Interpretation of outputs
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Interpretation of outputs. Health and Social Care Modelling Group University of Westminster, London. Outline. Following the sequence of FLoSC reports LoS – General Info LoS – Summary Info LoS – Fitted Results Cost – General Info Cost – Forecast Result LoS – Technical Info.

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Interpretation of outputs

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Interpretation of outputs

Interpretation of outputs

Health and Social Care Modelling Group

University of Westminster, London


Outline

Outline

Following the sequence of FLoSC reports

  • LoS – General Info

  • LoS – Summary Info

  • LoS – Fitted Results

  • Cost – General Info

  • Cost – Forecast Result

  • LoS – Technical Info


Flosc report los general info

FLoSC: Report - LoS – General Info

  • First FLoSC summarises the data, after some basic cleansing

    • FLoSC deletes records of patients moving from NC to RC


Flosc report los summary info 1

FLoSC: Report - LoS – Summary Info (1)

  • FLoSC provides a summary frequency table


Flosc report los summary info 2

FLoSC: Report - LoS – Summary Info (2)

  • FLoSC provides summary statistics on length-of-stay (mean, standard deviation, etc), stratified by type of care and by gender


Flosc report los summary info 3

FLoSC: Report - LoS – Summary Info (3)

  • Histograms (should) confirm the “exponential” shape of the LoS distribution

    • The time labels are actually interval mid-points


Flosc report los summary info 4

FLoSC: Report - LoS – Summary Info (4)

  • The table at the bottom summarises the movement of residents


Flosc report los fitted results 1

FLoSC: Report - LoS – Fitted Results (1)

  • More homogeneous group in RC than in NC

  • High mortality in the first few months in NC

  • Once past the early phase in NC, residents “behave” like in RC


Flosc report los fitted results 2

FLoSC: Report - LoS – Fitted Results (2)

  • Very good fit to data

  • Exponential shape


Flosc report los fitted results 3

FLoSC: Report - LoS – Fitted Results (3)

  • Very good fit to data

  • “Exponential” shape

  • Much sharper early decline captured by the mixture of two exponentials


Flosc report cost general info 1

FLoSC: Report - Cost – General Info (1)

First FLoSC summarises the number of residents in the care system (RC and NC) on the last date of the data availability period (7 Sep 2007)


Flosc report cost general info 2

FLoSC: Report - Cost – General Info (2)

FLoSC provides other LoS statistics on those in care at the last date of the data availability period


Flosc report cost forecast result 1

FLoSC: Report – Cost – Forecast Result (1)

  • First FLoSC summarises your cost input data


Flosc report cost forecast result 2

FLoSC: Report – Cost – Forecast Result (2)

  • Predict cost of known commitments quarterly

    • Known commitment: residents already in system

Costs amount to nearly £7.5m to the end of the current financial year (1 Apr 2008), and almost £11m for the following financial year


Flosc report cost forecast result 3

FLoSC: Report – Cost – Forecast Result (3)

  • Costs are also broken down by type of care


Flosc report los technical info

FLoSC: Report - LoS – Technical Info

These are the parameters used to derive information on residents’ movements and costs forecasts


Interpretation of outputs

THANK YOU

Questions?

And then to the FAQs


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