • New possibilities of sanctioning for lack of job-search

  • Harmonisation of public and private sector wage subsidies


Pillar b education

Pillar B: Education

  • Upgrading of skills should be targeted at motivated unemployed

  • Right to training for unemployed with a job-offer

  • Right to basic courses in literacy, numeracy and writing

  • Right to 6 weeks of training after 6 months of unemployment, in agreement with the job center

  • Right to education for unskilled unemployed over 30 years with reduced benefit and a credit facility

  • No need to be available for work, if taking part in education


Pillar c contact with employers

Pillar C: Contactwithemployers

  • Systematic contact from job centers to employers based on knowledge of the labor market

  • Better means of job centers to facilitate recruitment of manpower and skills-upgrading of existing employees

  • Strengthened cooperation across municipalities

  • Establish fewer entry-points for large companies with recruitment needs

  • Monitoring of current and future infrastructure projects and other major construction projects


Pillar d economic framework

Pillar D: Economicframework

  • Reduction of process requirements for jobcentres

  • A reformed system of economic incentives for municipalities (the same reimbursement for all activities and reduces reimbursement over time for the individual unemployed)


Pillar e a new regional structure

Pillar E: A new regional structure

  • The current 94 local employment councils and 4 regional employment regions should be reorganized into 8-12 new regional councils, which better reflects the regional labour markets

  • The new councils will support cooperation between municipalities, between municipalities and unemployment funds, as well as between job centers, educational institutions and the regional growth fora.

  • The new councils will have representatives from social partners and other stakeholders

  • The new councils will administer funds for education and training


Still hard work ahead

Still hardworkahead!

Carsten Koch

Michael Rosholm,

Aarhus University

Vibeke Jensen

Aarhus Municipality

Per Kongshøj Madsen

Aalborg University


Next steps

Next steps

  • Draftreportdealingwith reform of ALMP the insuredunemployedready for comment from social partners: January 2014

  • Reportpresented to the Government: February 25, 2014

  • New reporton the non-insuredunemployed and othergroups at the margin of the labour market to bepreparedduring 2014

  • Preparemandate for a new commissiondealingwith the UI-system 2014-2015


Thank you for your attention

Thankyou for your attention

Towards a brighther future!


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