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AGL Energy Limited CPRS AEU Analysis and the Electricity Sector Tim Nelson Head of Carbon and Sustainability. IETA Side-Event, COP 15 December 2009. Cost of an AEU. Relative gas and coal prices likely to be a key determinant of cost of reducing emissions (implied AEU price). Cost of an AEU.

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AGL Energy LimitedCPRSAEU Analysis and the Electricity SectorTim NelsonHead of Carbon and Sustainability

IETA Side-Event, COP 15

December 2009


Cost of an aeu
Cost of an AEU

Relative gas and coal prices likely to be a key determinant of cost of reducing emissions (implied AEU price)

IETA Side-Event, COP 15

December 2009


Cost of an aeu1
Cost of an AEU

Altering the gas/coal price spread significantly increases implied carbon price

IETA Side-Event, COP 15

December 2009


Impact of cprs on electricity prices
Impact of CPRS on electricity prices

Estimated pass through of carbon prices varies substantially across modelling studies

IETA Side-Event, COP 15

December 2009


Prices are low but will inevitably increase
Prices are low but will inevitably increase

Coal availability, technology and competition reforms have reduced energy prices but they will inevitably increase

IETA Side-Event, COP 15

December 2009


Impact of ret also critically important
Impact of RET also critically important

As a result of the Renewable Energy Target, renewable investment will expand significantly

Source: AGL (2009)

IETA Side-Event, COP 15

December 2009


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