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Supply, Demand, and Government Policies

6. Supply, Demand, and Government Policies. Controls on Prices. How price ceilings affect market outcomes Price ceiling Legal maximum on the price at which a good can be sold Not binding Above the equilibrium price No effect Binding constraint Below the equilibrium price Shortage

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Supply, Demand, and Government Policies

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  1. 6 Supply, Demand, andGovernment Policies

  2. Controls on Prices • How price ceilings affect market outcomes • Price ceiling • Legal maximum on the price at which a good can be sold • Not binding • Above the equilibrium price • No effect • Binding constraint • Below the equilibrium price • Shortage • Sellers must ration the scarce goods • The rationing mechanisms – not desirable

  3. 1 A market with a price ceiling Price of Ice Cream Cones Price of Ice Cream Cones (a) A price ceiling that is not binding (b) A price ceiling that is binding Equilibrium price Shortage Price ceiling Price ceiling Equilibrium price $4 $3 3 2 Quantity supplied Quantity demanded Equilibrium quantity Supply Supply Demand 125 100 75 Demand 0 0 In panel (a), the government imposes a price ceiling of $4. Because the price ceiling is above the equilibrium price of $3, the price ceiling has no effect, and the market can reach the equilibrium of supply and demand. In this equilibrium, quantity supplied and quantity demanded both equal 100 cones. In panel (b), the government imposes a price ceiling of $2. Because the price ceiling is below the equilibrium price of $3, the market price equals $2. At this price, 125 cones are demanded and only 75 are supplied, so there is a shortage of 50 cones. Quantity of Ice-Cream Cones Quantity of Ice-Cream Cones

  4. Lines at the gas pump • 1973, OPEC raised the price of crude oil • Reduced the supply of gasoline • Long lines at gas stations • What was responsible for the long gas lines? • OPEC: created shortage of gasoline • U.S. government regulations: price ceiling on gasoline • Before OPEC raised the price of crude oil • Equilibrium price - below price ceiling: no effect • When the price of crude oil rose • Reduced the supply of gasoline • Equilibrium price – above price ceiling: shortage

  5. 2 The market for gasoline with a price ceiling Price of Gasoline Price of Gasoline • The price ceiling on gasoline • is not binding (b) The price ceiling on gasoline is binding 3…the price ceiling becomes binding… 2…but when supply falls… 1. Initially, the price ceiling is not binding … 4. …resulting in a shortage Price ceiling Price ceiling P2 P1 P1 S2 Supply, S1 S1 Demand Demand QS Q1 Q1 QD 0 0 Quantity of Gasoline Quantity of Gasoline Panel (a) shows the gasoline market when the price ceiling is not binding because the equilibrium price, P1, is below the ceiling. Panel (b) shows the gasoline market after an increase in the price of crude oil (an input into making gasoline) shifts the supply curve to the left from S1 to S2. In an unregulated market, the price would have risen from P1 to P2. The price ceiling, however, prevents this from happening. At the binding price ceiling, consumers are willing to buy QD, but producers of gasoline are willing to sell only QS. The difference between quantity demanded and quantity supplied, QD – QS, measures the gasoline shortage.

  6. Rent control in the short run and the long run • Price ceiling: rent control • Local government - ceiling on rents • Goal: help the poor (housing more affordable) • Critique: highly inefficient way to help the poor raise their standard of living • Adverse effects of rent control in the short run • Supply and demand for housing - relatively inelastic • Initial small shortage • Reduce rents

  7. 3 Rent control in the short run and in the long run Rental Price of Apartment Rental Price of Apartment (a) Rent Control in the Short Run (supply and demand are inelastic) (b) Rent Control in the Long Run (supply and demand are elastic) Shortage Shortage Controlled rent Controlled rent Supply Demand Demand Supply 0 0 Quantity of Apartments Quantity of Apartments Panel (a) shows the short-run effects of rent control: Because the supply and demand for apartments are relatively inelastic, the price ceiling imposed by a rent-control law causes only a small shortage of housing. Panel (b) shows the long-run effects of rent control: Because the supply and demand for apartments are more elastic, rent control causes a large shortage.

  8. Rent control in the short run and the long run • Adverse effects of rent control in the long run • Supply and demand - more elastic • Landlords - not building new apartments & failing to maintain existing ones • People - find their own apartments & induce more people to move into a city • Large shortage of housing • Rationing mechanisms • Long waiting lists • Preference to tenants without children • Discriminate on the basis of race • Bribes to building superintendents

  9. Rent control in the short run and the long run • People respond to incentives • Free markets • Landlords try to keep their buildings clean and safe • Higher prices • Rent control – shortages & waiting lists • Landlords lose their incentive to respond to tenants’ concerns (decline in product quality) • Tenants get lower rents & lower-quality housing. • Policymakers – additional regulations • Difficult and costly to enforce

  10. Agricultural Price Supports • Price Support • Market price is set by Government at > equilibrium price (binding) • Price is “supported” as Gov’t buys up the surplus • Thus price will not drop due “normal” market forces (surplus)

  11. Impacts of a Price Support Inefficient Production MC(C) > MV(D) Transfer CS-PS Transfer Due to Increased Production Increased PS

  12. Consequences of Binding Price Supports Compared to a “free” market (unregulated) • Consumers buy less milk • Lost Consumer Surplus • Producers • Gain lost consumer surplus (transfer to Producers) • Increased milk production (> old equilibirum) • Get even more producer surplus • Produced inefficiently • Value (marginal benefits) of additional milk to consumers < increased (marginal) costs of resources used to produce it • And then there are the taxes to pay for it

  13. What Do We Do With the Surplus • Surplus milk bought by the Government • Give it to Low Income • Decreases Private Sector Demand (Nbuyers) • Increases amount of surplus milk to be bought • Make cheese from it • No effect on Milk market price • Strategic Cheese Reserve at Hanford • Transfer to 3rd World countries • Powdered Milk • Disrupts their dairy industry

  14. What Could Go Wrong? The Complete Stupidity Of The Looming Dairy Cliff: Milk To ... www.forbes.com/.../the-complete-stupidity-of-the-looming-dairy-... Forbes Dec 31, 2012 - That will compel the Department of Agriculture to roughly double the price supports for dairy and other farm products thanks to a mystical  Dairy Price Supports: Still Milking the Public www.cato.org/.../dairy-price-supports-still-milking-public Cato Institute Why $7-Per-Gallon Milk Looms Once Again : The Salt : NPR www.npr.org/sections/.../why-7-per-gallon-milk-looms-once-againNPR

  15. Cato Institute http://www.cato.org/pubs/tbb/tbb_0707_47.pdf The federal government has subsidized and regulated the dairy industry since the 1930s. A system of “marketing order” regulations was enacted in 1937. A dairy price support program was added in 1949. An income support program for dairy farmers was added in 2002. As part of this year’s farm bill, Congress may reauthorize dairy programs, but they are among the most illogical of all farm programs.1 The government spends billions of dollars reducing food costs through programs such as food stamps, yet dairy programs increase milk prices. An Economist’s Perspective

  16. Cost of Price Supports • In 2013, the U.S. Department of Agriculture spent $107 million buying sugar to increase prices to producers • Other Agricultural Price Support Programs • Wheat • Corn • Milk and milk products

  17. Cost of Price Supports The U.S. government has been protecting farmers against unpredictable hardships such as bad weather since the 1930s, when drought and the Great Depression devastated the nation's agriculture industry. Today, agricultural subsidies and insurance cost the U.S. taxpayers about $20 billion annually, according to the U.S.

  18. Controls on Prices • How price floors affect market outcomes • Price floor • Legal minimum on the price at which a good can be sold • Not binding • Below the equilibrium price • No effect • Binding constraint • Above the equilibrium price • Surplus • Some seller are unable to sell what they want • The rationing mechanisms – not desirable

  19. 4 A market with a price floor Price of Ice Cream Cone Price of Ice Cream Cone (a) A price floor that is not binding (b) A price floor that is binding Surplus Price floor Price floor Equilibrium price Equilibrium price $3 $4 2 3 Quantity demanded Quantity supplied Equilibrium quantity Supply Supply 120 100 80 Demand Demand 0 0 In panel (a), the government imposes a price floor of $2. Because this is below the equilibrium price of $3, the price floor has no effect. The market price adjusts to balance supply and demand. At the equilibrium, quantity supplied and quantity demanded both equal 100 cones. In panel (b), the government imposes a price floor of $4, which is above the equilibrium price of $3. Therefore, the market price equals $4. Because 120 cones are supplied at this price and only 80 are demanded, there is a surplus of 40 cones. Quantity of Ice-Cream Cones Quantity of Ice-Cream Cones

  20. The minimum wage • Price floor: minimum wage • Lowest price for labor that any employer may pay • Fair Labor Standards Act of 1938 • Ensure workers a minimally adequate standard of living • 2007: minimum wage = $5.15 per hour • Scheduled to increase to $7.25 by 2010

  21. The minimum wage • Market for labor • Workers - supply of labor • Firms – demand for labor • If minimum wage – above equilibrium • Unemployment • Higher income - workers who have jobs • Lower income - workers who cannot find jobs

  22. The minimum wage • Impact of the minimum wage • Workers with high skills and much experience • Not affected: Equilibrium wages - above the minimum • Minimum wage - not binding • Teenage labor – least skilled and least experienced • Low equilibrium wages • Willing to accept a lower wage in exchange for on-the-job training • Minimum wage – binding

  23. 5 How the minimum wage affects the labor market Labor surplus (unemployment) Wage Wage (a) A free labor market (b) A Labor Market with a Binding Minimum Wage Equilibrium wage Minimum wage Labor demand Labor demand Equilibrium employment Quantity demanded Quantity supplied Labor supply Labor supply 0 0 Quantity of Labor Quantity of Labor Panel (a) shows a labor market in which the wage adjusts to balance labor supply and labor demand. Panel (b) shows the impact of a binding minimum wage. Because the minimum wage is a price floor, it causes a surplus: The quantity of labor supplied exceeds the quantity demanded. The result is unemployment.

  24. Controls on Prices • Evaluating price controls • Markets are usually a good way to organize economic activity • Economists usually oppose price ceilings and price floors • Prices – coordinate economic activity

  25. Controls on Prices • Evaluating price controls • Governments can sometimes improve market outcomes • Price controls - because of unfair market outcome • Aimed at helping the poor • Often hurt those they are trying to help • Other ways of helping those in need • Rent subsidies • Wage subsidies

  26. Taxes • Tax incidence • Manner in which the burden of a tax is shared among participants in a market • How taxes on sellers affect market outcomes • Immediate impact on sellers • Shift in supply • Supply curve shifts left • Higher equilibrium price • Lower equilibrium quantity • The tax – reduces the size of the market

  27. 6 A tax on sellers Equilibrium with tax Tax ($0.50) Price of Ice-Cream Cone A tax on sellers shifts the supply curve upward by the size of the tax ($0.50). Price buyers pay Equilibrium without tax Price without tax $3.30 3.00 2.80 Price sellers receive 100 90 S1 0 Quantity of Ice-Cream Cones When a tax of $0.50 is levied on sellers, the supply curve shifts up by $0.50 from S1 to S2. The equilibrium quantity falls from 100 to 90 cones. The price that buyers pay rises from $3.00 to $3.30. The price that sellers receive (after paying the tax) falls from $3.00 to $2.80. Even though the tax is levied on sellers, buyers and sellers share the burden of the tax. Demand, D1 S2

  28. Taxes • How taxes on sellers affect market outcomes • Taxes discourage market activity • Smaller quantity sold • Buyers and sellers share the burden of tax • Buyers pay more • Worse off • Sellers receive less • Get the higher price but pay the tax • Overall: effective price fall • Worse off

  29. Taxes • How taxes on buyers affect market outcomes • Initial impact on the demand • Demand curve shifts left • Lower equilibrium price • Lower equilibrium quantity • The tax – reduces the size of the market

  30. 7 Equilibrium with tax A tax on buyers Tax ($0.50) Price of Ice-Cream Cone A tax on buyers shifts the demand curve downward by the size of the tax ($0.50). Equilibrium without tax Price buyers pay Price without tax $3.30 2.80 3.00 Price sellers receive 100 90 D2 Supply, S1 0 Quantity of Ice-Cream Cones When a tax of $0.50 is levied on buyers, the demand curve shifts down by $0.50 from D1 to D2. The equilibrium quantity falls from 100 to 90 cones. The price that sellers receive falls from $3.00 to $2.80. The price that buyers pay (including the tax) rises from $3.00 to $3.30. Even though the tax is levied on buyers, buyers and sellers share the burden of the tax. D1

  31. Taxes • How taxes on buyers affect market outcomes • Buyers and sellers share the burden of the tax • Sellers get a lower price • Worse off • Buyers pay a lower market price • Effective price (with tax) rises • Worse off • Taxes levied on sellers and taxes levied on buyers are equivalent

  32. Can congress distribute the burden of a payroll tax? • Payroll taxes • Deducted from the amount you earned • By law, the tax burden: • Half of the tax - paid by firms • Out of firm’s revenue • Half of the tax - paid by workers • Deducted from workers’ paychecks • Tax incidence analysis • Payroll tax = tax on a good • Good = labor • Price = wage

  33. Taxes • Elasticity and tax incidence • Dividing the tax burden • Very elastic supply and relatively inelastic demand • Sellers – small burden of tax • Buyers – most of the burden • Relatively inelastic supply and very elastic demand • Sellers – most of the tax burden • Buyers – small burden

  34. 9 How the burden of a tax is divided (a) Price (a) Elastic Supply, Inelastic Demand 1. When supply is more elastic than demand . . . Tax 2. . . . The incidence of the tax falls more heavily on consumers . . . 3. . . . Than on producers. Price buyers pay Price without tax Price sellers receive 0 Quantity Supply In panel (a), the supply curve is elastic, and the demand curve is inelastic. In this case, the price received by sellers falls only slightly, while the price paid by buyers rises substantially. Thus, buyers bear most of the burden of the tax. Demand

  35. 9 How the burden of a tax is divided (b) Price (b) Inelastic Supply, Elastic Demand 1. When demand is more elastic than supply . . . 3. Than on consumers Tax 2. . . . The incidence of the tax falls more heavily on producers. Price buyers pay Price without tax Price sellers receive Demand 0 Quantity Supply In panel (b), the supply curve is inelastic, and the demand curve is elastic. In this case, the price received by sellers falls substantially, while the price paid by buyers rises only slightly. Thus, sellers bear most of the burden of the tax.

  36. Taxes • Tax burden - falls more heavily on the side of the market that is less elastic • Small elasticity of demand • Buyers do not have good alternatives to consuming this good • Small elasticity of supply • Sellers do not have good alternatives to producing this good

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