1 / 26

November 17, 2004

UBS Global Conference Presentation. November 17, 2004. AGENDA. Brazilian Telecom Market Telemar Overview Financial Results. 1. LD. Mobile. Data. Local. . . . . Telemar. . . . Telefonica. . . . Brasil Telecom. . . . Telmex/AMX. . TIM. . Vivo.

cana
Download Presentation

November 17, 2004

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript


  1. UBS Global Conference Presentation November 17, 2004

  2. AGENDA • Brazilian Telecom Market • Telemar Overview • Financial Results 1

  3. LD • Mobile • Data • Local •  •  •  •  • Telemar •  •  •  • Telefonica •  •  •  • Brasil Telecom •  •  •  • Telmex/AMX •  • TIM •  • Vivo • Local Fixed line • Long Distance • Broadband • Mobile • Data (Corporate) • : Low • : Medium-High • : Low-Medium • : High • : High From State Monopoly to Privatization and Competition • Up to 1998 • (State Monopoly) • 1998 • (Duopoly) • 2004 • (Competition) • Major Players • Fixed line • Telemar • RI • RII • Brasil • Telecom • RIV • Embratel • (Long Distance) • RIII • Telefonica • 4 incumbents • 4 Mirror Co’s. • Mobile • Degree of Competition (per service) • VIII • X • One Holding Company • 26 state companies (fixed/mobile) • IX • VII • IV • III • V • I & II • VI • 10 incumbents • 10 Mirror Co’s

  4. TIM • Vivo • Telefonica • Telemar • Oi Major Telecom Players in Brazil – September/2004 • Brasil Telecom • Opportunity & BRT • (GSM) (TDMA/GSM) (TDMA/GSM) • Region I • Region II • 10% • 5.7 M • 4.0 M • 11.7 M • 20% • 7% • 15.2 M • 39% • 9.6 M • 25% • Embratel (LD Carrier) • Claro • Fixed line • (CDMA) (TDMA/GSM) • Lines in Service • (Brazil: 39 million*) National Market Share • Region IV • Mobile • Region III • Subscriber Base (Brazil: 58 million**) • 12.0 M • 21% • 24.6 M • 12.2 M • 42% • National Market Share • 31% * Includes smaller incumbents and mirror companies. ** Includes other groups

  5. 03 • 94 • 95 • 96 • 97 • 01 • 98 • 00 • 02 • 99 • 04* • Privatization Growth of Customer Base Fixed Line & Mobile Customer Base – Brazil (millions) • Mobile subscribers • Mobile • Penetration (%) • Fixed Lines in Service • Fixed Line • Penetration (%) • Growth depends on Brazilian economic uptake going forward • Mobile users already surpassed fixed lines in service, posting an annual growth rate in excess of 30% (1999 – 2003) • PCS Entrants • * September 04

  6. Penetration Figures and Forecasts Fixed: 39 M (Sep/04) Mobile: 58 M (Sep/04) 23% 33% • Mobile penetration still has a lot of room to grow; • Market estimates between 62.8 / 69.8 m subs by 2004YE; • Estimated mobile penetration for 2008YE ranges from 42% to 58% (80 to 100 m subs); • Fixed line penetration should be more or less stable, relying on GDP growth. 58% Max. 42% Min. Mobile* Fixed Line** 23% * Estimates from: Citigroup, Goldman Sachs, JP Morgan, Merryll Lynch, Pyramid Research. ** Estimates from Yankee Group

  7. PC Penetration (% of households) * 2003 Broadband Market Broadband Market Brazil • Broadband penetration still low in Brazil (1.9 m accesses by Sep/04) • ADSL is the dominant technology (~85% market share); • Cable has ~10% market share • Broadband penetration is expected to grow to 30% of total internet accesses by 2008*; • Telemar has a target to increase broadband penetration from 2% of fixed lines to 5% by 2006. Source: Estimates Teleco e Telemar Broadband Access – ( thousands) 3,831 3,547 CAGR 46% 3,148 2,591 1,874 1,490 1,199 694 326 130 Source: *Pyramid Research Estimates

  8. AGENDA • Brazilian Telecom Market • Telemar Overview • Financial Results

  9. Shareholder Structure Telemar Participações S.A. • 18.9% • TNLP Tele Norte Leste Participações S.A. (TNL) • Free Float: 81.1% • (TNL) • 100% Contact Center • TMAR • 80.9% Fixed line • Free Float: 19.1% • 100% • 100% Data Transmission Mobile

  10. Telemar – Overview • Region I= • Concession for fixed line services • License for Wireless services (GSM) • Integrated Telecom Service Provider (Sep/04) • 15.2 million fixed lines in service • 5.7 million mobile subscribers • 429 thousand ADSL subscribers • Concession Area (Region I) - Local Service and PCS • 65% of Brazilian territory/94 million inhabitants • 40% of country’s GDP • Over 20 million households • Leadership in local and long distance services • After only 2 years of launching, already #2 position in mobile subs (Region 1) • Nationwide • Authorization for fixed line services, DLD, ILD and Data • Data, Corporate & Call Center Services (nationwide) • Most heavily traded shares at Bovespa (TNLP4): US$ 48 million/day (Sept/04); • Strong liquidity at the NYSE (TNE): US$ 18 million/day (Sep/04) • High Free Float: 81.1% of total shares • Market value of US$ 5.1 billion (Sep/04)

  11. Restructuring 16  1 - Optimization of Resources; - Process Standardization; - Management Centralization; - Merger of wireline companies; Main Achievements 1998 2004 International • RI • RII • RIII Management/Processes/IT Processes All Unified 16 Companies / Brandies 16 IT Systems 60 Network Platforms 50 Network Management Centers 116 Call Centers Services Local & Advanced Voice Domestic & International LD Nationwide Data Transmission Wireless Call Center Network Management / Internet Services Local Voice data and regional LD; Market Vision Market Approach Market Approach Customer Segmentation Geographic Product and Service

  12. Largest Telco Player with Integrated Operations Fixed line Data, Internet & Corporate Wireless • Customer loyalty • Cross-selling • Convergent services • Operating / Financial synergies • Scale National Coverage DLD / ILD Broadband Contact Center • The Company’s six main business lines provide a healthy balance between stable cash flow and growth opportunities. • Telemar is the leader or second major player in five out of its six main businesses

  13. New Customers • ExistingCustomers • & Services • New Services Sources of Growth: New Customers and New Services • Growth Strategy • Penetration Growth • Convergence • Bundles • One Stop Shop • Cross Selling • Full • TelecomServiceProvider • Synergy • Innovation • CLM (Customer Lifetime Value Management) • Up Selling • Wallet • Share • Growth • Video & VOD • Fixed-mobile phone

  14. Integrated and Convergent Services • Velox Wi-Fi • Velox + Oi • Hotspots • Wireless banking transactions • Wireless payment authorizations • Oi World (Video) + • Wireline SMS • Voice Net + • (virtual PBX integrated with Mobile trunks) • Prepaid Mobile recharge on Fixed Line Bill • Oi + Public Phone (single card) • “Oi Family” • (reduced tariff from mobile to family’s fixed line)

  15. Buy a Velox (DSL) and get an Oi (Mobile) • 100 minutes free from Oi (Mobile) to fixed • Single Card for Mobile and Public Phone Some Integrated and Convergent Services • Recharge Prepaid Mobile • on Fixed line Bill

  16. Innovation: House of the future • Telemar is piloting new revenue generating services in its “House of the Future” • Client Expenditure Breakdown • Existing • New • Content&Services • + • Up Selling • + • Cross Selling Home Office Kid’s Room SecuritySystem Video Telephony Gaming IP Telephony USB Kitchen Kitchen Living Room • Broadband • + • Fixed line • + • Mobile IntegratedEntertainment WirelessAccess Fixed Mobile Handset VOD

  17. ADSL • Mobile • Fixed Line Growth of Customer Base In millions CAGR (98-03) 19.7% ~22.4 Main drivers: • Ability to anticipate the growth potential of mobile technology and keep on expanding customer base; • Capacity to maintain and increase market share in a changing technological and market environment. 21.3 19.2 16.5

  18. AGENDA • Brazilian Telecom Market • Telemar Overview • Financial Results

  19. + 12% yoy CONSOLIDATED NET REVENUE (R$ million)

  20. + 6% yoy EBITDA – ANNUAL EVOLUTION (R$ million) • EBITDA Margin

  21. 10.1 • Wireless • 2.2 • 2.8 • 2.5 • 7.9 • 2.2 • 2.0 • 2.0 • Wireline • 1.7 • 40% • 0.9 • 0.6 • 1.1 • 60% • 0.4 • 1.1 • 1.1 • 0.7 Anatel Targets and Mobile License (R$1.1 bn) Consolidated CAPEX R$ billion • CAPEX / NET REV. • CAPEX 2003: ~12% of net revenues, compared to 17% in 2002; • CAPEX 9M04: R$ 1,134 million (9.8% of sales); • CAPEX since 1998: R$ 22 billion; • CAPEX should stay below 15% of net revenues in the medium term. • 98 • 99 • 03 • 00 • 9M04 • 01 • 02

  22. +25% yoy Consolidated Operating Cash Flow after CAPEX R$ million CAGR (99-03)69.1% • 9M04 • 9M03 • 2003 • 2002 • 2000 • 2001 • 1999 Having met our main fixed line universalization targets and mobile rollout,our cash generation is expected to remain strong

  23. Debt Position Net Debt Evolution (R$ million) Net Debt/ EBITDA x • Based on a strong cash generation, we expect to reduce our net debt level to below 1x EBITDA by 2004YE. * To this figure should be added the amount disbursed by the Company on its stock buyback program

  24. TNE: Dividend Payments - 1999/2003 US$ million • Dividend yield* • Dividend / Interest on Capital • 2003 • 1999 • 2000 • 2001 • 2002 * Based on stock prices at 10/29/04 . Our goal is to continue to provide high cash returns to investors

  25. Closing remarks • Ability to timely adjust to market changes, searching for new opportunities • Re-shaping competition in the mobile market • Continued increase in market share and revenues • Sound financial position & increasing returns to shareholders

  26. This Presentation is also available in our website at: www.telemar.com.br/ir • This presentation contains forward-looking statements. Statements that are not historical facts, including statements about our beliefs and expectations, are forward-looking statements and involve inherent risks and uncertainties. These statements are based on current plans, estimates and projections, and therefore you should not place undue reliance on them. Forward-looking statements speak only as of the date they are made, and we undertake no obligation to update publicly any of them in light of new information or future events • Investor Relations • Rua Humberto de Campos, 425 / 8º andar • Leblon • Rio de Janeiro -RJ • Phone: ( 55 21) 3131-1314/1313/1315/1316/1317 • Fax: (55 21) 3131-1155 • E-mail: invest@telemar.com.br • Visit our website: • http://www.telemar.com.br/ir

More Related