MN Coalition for the Homeless Conference Sept 15, 2014

1. Housing Stability: A Key Factor in Addressing Community-Wide Prosperity Building Our Future: Now is the Time for Equitable Growth MN Coalition for the Homeless Conference Sept 15, 2014

2. Outline for Today’s Presentation Ending Homelessness is more than Housing! • Overview of a new effort in Ramsey County – related to Community-wide Prosperity • Ramsey County’s looking at the drivers for homelessness in new ways (homelessness and concentrated poverty are linked) • The model can be applied to other areas of the state

3. An Economic Prosperity Model for Ramsey County This Region – County – City – Neighborhood model will be used as a reference point throughout the workshop The Ramsey County community is represented by everything within the heptagon, and it should aspire to grow as fast as or faster than the Region growing around it.

4. An Indicator of Economic Prosperity The assets available to use as the basis for current and future consumption and investment People(Human Capital) Land (Natural Capital) • Why is it Important? • Serves as an indicator of the current strength of a jurisdiction. • Greater prosperity spread across all three circles indicates greater resiliency and potential for future growth. • Contributes to preemptively addressing areas of risk. Capital (Physical Capital) In this section we will examine people, land, and capital. 4

5. A Closer Look at within Ramsey County Future economic prosperity requires an educated, trained and available workforce. People Ramsey County is the second most populous county in the Region with more than half a million residents. 5

6. A Closer Look at within Ramsey County People 174,996 people Census 2010 and Minnesota Population Projections by Race and Hispanic Origin, 2005 to 2035. Ramsey County is and will remain significantly more racially diverse than the Region, meaning that ongoing, race-based disparities will have a greater impact. 6

7. A Closer Look at within Ramsey County A highly educated workforce builds a sustainable, resilient economy and presents new growth opportunities for businesses People 32,635 residents 25+ without HS degree US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2011 The lower educational attainment levels of today’s workforce of residents (aged 25+) is a short-term risk for economic growth and resiliency. Workers without at least some college experience were significantly more likely to lose their job during the recent recession and continue to disproportionately struggle today. 7

8. A Closer Look at within Ramsey County “There is a widespread belief that learning is the core factor [that increases] human capital.” - 2009 OECD World Forum on Statistics, Knowledge and Policy People Countywide Proficiency Data 2013 The chart shows that there are medium-term risks to ensuring that Ramsey County’s citizens are prepared to thrive in an economy increasingly featuring technical, high-wage careers. MN COMPASS. Compiled from the MN Dept of Education. 2013. 8

9. A Closer Look at within Ramsey County “There is a widespread belief that learning is the core factor [that increases] human capital.” - 2009 OECD World Forum on Statistics, Knowledge and Policy People Countywide Proficiency Data 2013 The chart shows that there are Long-term risks to ensuring that Ramsey County’s citizens are prepared to thrive in an economy increasingly featuring technical, high-wage careers. MN COMPASS. Compiled from the MN Dept of Education. 2013. 9

10. A Closer Look at within Ramsey County Compounding factors of race and low-income and is an issue for our entire community. People St Paul School Enrollment Data Saint Paul Public Schools 2012 Enrollment Data Saint Paul Children’s Collaborative Master Youth Plan Baseline Data 2012 10

11. Recap within Ramsey County Large urban population of over a half a million people. Lower educational attainment for adults 25+ puts pressure on job growth Lower education achievement among current students reduces future job growth potential and desirability for new residents and business Disparities in educational outcomes based on race and income will greatly impact future earnings and community stability. People We know that homeless families are disproportionately people of color. Students who are high mobile or homeless often suffer academic stain. 11

12. Land A Closer Look at within Ramsey County Available land is a key prosperity factor and a predictor of future development and economic growth Metropolitan Council 2010 Land Use Data Ramsey County is less than 100,000 acres in size and contains 5.5% of the total land area in the Region. 12

13. Land A Closer Look at within Ramsey County A diversified and balanced mix of uses is important for economic growth and sustainability within a community. Percent Dedicated to Select Land Uses Finding the Right Mix Saint Paul Port Authority, An Industrial Strategy for the City of Saint Paul, 2012 Metropolitan Council 2010 Land Use Data Ramsey County has a significantly higher proportion of its total land use dedicated to residential purposes than other counties in the Region. This creates a unique budgetary dynamic for the County and the cities within it, which must be carefully considered with every redevelopment opportunity. 13

14. Capital A Closer Look at within Ramsey County Assessing the current and potential for future capital land base provides a measure of capital Percent of Total Land Available for Current and Future Capital Use Metropolitan Council 2010 Land Use Data Ramsey County has a strong capital base when measured as a percent of its total available land, but future expansion is limited. The intensity of use on available capital land thereforematters more than in any other county within the Region. 14

15. Capital A Closer Look at within Ramsey County Current employment figures are an indicator of the presence of capital from which future economic prosperity can occur Just because there are jobs here, does not mean that residents are filling those jobs. Ramsey County is one of three main employment centers in the Region (Downtown Mpls., Downtown St. Paul, and the Airport). This is a strength from which the County can build with future investments that leverage its comparatively strong employment per square mile figure. 15

16. Prosperity Means Opportunity for Everyone Employment In order to successfully cultivate economic prosperity, we must ensure that everyone in our community can take advantage of opportunities to grow and succeed. Education Housing • “Life is lived in a web of opportunity.  Only if we address all of the mutually reinforcing constraints on opportunity can we expect to make real progress.” • Dr. John Powell • Chair, Civil Rights & Civil Liberties - Moritz College of Law, Ohio State University Capacity Investment In this section we will focus on neighborhoods resiliency factors to assess the web of opportunity. 16

17. Opportunity Through Housing Neighborhood income patterns reflect policy and programs Location Based Housing Includes: HUD Public Housing, Mod Rehab, Section 8 NC/SR, Section 236 and Multi-Family Other Programs PlusLow Income Housing Tax Credits Data: US HUD Picture of Subsidized Housing 2010 (2010 Geography); Metro 2010 Land Use Data; ACS 2012 1 year Total Housing Units Ramsey County has, by a wide margin, the Region’s highest rates for voucher and location-based affordable housing. This heavy concentration of units, without similar concentrations of investments to increase a neighborhood’s web of opportunity, has the effect of increasing financial poverty within neighborhoods while also limiting housing choices for residents throughout the Region. 17

18. Opportunity Through Housing HUD units listed above Areas with extreme poverty have over one-third of the housing units as subsidized housing, and a very large proportion are location based units. Data sources: HUD Picture of Subsidized Housing 2012 (2010 Geography ACS 2011 5 year data.

19. Opportunity Through Investment

20. Opportunity Through Investment 20

21. How does this affect our efforts to prevent and end homelessness • Housing solves homelessness for the individual household • Only broader investment alleviates the concentration of poverty that greatly increases the risk of return to homelessness. 21

22. Our homeless response focuses on housing Employment Which is appropriate because the solution to homelessness is housing. Education Housing Capacity Investment 22

23. End Homelessness • But the key to ending homelessness is healthy communities with opportunity that is equitably spread. • Community investment strategies that provide: transportation, employment, child care, and good schools where they are lacking. • Strategies focused on building workforce skills and connections to work. • Land use strategies that promote positive mobility and healthy options and choices for everyone. 23

24. Housing meets some needs but not all • Housing may isolate rather than provide community • Crime and gang activity in the neighborhood can create great stress • Neighborhood may provide few or no connections for jobs • Parent might perceive that area schools are substandard • Shopping for food and other necessities may be difficult, with local options overly expensive 24

25. How do we expand our reach • Moving from housing that resolves an episode of homelessness that becomes a foundation for healthy stability. • Housing is Fundamental • Without housing it is much more difficult to: • Find a job • Keep a job • Child attending school and learning • Maintain healthy lifestyle (eat and sleep well) • Cope with the effects of trauma, depression, substance abuse. • Keep a family intact • Plan for the future • Have hope for the future 25

26. Finding the Bridge from Homeless Solution to Housing Stability • Cont of Care Regulations • Consolidated Plan • Public Housing Plan • Community Education Plan • Why is this important? • Comprehensive Plan includes: • Land use • Transportation • Parks and Rec • Housing • Historic Preservation • Water Resources 26

27. Finding the Bridge from Homeless Solution to Housing Stability • Consolidated Plan includes: • Housing and Homeless needs assessment • Housing and market analysis • Strategic Plan • Action Plan • Role of CoC • Drafting Language • Ensuring Public Participation • Public Education • http://portal.hud.hud.gov/hudportal/HUD?src=/program_offices/comm_planning/about/conplan/local/mn#state 27

28. Discussing the Presentation Comments and Questions: • What do you think are key factors for helping address concentrated poverty? • What are some things your agency or CoC could be doing in your local community? • Other questions or comments? 28

29. Thank You for Participating Information presented by: Carol Zierman, Senior Policy Analyst, Ramsey County Manager’s Office carol.zierman@co.ramsey.mn.us 651-266-8004 Jim Anderson, Homeless and Low-Income Services Planner, Community Human Services Jim.anderson@co.ramsey.mn.us 651-266-4116 www.RCprosperity.org