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An Australian risk-need inventory and what we have learnt about its accuracy

An Australian risk-need inventory and what we have learnt about its accuracy. Andrew McGrath & Tony Thompson. Risk/Need Assessment. The risk/need/responsivity (RNR) correctional agenda The Youth Level of Service/Case Management Inventory-Australian Adaptation (YLS/CMI-AA). The YLS/CMI-AA.

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An Australian risk-need inventory and what we have learnt about its accuracy

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  1. An Australian risk-need inventory and what we have learnt about its accuracy Andrew McGrath & Tony Thompson

  2. Risk/Need Assessment The risk/need/responsivity (RNR) correctional agenda The Youth Level of Service/Case Management Inventory-Australian Adaptation (YLS/CMI-AA)

  3. The YLS/CMI-AA 47 yes/no items across 8 domains: Prior and current offences (8 items) Family and living circumstance (7 items) Education/employment (7 items) Peer relations (4 items) Substance abuse (6 items) Leisure/recreation (3 items) Personality/behaviour (7 items) Attitudes/beliefs (5 items)

  4. Research agenda 2000/2001, Initial norming study, N = 305 2003 – 2005, Re-norming study, N = 3568 2008 – 2010, N = 4401 first and previous YLS (2895 first assessment) 2012, N = 50, case reviews (with Jane Goodman-Delahunty)

  5. Basic descriptive data and predictive validity

  6. 2008/2010 data: Further breakdown

  7. YLS: Use of cut-scores

  8. Hit/miss rates within DJJ risk categories

  9. Gender differences (2008/10)

  10. Gender differences (2008/10)

  11. Ethnic differences (2008/10)

  12. Ethnic differences (2008/10)

  13. Case studies: some brief concluding remarks • 10 year research agenda • Predictive validity vs accuracy • Case studies: help to increase validity • Tension between assessment and intervention • Role of contextual factors • Follow-up data

  14. References McGrath, A., & Thompson, A. P. (2012). The relative predictive validity of the static and dynamic domain scores in risk-need assessment of juvenile offenders. Criminal Justice and Behavior, 39, 250-263. doi: 10.1177/0093854811431917 Thompson, A. P., & McGrath, A. (2012). Subgroup differences and implications for contemporary risk-need assessment with juvenile offenders. Law and Human Behavior, 36, 345-355. doi: 10.1037/h0093930

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