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台灣未來經濟發展面臨之挑戰 ~ 京都議定書 ~ PowerPoint PPT Presentation


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台灣未來經濟發展面臨之挑戰 ~ 京都議定書 ~. 梁啟源 中央研究院經濟研究所 Feb. 2005. 背景說明. 在俄羅斯國會於去(民 93 )年 10 月 23 日通過簽署京都議定書後,京都議定書正式生效的兩個重要門檻,即超過 55 個國家簽署,且其溫室氣體總排放量超過 1990 年排放總額的百分之五十五,已因而通過。

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台灣未來經濟發展面臨之挑戰 ~ 京都議定書 ~

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~~

Feb. 2005


931023551990

216WTOEUP


  • CO274

  • GDP56.448.9GDP105.3

  • 199712111998

    • 2020CO2 (Business as usual) 2448

    • 20201.2

  • 2003CO219961.8962.679 4.9441.3




1CO2 and GDP Growth in Taiwan,96-02


2 Changes of Energy Efficiency in Taiwan 96-03


3 Energy Structure Changes in Taiwan, 1996-2004


4 CO2 GDP1996-2002


1996-19995.551999-20032.58CO21996-19994.795.27CO20.721996-19992.611999-2003


CO2

(1)199627%200332.0%CO2 2.7%11.3%1.2%7.7%5

(2)1999-20038.9%9.76%6


5 (1996-2004)

Unit: %


6 (1996-2003)


  • 1

  • 2

  • 3CO2

  • 4


  • 1996-2003

    • 2004621.516.5


7


8


9


  • 2.54435.93805.2669

  • 19962.548120032.5443

  • 1.99691.8287103


10


3



2

    • 200310200421.6%10.5%26.3%64.6%

    • 2003ROE4.6%20049.0%GDP0.612%0.126%

    • 1.0%1.48%0.261.279%3.78%2.9%11


119CO2


(3)

(4)


3

(1)

60


(2)

33(23.212.9%


  • (86)-0.31%0.3%

  • ()(-0.3)3923.87%(12.9%0.3)506

  • 1,133.56920.42%268,829.5


(3)





(4)

  • LPG

  • LPG



4

(1)

  • CO2


12 (1998)


(2)

  • (22.2/CO2)(22.2/CO2) 25.77%

  • -36.45%-23%-15.76%-14.23%

  • 22.2/CO2GDP2.26%1.57%


13CO2[$ 22.2/CO2 ()] ()


  • (22.2/ )GDP2.26%(2020)1.01%

  • 19992020221,4421,73416.8%


14 (1999)()


(3)

(4)

    • CO2


15 (1999) ()


16CO2(2020) [$ 22.2/CO2 ()] ()


17(2020) ()


18(2020)()


1922[$ 22.2/ CO2 ()]


20CO2 (1999)


211999-2020CO2 ()


221999-2020CO2 ()



2001-2020


(2001 ~ 2020)


200130

  • .(Case1)20013020025

  • .(Case2)NEDO 20002003~2007202008~20205%



  • -(2008)

  • 2020)

    • 3.24 % ( 5.384/166 MKLOE )

    • 8.31 % ( 224.4/2699 )


92


92


1

2

1

2

3

4


2.

3.


4.

5.

6.


()


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