Engm 661 engineering economics for managers
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ENGM 661 Engineering Economics for Managers. Multiple/Continuous Compounding. Learning Objectives for tonight:. Understand Effective Interest Rates Figure out how to use Inflation/Deflation in your decisions. Summary of discrete compounding interest factors. Interest Rate Terms….

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ENGM 661 Engineering Economics for Managers

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Engm 661 engineering economics for managers

ENGM 661Engineering Economics for Managers

Multiple/Continuous Compounding


Learning objectives for tonight

Learning Objectives for tonight:

  • Understand Effective Interest Rates

  • Figure out how to use Inflation/Deflation in your decisions


Summary of discrete compounding interest factors

Summary of discrete compounding interest factors.


Engm 661 engineering economics for managers

Interest Rate Terms…

  • Compounding Period(cp) – the time between points when interest is computed and added to the initial amount.

  • Payment Period(pp) – the shortest time between payments. Interest is earned on payment money once per period (cost of money)

  • Nominal Rate( r ) – is a simplified expression of the annual cost of money. It means nothing, unless the compounding period is stated along with it.

  • Annual Percentage Rate(APR) – is the nominal interest rate on a yearly basis (credit cards, bank loans, …). It, too, should have a compounding period stated.

  • Effective Rate( i ) – is the rate that is used with the table factors or the closed form equations, and it converts the nominal rate taking into account both the compounding period and the payment period so that the blocks match.


Nominal vs effective int

Nominal vs. Effective Int.

Consider the discrete End-of-Year cash flow tables below:

PeriodCash FlowPeriodCash Flow

0- $100,000 3$30,000

1 30,000 4 30,000

2 30,000 5 30,000

Determine the Present Worth equivalent if

a. the value of money is 12% compounded annually.

b. the value of money is 12% compounded monthly.

c. the value of money is 12% compounded continuously.


Solution annual rate

30,000

1 2 3 4 5

100,000

Solution; Annual Rate

P = -100,000 + 30,000(P/A, ieff, 5)

= -100,000 + 30,000(P/A, .12, 5)


Solution nominal effective

30,000

1 2 3 4 5

100,000

Solution; Nominal/Effective

P = -100,000 + 30,000(P/A, ieff, 5)

= -100,000 + 30,000(P/A, .12, 5)

= -100,000 + 30,000(3.6048)

= $8,144


Solution compound monthly

30,000

1 2 3 4 5

100,000

m

r

=

+

-

i

1

1

eff

m

Solution; Compound Monthly


Solution compound monthly1

30,000

1 2 3 4 5

100,000

m

r

=

+

-

i

1

1

eff

m

12

.

12

=

+

-

1

1

12

=

+

-

12

(

1

.

01

)

1

=

=

.

1268

12

.

68%

Solution; Compound Monthly


Solution compound monthly2

30,000

1 2 3 4 5

100,000

Solution; Compound Monthly

P = -100,000 + 30,000(P/A, ieff, 5)

= -100,000 + 30,000(P/A, .1268, 5)


Solution compound monthly3

30,000

1 2 3 4 5

100,000

Solution; Compound Monthly

P = -100,000 + 30,000(P/A, ieff, 5)

= -100,000 + 30,000(P/A, .1268, 5)

= -100,000 + 30,000(3.5449)

= $6,346


Solution continuous comp

30,000

1 2 3 4 5

100,000

Solution; Continuous Comp.

P = -100,000 + 30,000(P/A, ieff, 5)

ieff = ????


Continuous compounding

Continuous Compounding

Now suppose we use an infinite # of compounding periods (continuous). How might we find an answer

to our problem of r=12% per year compounded on a continuous basis?


Continuous compounding1

Continuous Compounding

Now suppose we use an infinite # of compounding periods (continuous). How might we find an answer

to our problem of r=12% per year compounded on a continuous basis

F= P(1+.12/9999)9999(one year period)

= P(1.1275)

= P(1+.1275)


Engm 661 engineering economics for managers

Continuous Compounding

i = e( r )(# of years) – 1

Examples:

r = 12% per year compounded continuously

ia= e( .12)(1) – 1 = 12.75%

What would be an effective six month interest rate for r = 12% per year compounded continuously?

i6 month= e( .12)(.5) – 1 = 6.184%


Solution continuous comp1

30,000

1 2 3 4 5

100,000

=

-

r

i

e

1

eff

=

-

1

e

1

=

-

=

1

.

1275

1

12

.

75%

Solution; Continuous Comp.


Solution continuous comp2

30,000

1 2 3 4 5

100,000

Solution; Continuous Comp.

P = -100,000 + 30,000(P/A, ieff, 5)

= -100,000 + 30,000(P/A, .1275, 5)


Solution continuous comp3

30,000

1 2 3 4 5

100,000

Solution; Continuous Comp.

P = -100,000 + 30,000(P/A, ieff, 5)

= -100,000 + 30,000(P/A, .1275, 5)

= -100,000 + 30,000(3.5388)

= $6,164


Solution revisted

30,000

1 2 3 4 5

100,000

Solution; Revisted

P = -100,000 + 30,000(P/A, ieff, 5)

= -100,000 + 30,000(P/A, .1275, 5)

= -100,000 + 30,000(3.5388)

= $6,164


Continuous i eff

Continuous ieff

  • Example: Suppose a bank pays interest on a CD account at 6% per annum compounded continuously. What is the effective rate?


Continuous i eff1

Continuous ieff

Example: Suppose a bank pays interest on a CD account at 6% per annum compounded continuously. What is the effective rate?

Soln: ieff= e.06 - 1

= .0618

= 6.18%


Continuous i eff2

Check: Let r=6%, m=999

ieff = ( 1 + r/m)m - 1

= (1+.06/999)999 - 1

= .0618

= 6.18%

Continuous ieff

Example: Suppose a bank pays interest on a CD account at 6% per annum compounded continuously. What is the effective rate?

Soln: ieff= e.06 - 1

= .0618

= 6.18%


Engm 661 engineering economics for managers

Compounding Period is More Frequent than the Payment Perod

EFFECTIVE INTEREST RATE

ie = effective interest rate per payment period

= ( 1 + interest rate per cp)(# of cp per pay period)– 1

= 1 + r me– 1

m

Example:

r = 12% APR, compounded monthly, payments quarterly

imonth = 12% yearly = 1 % compounded monthly

12 months

ie = (1 + .01)3 – 1 = .0303 – or – 3.03% per payment


Engm 661 engineering economics for managers

An “APR” or “% per year” statement is a Nominal interest rate

– denoted r – unless there is no compounding period stated

The EffectiveInterest rate per period is used with tables & formulas

Formulas for Effective Interest Rate:

If continuous compounding, use

y is length of pp, expressed in decimal years

If cp < year, and pp = 1 year, use

m is # compounding periods per year

If cp < year, and pp = cp, use

m is # compounding periods per year

If cp < year, and pp > cp, use

me is # cp per payment period


Engm 661 engineering economics for managers

CRITICAL POINT

When using the factors,

n and i must always match!

Use the effective interest rate formulas to make sure that i matches the period of interest

(sum any payments in-between compounding periods so that n matches i before using formulas or tables)


Engm 661 engineering economics for managers

Shows up here on CFD…

(End of Period Convention)

Returns interest here!

Deposit made here …

i

X

Note:

Interest doesn’t start accumulating until the money has been invested for the full period!

2 periods

1

0


Engm 661 engineering economics for managers

DIAGRAM:

NONE NEEDED!

Problem 1

The local bank branch pays interest on savings accounts at the rate of 6% per year, compounded monthly. What is the effective annual rate of interest paid on accounts?

GIVEN:

r = 6%/yr

m = 12mo/yr

FIND ia:


Engm 661 engineering economics for managers

DIAGRAM:

$2 000

0

5 yrs

1

2

P?

Problem 2

What amount must be deposited today in an account paying 6% per year, compounded monthly in order to have $2,000 in the account at the end of 5 years?

GIVEN:

F5 = $2 000

r = 6%/yr

m = 12 mo/yr

FIND P:


Engm 661 engineering economics for managers

DIAGRAM:

$2 000

0

60mos

1

2

P?

Problem 2 – Alternate Soln

What amount must be deposited today in an account paying 6% per year, compounded monthly in order to have $2,000 in the account at the end of 5 years?

GIVEN:

F5 = $2 000

r = 6%/yr

m = 12 mo/yr

FIND P:


Engm 661 engineering economics for managers

DIAGRAM:

$5 000

1

2 yrs

0

A ?

Problem 3

A loan of $5,000 is to be repaid in equal monthly payments over the next 2 years. The first payment is to be made 1 month from now. Determine the payment amount if interest is charged at a nominal interest rate of 12% per year, compounded monthly.

GIVEN:

P = $5 000

r = 12%/yr

m = 12 mo/yr

FIND A:


Engm 661 engineering economics for managers

DIAGRAM:

F?

0

1

2

3

4 yrs

$1 000

Problem 4

You have decided to begin a savings plan in order to make a down payment on a new house. You will deposit $1000 every 3 months for 4 years into an account that pays interest at the rate of 8% per year, compounded monthly. The first deposit will be made in 3 months. How much will be in the account in 4 years?


Engm 661 engineering economics for managers

DIAGRAM:

F?

1

2

3

0

5 yrs

$1 000

Problem 5

Determine the total amount accumulated in an account paying interest at the rate of 10% per year, compounded continuously if deposits of $1,000 are made at the end of each of the next 5 years.


Engm 661 engineering economics for managers

1

2

3

Problem 6

A firm pays back a $10 000 loan with quarterly payments over the next 5 years. The $10 000 returns 4% APR compounded monthly. What is the quarterly payment amount?

DIAGRAM:

$10 000

5 yrs = 20 qtrs

0

$A


Inflation

Inflation

Suppose the price of copper is $1,000/ton and price rises by 10% per year. In 5 years,

Price = 1000(1.1)5 = $1,610.51

But we still only have 1 ton of copper


Inflation1

Inflation

Suppose the price of copper is $1,000/ton and price rises by 10% per year. In 5 years,

Price = 1000(1.1)5 = $1,610.51

But we still only have 1 ton of copper

$1,610 5 years from now buys the same as $1,000 now


Inflation2

Inflation

Suppose the price of copper is $1,000/ton and price rises by 10% per year. In 5 years,

Price = 1000(1.1)5 = $1,610.51

But we still only have 1 ton of copper

$1,610 5 years from now buys the same as $1,000 now

10% inflation


Inflation3

Inflation

Suppose the price of copper is $1,000/ton and price rises by 10% per year. In 5 years,

Price = 1000(1.1)5 = $1,610.51

But we still only have 1 ton of copper

$1,610 5 years from now buys the same as $1,000 now

10% inflation(deflation = neg. inflation)


Combined interest rate

Combined Interest Rate

Suppose inflation equals 5% per year. Then $1 today is the same as $1.05 in 1 year

Suppose we earn 10%. Then $1 invested yields $1.10 in 1 year.


Combined interest rate1

Combined Interest Rate

Suppose inflation equals 5% per year. Then $1 today is the same as $1.05 in 1 year

Suppose we earn 10%. Then $1 invested yields $1.10 in 1 year.

In today’s dollars

$1.00 $1.10

$1.05 $1.10


Combined interest rate2

Combined Interest Rate

That is

$1.10 = 1.05 (1+d)1

1(1+.10) = 1(1+.05)(1+d)


Combined interest rate3

Combined Interest Rate

That is

$1.10 = 1.05 (1+d)1

1(1+.10) = 1(1+.05)(1+d)

1+i = (1+j)(1+d)

i = d + j + dj


Combined interest rate4

Combined Interest Rate

That is

$1.10 = 1.05 (1+d)1

1(1+.10) = 1(1+.05)(1+d)

1+i = (1+j)(1+d)

i = d + j + dj

i = interest rate (combined)

j = inflation rate

d = real interest rate (after inflation rate)


Combined interest rate5

-

i

j

=

d

+

1

j

Combined Interest Rate

Solving for d, the real interest earned after inflation,

where

i = interest rate (combined)

j = inflation rate

d = real interest rate (after inflation rate)


Example

Example

Suppose we place $10,000 into a retirement account which earns 10% per year. How much will we have after 20 years?


Example1

Example

Suppose we place $10,000 into a retirement account which earns 10% per year. How much will we have after 20 years?

Solution: F = 10,000(1+.1)20

= $67,275


Example cont

Example (cont.)

How much is $67,275 20 years from now worth if the inflation rate is 3%?


Example cont1

Example (cont.)

How much is $67,275 20 years from now worth if the inflation rate is 3%?

Solution: FT = 67,275(P/F,3,20)

= 67,275(1.03)-20

= $37,248


Example cont2

i

j

-

=

d

+

1

j

Example (cont.)

Alternate: Recall

= (.1 - .03)/(1+.03) = .068


Example cont3

-

i

j

=

d

+

1

j

Example (cont.)

Alternate: Recall

= (.1 - .03)/(1+.03) = .068

FT = 10,000(1+d)20

= 10,000(1.068)20

= $37,248


Example cont4

-

i

j

=

d

+

1

j

Example (cont.)

Alternate: Recall

= (.1 - .03)/(1+.03) = .068

FT = 10,000(1+d)20

= 10,000(1.068)20

= $37,248

Note: This formula will not work with annuities.


Retirement a

Retirement a.

Superwoman wishes to deposit a certain amount of money at the end of each month into a retirement account that earns 6% per annum (1/2% per month). At the end of 30 years, she wishes to have enough money saved so that she can retire and withdraw a monthly stipend of $3,000 per month for 20 years before depleting the retirement account. Assuming there is no inflation and that she will continue to earn 6% throughout the life of the account, how much does Superwoman have to deposit each month? You need only set up the problem with appropriate present worth or annuity factors. You need not solve but all work must be shown.


Solution retirement a

FP

3,000

0 1 2 3 4 360

1 2 3 4 240

A

Solution; Retirement a.

Take everything to time period 360

FP = A(F/A, 0.5, 360) = 3,000(P/A, 0.5, 240)


Solution retirement a1

FP

3,000

0 1 2 3 4 360

1 2 3 4 240

A

Solution; Retirement a.

Take everything to time period 360

FP = A(F/A, 0.5, 360) = 3,000(P/A, 0.5, 240)

A(1,004.52) = 3,000(139.58)


Solution retirement a2

FP

3,000

0 1 2 3 4 360

1 2 3 4 240

A

Solution; Retirement a.

Take everything to time period 360

FP = A(F/A, 0.5, 360) = 3,000(P/A, 0.5, 240)

A(1,004.52) = 3,000(139.58)

A = $416.82


Retirement b

Retirement b.

Suppose that the solution to the above problem results in monthly deposits of $200 with an amassed savings of $350,000 by the end of the 30th year. For this problem assume that inflation is 3% per annum. Compute the value of the retirement account in year 30 before funds are withdrawn (in today’s dollars)


Solution retirement a3

FP = 350,000

3,000

0 1 2 3 4 360

1 2 3 4 240

200

Solution; Retirement a.

FP = 350,000

FPT = 350,000(1+j)-n


Solution retirement a4

FP = 350,000

3,000

0 1 2 3 4 360

1 2 3 4 240

200

Solution; Retirement a.

FP = 350,000

FPT = 350,000(1+j)-n

= 350,000(1+0.03)-30

= $144,195


Solution retirement a5

FP = 418,195

3,000

0 1 2 3 4 360

1 2 3 4 240

200

Solution; Retirement a.

FP = 418,195

FPT = 418,195(1+j)-n

= 418,195(1+0.03)-30

= $172,290


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