html5-img
1 / 42

The Challenges Brought By The Shortage of Oil And Gas In China And Their Countermeasures

The Challenges Brought By The Shortage of Oil And Gas In China And Their Countermeasures. Pang Xiongqi, Meng Qingyang Zhang Jun, Natori Mariko. China University of Petroleum in Beijing Key Laboratory For Hydrocarbon Accumulation Mechanism, Ministry of Education, PRC.

claire
Download Presentation

The Challenges Brought By The Shortage of Oil And Gas In China And Their Countermeasures

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript

  1. The Challenges Brought By The Shortage of Oil And Gas In China And Their Countermeasures Pang Xiongqi, Meng Qingyang Zhang Jun, Natori Mariko China University of Petroleum in Beijing Key Laboratory For Hydrocarbon Accumulation Mechanism, Ministry of Education, PRC Email：pangxq@bjpeu.edu.cn Tele: 86-010-89733346 Fax: 86-010-89733423 Mobile: 13701296729

  2. Contents I. Forward II. The Economy Development of China Needs a Lot of Oil and Gas Resources III. The Brief Introduction to Oil and Gas Production in China and their Prediction IV. The Brief Introduction to Oil and Gas Shortage in China and Their Prediction V . The Challenges Brought by the Shortage of Oil and Gas in China and Their Countermeasures Ⅵ. Conclusions

  3. 1. Brief Introduction of China Beijing, China Lisbon, Portugal ★ ★ Location: Northern Hemisphere, Asia Country land area: 9.6 million km2 Population: About 1.3 Billion Foundation: in 1949, PRC Nationalities: 56 (Mainly Han Nationality) Open door policy: Since 1978

  4. I. Forward 2. Brief Introduction to Oil and Gas Exploration in China ③ ② Legends ① East area ② Middle area ③ West area ④ South Chinasea area ① ④ Oil and Gas Resources are Distributed in Four Areas: East, Middle, West and South China Sea Brief Introduction of Oil and Gas Exploration in China (until the end of 2003) : Total Amount：Oil= 101 billion tones； Gas= 42 trillion m3 Proved：Oil= 23.42 billion tones；Gas= 3.8695 trillion m3 Proved Recoverable：Oil= 6.513 billion tones；Gas= 2.4646 trillion m3 Left Recoverable：Oil= 2.381 billion tones；Gas=2.0894 trillion m3

  5. I. Forward 490 420 360 310 260 240 222 220 200 190 170 162 Unit: million tones 3. Brief Introduction to China’s Shortage of Oil Comparison between Oil Production and Demand in China (From China National Statistics Bureau, 2004)

  6. I. Forward Gas Production Gas Consumption Unit: hundred million cubic meters 3.Brief Introduction to China’s Shortage of Gas Comparison between Gas Production and Demand in China (From China National Statistics Bureau, 2004)

  7. Contents I. Forward II. The Economy Development of China Needs a Lot of Oil and Gas Resources III. The Brief Introduction to Oil and Gas Production in China and their Prediction IV. The Brief Introduction to Oil and Gas Shortage in China and Their Prediction V . The Challenges Brought by the Shortage of Oil and Gas in China and Their Countermeasures Ⅵ. Conclusions

  8. II. The Economy and Society Development of China Needs a Lot of Oil and Gas Resources 1. The fast growth of economy in China consumes a lot of oil and gas resources The GDP increases very fast in recent 20 years in China and the average increase rate can reach 9% per year Brief introduction to economy growth in recent 20 years in China (From China National Statistics Bureau, 2004)

  9. II. The Economy and Society Development of China Needs a Lot of Oil and Gas Resources The increase of demand on oil and gas per year will reach 0.65% with 1% increase of China’s GDP. oil consumption increase rate /economy increase rate 1. The fast growth of economy in China consumes a lot of oil and gas resources The relation between oil consumption increase and yearly economy increase in China (From China National Statistics Bureau, 2004)

  10. II. The Economy and Society Development of China Needs a Lot of Oil and Gas Resources 1. The fast growth of economy in China consumes a lot of oil and gas resources The increase rate of yearly oil consumption in recent 10 years is five times higher than that of 10 years before . The oil consumption increase curve with time in China

  11. II. The Economy and Society Development of China Needs a Lot of Oil and Gas Resources 1. The fast growth of economy in China consumes a lot of oil and gas resources Yearly Oil consumption of China has reached 3 hundred million tones and just next to the U.S.A Yearly gas consumption rate of China is increasing fast but relatively still little comparing with other developed countries

  12. II. The Economy and Society Development of China Needs a Lot of Oil and Gas Resources 1. The fast growth of economy in China consumes a lot of oil and gas resources Oil consumption of China is 7.8％ of the consumption all over the world, while U.S.A is 25.3%. 1 km l l Million barrels per day 2004 Oil & Gas Journal July 5th 2004 Australia uses 0.8 China 6.3 US 20.5 World 81 US 1 cubic km oil / year China Australia United States

  13. II. The Economy and Society Development of China Needs a Lot of Oil and Gas Resources 2. The oil consumption of China will keep growing with the development of economy in the future The GDP growth rate will be averagely 7.5%~9% per year with personal GDP reaching 2600~3100 dollars in the coming 10 years. Forecast on economy increase of China in the coming 10 years (Beijing Statistic information website, 2005)

  14. II. The Economy and Society Development of China Needs a Lot of Oil and Gas Resources 2. The oil consumption of China will keep growing with the development of economy in the future The oil demand of China in 2020 will be today’s 1.5 times and reach 4 hundred million tones Forecast curves on oil demand by different scholars of China in the coming 15 years

  15. II. The Economy and Society Development of China Needs a Lot of Oil and Gas Resources 2. The oil consumption of China will keep growing with the development of economy in the future The gas demand of China will be today’s 3.5 times and reach 180 billion cubic meters in 2020. Forecast curves on gas demand by different scholars of China in the coming 15 years

  16. Contents I. Forward II. The Economy Development of China Needs a Lot of Oil and Gas Resources III. The Brief Introduction to Oil and Gas Production in China and their Prediction IV. The Brief Introduction to Oil and Gas Shortage in China and Their Prediction V . The Challenges Brought by the Shortage of Oil and Gas in China and Their Countermeasures Ⅵ. Conclusions

  17. III. The Brief Introduction to Oil and Gas Production in Chinaand Their Prediction 1. Brief Introduction to Oil and Gas Exploration in China ( until the end of 2003): Total amount： oil= 101 billion tones； gas= 42 trillion cubic meters Accumulated discovered geological reserves： oil= 23.42 billion tones； gas= 3.87 trillion cubic meters Accumulated discovered recoverable reserves： oil= 6.513 billion tones； gas= 2.47 trillion cubic meters Remaining recoverable reserves： oil= 2.381 billion tones； gas=2.09 trillion cubic meters Proved rate: oil= 38.9%； gas= 23.0%

  18. Production (million tones) Production (hundred million cubic meters) III. The Brief Introduction to Oil and Gas Production in Chinaand Their Prediction 2. Yearly production curves of oil and gas with time since 1949 oil gas

  19. East China Middle China West China China’s Sea East China Middle China West China China’s Sea III. The Brief Introduction to Oil and Gas Production in Chinaand Their Prediction 3. Oil and gas production in different areas of China

  20. Norway (North Sea) Typical Oil Depletion Curve III. The Brief Introduction to Oil and Gas Production in Chinaand Their Prediction 4. Forecast approach and principle on China’s future oil and gas production Werner Zittel , LBST www.energiekrise.de

  21. Theoretical maximum resources Yearly proved resources Proved resources Proved recoverable resources Oil and gas resources (hundred million tones) Yearly production Remaining recoverable resources Accumulated production Exploration and development procession III. The Brief Introduction to Oil and Gas Production in Chinaand Their Prediction 4. Forecast approach and principle on China’s future oil and gas production Relationship among the oil and gas resources, proved and recoverable resources, remaining recoverable resources and yearly production

  22. Exploration fruits (108tones) III. The Brief Introduction to Oil and Gas Production in Chinaand Their Prediction 4. Forecast approach and principle on China’s future oil and gas production Relationship among the oil and gas resources, proved and recoverable resources, remaining recoverable resources and yearly production of China from 1970 to 2003

  23. III. The Brief Introduction to Oil and Gas Production in Chinaand Their Prediction 5. Forecast on China’s oil and gas production by different scholars in the coming 15 years. Oil Production (million tones) Gas Production (hundred million cubic meters)

  24. III. The Brief Introduction to Oil and Gas Production in Chinaand Their Prediction 6. Forecast on oil and gas production until 2050 Yearly oil production (million tones) Yearly gas production (million tones)

  25. III. The Brief Introduction and Forecast on Oil and Gas Production in China 6. Forecast on oil and gas production in China 2026 2005 Oil production Gas production } Gas Million Tones } Oil Forecast on China’s oil and gas production

  26. Contents I. Forward II. The Economy Development of China Needs a Lot of Oil and Gas Resources III. The Brief Introduction to Oil and Gas Production in China and their Prediction IV. The Brief Introduction to Oil and Gas Shortage in China and Their Prediction V . The Challenges Brought by the Shortage of Oil and Gas in China and Their Countermeasures Ⅵ. Conclusions

  27. IV. The Brief Introduction to Oil and Gas Shortage in China and Their Prediction Gb /year } 50 Demand Growth World oil shortfall scenarios 40 Shortfall Past Production of Oil 30 20 Forecast Production 2002 2030 10 0 1. The shortage of oil and gas is an inevitable problem faced by human beings time By 2030, the gap is equivalent to 6,000 nuclear reactors

  28. IV. The Brief Introduction to Oil and Gas Shortage in China and Their Prediction 2. The shortage of oil in China is shown by large importation. Production and demand (million tones) Importation is 50% of Total demand in 2010 China began to import oil in 1993 } Oil demand Shortfall Oil production ● Importation is 41% of Total demand in 2004 Time

  29. IV. The Brief Introduction to Oil and Gas Shortage in China and Their Prediction Production and demand (hundred million cubic meters) } shortfall Gas demand Begin to import gas Gas production ● 2004 2. The shortage of gas in China is shown by large importation

  30. Contents I. Forward II. The Economy Development of China Needs a Lot of Oil and Gas Resources III. The Brief Introduction to Oil and Gas Production in China and their Prediction IV. The Brief Introduction to Oil and Gas Shortage in China and Their Prediction V . The Challenges Brought by the Shortage of Oil and Gas in China and Their Countermeasures Ⅵ. Conclusions

  31. V . The Challenges Brought by the Shortage of Oil and Gas in China and Their Countermeasures Challenge I ：Restrain economy development Defense Chemical Industry …… Transportation Traffic Space industry Environment Oil & gas Oil is the blood of industry. The industry cannot develop without it. It costs us a lot of foreign exchanges to import oil. The number of 2004 reached 300 billion RMB. The expense on yearly importation will keep increasing with the increase of importation and higher oil price. Bottleneck

  32. V . The Challenges Brought by the Shortage of Oil and Gas in China and Their Countermeasures Challenge II : Affect people’s life and environment World U.S.A oil coal hydro gas China nuclear China has a large population and is in shortage of energy. People are still using traditional methods to utilize the energy. It causes a series of environment problems: decrease of forests and plants, decline of earth and organic matters in the soil , growth of desert, and so on. China has the largest coal production and consumption. The burning of coal gives out 85% of the country’s SO2，85% of the country’s CO2，and 75% of the country’s dust. The loss cost by acid rain is 2% of the GDP in 1998. The potential effect of CO2 is a key factor in the energy field.

  33. V . The Challenges Brought by the Shortage of Oil and Gas in China and Their Countermeasures Challenge III：Affect country security Gulf War Oil and gas are important strategy resources. In modern war, the production and procession basement of oil and its transportation tools are the main attacking targets by enemies. The shortage of oil will seriously threaten the security of the country. Now the pillage on oil and gas resources is so furious around the world. The past Gulf War and newly ended Iraq War are all because of the abundance of oil resources in the Middle-east. Iraq War

  34. V . The Challenges Brought by the Shortage of Oil and Gas in China and Their Countermeasures 2005 How to deal with these challenges brought by the shortage of oil and gas ? Gb/year Efficiency Demand Growth World oil shortfall scenarios Transport mode shifts Pricing / taxes City design / lifestyle Past Production of Oil Other petroleum fuels gas, tar-sands Other fuels Deprivation, war Forecast Production • no single “Magic Bullet” solution • probably no replacement ever for cheap plentiful oil • Urgent preparation and adjustment are vital

  35. V . The Challenges Brought by the Shortage of Oil and Gas in China and Their Countermeasures China adopts four measures to solve the shortage of oil and gas resources problems Oil and gas production and demand (million tones) Oil and gas demand Take saving measures 2005 Find substitute energy Utilize overseas energy Oil and gas production Develop domestic energy

  36. V . The Challenges Brought by the Shortage of Oil and Gas in China and Their Countermeasures Measure I：Innovate geological theory and fasten the development and utilization of domestic oil and gas resources • China’s oil and gas resources: • Oil: 104 billion tones, proved rate:38.9%(the world:73.0%) • Gas: 42trillion cubic meters, proved rate:23.0%(the world:60.5%) Oil and gas resources distribution and exploration situation in China

  37. V . The Challenges Brought by the Shortage of Oil and Gas in China and Their Countermeasures Measure II：Participate international competition and broaden the benefit proportion of international oil and gas resources The benefit oil and gas resources are totally 19.74 million tones, among them, PetroChina 14.43 million tones, CNOOC 5 million tones, SINOPEC 0.31 million tones. The situation and fruits of China’s overseas oil and gas exploration

  38. V . The Challenges Brought by the Shortage of Oil and Gas in China and Their Countermeasures Measure III: Increase the expenses on science and technology and develop substitute energy Substitute energy ★Coal to oil ★Develop hydrogen energy ★Ethanol gasoline ★Develop biomass energy ★Utilizing wind and solar energy ★Utilizing nuclear energy Oil and gas are non-renewable energy resources and will be used up in some day. Governments in all the countries should take measures to look for substitute energies.

  39. V . The Challenges Brought by the Shortage of Oil and Gas in China and Their Countermeasures Measure IV : Adopt saving measures and guarantee the stable development Measures to Save oil & gas ★Change life style ★Develop public transportation ★Decrease the consumption of oil by cars ★Improve the efficiency of oil and gas utilization Oil is a high-efficiency energy and gas is a clean energy. The oil price will keep increasing, so adopting oil saving measures will be the direction we take efforts to.

  40. V . The Challenges Brought by the Shortage of Oil and Gas in China and Their Countermeasures ★ US China What is our purpose to take these measures?

  41. Contents I. Forward II. The Economy Development of China Needs a Lot of Oil and Gas Resources III. The Brief Introduction to Oil and Gas Production in China and their Prediction IV. The Brief Introduction to Oil and Gas Shortage in China and Their Prediction V . The Challenges Brought by the Shortage of Oil and Gas in China and Their Countermeasures Ⅵ. Conclusions

  42. Ⅵ. Conclusions 1.China’s economy is still in fast development stage, oil and gas resources are the most important energies. 2. It is inevitable that oil and gas will be used up in the future, the predicted peak production of oil and gas in China will be in 2026. 3. Chinese government now is paying much more attention to this serious problem and four measures are taken to solve this problem. 4. We believe that human beings can take advantage of their talents and knowledge to solve this problem. Thanks for your attention

More Related