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Population Ecology

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Population Ecology. 1. Density and Distribution 2. Growth a. Exponential b. Logistic 3. Population Limiting Factors 4. Human population growth. Examples of applications. Invasive species Endangered species Pest control (e.g., agriculture) Human population growth.

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slide1

Population Ecology

  • 1. Density and Distribution
  • 2. Growth
    • a. Exponential
    • b. Logistic
  • 3. Population Limiting Factors
  • 4. Human population growth
examples of applications
Examples of applications
  • Invasive species
  • Endangered species
  • Pest control (e.g., agriculture)
  • Human population growth
slide3

Population. Individuals of same species occupying same general area.

Density: the number of organisms in a given area

Distribution: how the organisms are spaced in the area

slide4

Changes in population size

Northern Pintail Duck

Growing

Shrinking

Fluctuating

questions
Questions
  • Why do populations change in size?
  • What factors determine rates of population growth or decline?
  • How do these differ among species?
2 population growth
2. Population growth
  • Two models of population growth:
    • Exponential
    • Logistic
slide7

2. Population Growth

a. exponential growth

The change in population size (N) in an interval of time is

number of births – number of deaths, or

∆N = B - D

∆t (ignoring immigration and emigration)

If b (birth rate) is the number of offspring produced over a period of time by a population, and d (death rate) is the average number of deaths for that population,

∆N = bN – dN or∆N = (b – d)N

∆t ∆t

slide8

Population Growth: exponential growth

The difference between the birth rate and the death rate is the per capita growth rate

r = b - d

The growth equation can be rewritten as

∆N = rN or dN = rN

∆t dt

Exponential growth occurs when resources are unlimited and the population is small (doesn’t happen often). The r is maximal (rmax) and it is called the intrinsic rate of increase.

slide9

r can also be negative (population decreasing)

if r is zero, the population does not change in size

thus, the rate of increase (or decrease) of a population can change over time.

slide11

Or indefinitely:

Reindeer on the Pribalof Islands, Bering Sea

reindeer slide

slide12

2.b. Logistic growth

Most populations are limited in growth at some carrying capacity (K) (the maximum population size a habitat can accommodate)

slide13

Logistic Growth Equation: incorporates changes in growth rate as population size approaches carrying capacity.

dN = rmaxN

dt

(K - N)

K

slide14

r- and K-selection

K-selection

Near carrying capacity natural selection will favor traits that maximize reproductive success with few resources (high densities).

Density-dependent selection.

r-selection

Below carrying capacity natural selection will favor traits that maximize reproductive success in uncrowded environments (low densities).

Density-independent selection.

slide15

Density-dependent

Any characteristic that varies according to a change in population density.

Density-independent

Any characteristic that does not vary as population density changes.

food availability, territories, water, nutrients, predators/parasites/disease, waste accumulation

weather events, salinity, temperature

3 factors that limit population growth
3. Factors that limit population growth
  • Density dependent birth and death rates. Many of these reflect
    • competition for resource (food/energy, nutrients, space/territories).
    • predation, parasites, disease
    • waste accumulation (e.g., ethanol)
4 factors that limit population growth
4. Factors that limit population growth
  • Density independent survivorship or mortality
    • Extreme weather events
    • Fluctuations in wind and water currents
slide18

Interactions among population-limiting factors

The dynamics of a population result from the interaction between biotic and abiotic factors, making natural populations unstable.

Water temperature,

Competition,

Cannibalism.

slide19

Population-Limiting Factors

Some populations have regular boom-and-bust cycles.

Predation

Food shortage in winter

Prey availability

slide20

SUMMARY

Population. Individuals same species occupying same general area.

Have geographic boundaries and population size.

Key characteristics

Density. Individuals per unit of area or volume.

Distribution: uniform, clumped, random.

Demography. Studies changes in population size.

Additions (+) : Births and Immigration.

Subtractions (-) : Deaths and emigration.

Life histories. Affect reproductive output and survival rate and thus population growth.

Life history strategies are trade-offs between survival and reproduction.

slide21

Population Growth

Exponential. J-shaped. Idealized, occurs in certain conditions.

Logistic. S-shaped. A little more realistic. Carrying capacity.

K-selection. Density-dependent selection.

r-selection. Density independent selection.

Population growth is slowed by changes in birth and death rates with density.

Interaction of biotic and abiotic factors often results in unstable population sizes. In some populations they result in regular cycles.

slide23

Human Population= 6,596,469,500 (earlier today)

Exponential growth since Industrial Revolution: better nutrition, medical care and sanitation.

Growth rates ( r )

1963: 2.2%(0.022), 1990: 1.6%, 2003: 1.3% (200,234/day), 2015: 1%

http://www.ibiblio.org/lunarbin/worldpop

Growth will slow down either due to decreased births or increased deaths.

Likely both as suggested by age-structure pyramids: relative number of individuals in each age-class.

when and how will human population growth stop
When and how will human population growth stop?
  • This question is likely to be answered one way or another in your lifetime.
  • What is Earth’s carrying capacity for human’s?
  • Have we already exceeded K?
  • What are consequences of human population growth for other species on this planet?
human impact
Human impact
  • Depends on
    • Total human population
    • Consumption by each individual
    • Ecological impact of each unit of consumption
  • I = PAT (Ehrlich and Ehrlich)
    • P = population
    • A = affluence
    • T = technology
slide26

Unknown what the carrying capacity of Earth for humans is. A useful concept is the ecological footprint: land needed to produce resources and absorb wastes for a given country.

World Wildlife Fund for Nature

slide28

SUMMARY

Human population has been growing exponentially for a long time.

A reduction is expected either through lower birth rates or higher death rates. The age-structure suggest different scenarios for individual countries.

Humans appear to be above Earth’s carrying capacity.

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