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EURESCOM Future Directions Workshop

EURESCOM Future Directions Workshop. The Changing Environment The New Challenges of Research Examples of Questions. The changing environment. Significant changes are expected in the telecommunication networks and services: Fixed Mobile Data

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EURESCOM Future Directions Workshop

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  1. EURESCOM Future Directions Workshop The Changing Environment The New Challenges of Research Examples of Questions

  2. The changing environment • Significant changes are expected in the telecommunication networks and services: • Fixed • Mobile • Data • The near future will show both positive and negative effects: • Innovations • Turbulencies • The telecommunications sector is shifting from a rather stable situation to a completely new one • Convergence • New actors

  3. The changing environment • At the beginning of 70s: • telephone service as the major revenue source • small amount of mobile and data • small market segment • ad-hoc solutions • adaptation of the telephone network • At the beginning of 2000 century: • the data traffic will overcome the fixed telephone traffic • the mobile traffic will overcome the fixed telephone traffic • market and technological convergence of Telecommunications, Information Technology and Media

  4. The changing environment • New actors coming from different sectors: • Information Technology and data networks • Mobile • Media • New points of excellence • New success factors: • technological availability • new market positioning • evolving regulation • death of distance • time based tariffing • new business models • New mergers and acquisitions

  5. The new challenges of research • Potentially, this situation is very stimulating for Research Centres • The objective is to catch new opportunities: • global thinking • overcoming of the legacies • flexibility • understanding in advance the new context • Customer orientation: • demonstrate the value for the customers • time-to-market • economics • matching between technological and market opportunities

  6. Example of Political Questions • Law of the jungle or jungle of the law? • Avoid over-regulation • Promote the global market • Avoid the law of the jungle • How to manage the economic convergence of telecommunications, IT and media starting from completely different regulatory conditions? • Over-regulated telecommunications • Information Technology • Content and media

  7. Example of Political Questions • What will be the basic principles of a future regulation? • Limited to the necessary minimum • Independent • Responsive to users’ needs • Clear • How regulatory authorities can guarantee better and cheaper services? • Technology neutral competition • Value chain and business models • New definition of Universal Service

  8. Example of Political Questions • Should the “virtual world” built over Internet be regulated? • Trans-national character • New services and applications • Should the focus of regulation change from infrastructure supply to value added services provision? • Growing number of actors • Complexity of the value chain • New technological solutions • How will evolve the allocation and pricing of radio resources? • Economic value of frequencies • International allocation authorities

  9. Example of Political Questions • What role will the regulator undertake in a converged industry structure? • Harmonisation of different regulatory environments • Horizontal integration rather than vertical stovepipes • What social obligation will different sectors of the industry have to accept? • The new technology will penetrate deeply into everybody’s lives • Convergence on the Internet paradigm • How do we provide seamless services for the customer within a competitive environment? • Seamless context across different service configurations • Transparency to the underlying technical complexity

  10. Example of Political Questions • If tomorrow will be an IP dominated world, how do we influence its development? • Ubiquitous standard sockets • Always on capability • How can we define a regulatory structure enabling a wide diffusion of electronic commerce? • Reliable procedures for the exchange of money, information, goods and services • ensuring security, privacy and IPR • How can we stimulate direct investments in R&D in the Information and Communication sector? • Promoting the development and diffusion of new communication instruments • Pushing the evolution of education system

  11. Example of Economic Questions • Is it convenient a co-operation to expand the global market pie? • Abundance mentality • Common promotion activity • Which kind of competition to share the extended market pie? • Reduction of national market shares • Share of foreign markets • Layering of the market (transport, services, applications) • Which way to promote a real global market? • Common standards • Common regulation

  12. Example of Economic Questions • Which are the characteristics of the convergent Telecommunications, Information technology and Media global market? • Applications • Market dynamics • Market size • Which are the characteristics of the evolving convergent market? • Generalised market with product differentiation • Market segmentation • Customer orientation and personalisation

  13. Example of Economic Questions • What impact can be expected by the shift from scarcity to abundance of resources? • Increase of number and capacity of transmission media • Several offers from different actors • What are the economic implications of interconnection and unbundling? • Interconnection rules and fees • Unbundling levels and fees

  14. Example of Economic Questions • What evolution is expected in marketing approaches? • From a reactive to a proactive marketing • Customer orientation • Time-to-market • What evolution is expected in costing aspects? • Life-cycle costs (investments + operation) • Cost allocation • Time-to-market • What evolution is expected in pricing approaches? • Evolution of tariffing • Death of distance • Time-based tariffing • Cost-based tariffing

  15. Example of Economic Questions • What will be the impact of IP telephony on tariff structures in the telecommunications market? • Local calls and time based tariffs • Subscriptions and business models • What are the conditions for a full development of electronic commerce? • Regulatory framework • Actors and business models • Impact on GDP growth and employment • Impact of the “Virtual World” on regulation • Loose of relevance of trans-national borders

  16. Example of Economic Questions • What will be the economic implications of the development of multi-service networks? • How will deploy a multi-service network • Business models for multi-service networks • Tariffing for multi-service networks • What will be the economic implications of the fixed-mobile convergence? • Regulatory implications, actors, business models and tariffing issues • Marketing issues and opportunity for operators (one stop shop, one number, personalisation of the services, unification of commercial chains, cost and resource optimisation) • Benefits for the clients (integrated vision of user needs, easier usage, one bill, one number)

  17. Example of Social Questions • What evolution is expected of social habits? • Extensive info gathering and exchange • Global interconnectivity • info at Home and Office • Mobile info • New ways of info gathering and exchange • What evolution is expected towards a Future Home? • Evolution of Entertainment • New user approaches and interfaces • New usability requirements

  18. Example of Social Questions • What new services are expected for business users? • New communication needs • New info gathering needs • Evolution of corporate networks and applications • Virtual companies and distributed working • Teleworking and Mobile Work • Market segmentation • What new services are expected for the Public Administration? • New information services • City information • Information Society

  19. Example of Technical Questions • Which services can be supported by multi-service networks? • Different kinds of services and flexibility • Service characterisation and service support • Is IP and related protocols suited to implement multi-service networks? • Benefits of IP based multi-service networks • Coexistence of IP and other techniques • Is it viable to foresee a unique network for all integrated services or is it better to foresee the coexistence of different networks for different sets of services? • PSTN/ISDN and IP/ATM • Access networks • Core networks

  20. Example of Technical Questions • What will be the most likely migration paths from existing networks to future multi-service networks? • Fixed voice networks • Data networks • Mobile networks • What will be the most likely evolutions of fixed-mobile convergence? • Step approach tailored to specific market segments • Core network functions and radio access techniques • Overlay networks will evolve independently of will include in the long run all the functionalities? • Overlay high speed data networks • Overlay high performance mobile networks

  21. Market Figures

  22. Market Figures

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