Interpretation of outputs
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Interpretation of outputs. Health and Social Care Modelling Group University of Westminster, London. Outline. Following the sequence of FLoSC reports LoS – General Info LoS – Summary Info LoS – Fitted Results Cost – General Info Cost – Forecast Result LoS – Technical Info.

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Interpretation of outputs

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Interpretation of outputs

Health and Social Care Modelling Group

University of Westminster, London


Outline

Following the sequence of FLoSC reports

  • LoS – General Info

  • LoS – Summary Info

  • LoS – Fitted Results

  • Cost – General Info

  • Cost – Forecast Result

  • LoS – Technical Info


FLoSC: Report - LoS – General Info

  • First FLoSC summarises the data, after some basic cleansing

    • FLoSC deletes records of patients moving from NC to RC


FLoSC: Report - LoS – Summary Info (1)

  • FLoSC provides a summary frequency table


FLoSC: Report - LoS – Summary Info (2)

  • FLoSC provides summary statistics on length-of-stay (mean, standard deviation, etc), stratified by type of care and by gender


FLoSC: Report - LoS – Summary Info (3)

  • Histograms (should) confirm the “exponential” shape of the LoS distribution

    • The time labels are actually interval mid-points


FLoSC: Report - LoS – Summary Info (4)

  • The table at the bottom summarises the movement of residents


FLoSC: Report - LoS – Fitted Results (1)

  • More homogeneous group in RC than in NC

  • High mortality in the first few months in NC

  • Once past the early phase in NC, residents “behave” like in RC


FLoSC: Report - LoS – Fitted Results (2)

  • Very good fit to data

  • Exponential shape


FLoSC: Report - LoS – Fitted Results (3)

  • Very good fit to data

  • “Exponential” shape

  • Much sharper early decline captured by the mixture of two exponentials


FLoSC: Report - Cost – General Info (1)

First FLoSC summarises the number of residents in the care system (RC and NC) on the last date of the data availability period (7 Sep 2007)


FLoSC: Report - Cost – General Info (2)

FLoSC provides other LoS statistics on those in care at the last date of the data availability period


FLoSC: Report – Cost – Forecast Result (1)

  • First FLoSC summarises your cost input data


FLoSC: Report – Cost – Forecast Result (2)

  • Predict cost of known commitments quarterly

    • Known commitment: residents already in system

Costs amount to nearly £7.5m to the end of the current financial year (1 Apr 2008), and almost £11m for the following financial year


FLoSC: Report – Cost – Forecast Result (3)

  • Costs are also broken down by type of care


FLoSC: Report - LoS – Technical Info

These are the parameters used to derive information on residents’ movements and costs forecasts


THANK YOU

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