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Population Dynamics and Climate Change Climate and People Conference 23-24 March 2009 Oslo, Norway Leyla Alyanak alyana

Population Dynamics and Climate Change Climate and People Conference 23-24 March 2009 Oslo, Norway Leyla Alyanak alyanak@unfpa.org UNFPA GENEVA. In the news…. “Fresh water supply pressured by growing population , social demands”

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Population Dynamics and Climate Change Climate and People Conference 23-24 March 2009 Oslo, Norway Leyla Alyanak alyana

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  1. Population Dynamics andClimate ChangeClimate and People Conference 23-24 March 2009Oslo, NorwayLeyla Alyanakalyanak@unfpa.orgUNFPA GENEVA

  2. In the news… “Fresh water supply pressured by growing population, social demands” “Population explosion and climate change are straining the water supply” “Two-thirds of the world’s population will face water stress in less than 20 years if current trends continue” “Driving the demand for water are population growth and mobility, rising living standards, changes in food consumption, and increased energy production”

  3. Population Growth andClimate Change • Environmental problems are aggravated by population size: current 6.8 billion are already a climate threat. • The impact of probable growth to 9 billion will depend in large part on what those people consume. • Poor countries have high fertility but lower impact on global emissions. • Rich countries have low fertility but their high consumption causes global environmental damage • ‘Development’ and growing consumption in large, middle-income countries will have the most impact on climate change.

  4. Population Composition and Climate Change Jian, Leiwen and Karen Hardee. 2009. “Working Paper: How Do Recent Population Trends Matter to Climate Change?” Population Action International.

  5. Population, Developmentand Climate Change

  6. A Changing Model Common Version Our Version Population Dynamics Population Size Population Composition Development Climate Change Population Size Climate Change

  7. Mind the Gap • Better understand population/climate change interactions • Strong evidence base on links • Take into account the cultural dimension

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