European Economic Integration

1. European Economic Integration

2. The current state of European integration • Among 15 European countries there is: • Free trade • Free mobility of labor • Free mobility of capital • Among 12 of the 15 European countries: • Since July 2002, national currencies are completely replaced by the new European currency, the “EURO’’.

3. Why should we be interested in the process of economic and monetary integration in Europe? • Europe is economically important • The economic size of the European Union is similar to the economic size of the United States. • Possibility of imitation • Other areas in the world are undertaking similar steps to integrate national economies. Examples are: • ASEAN for some East Asian countries. • MERCOSUR for some Latin American countries. • SAARC for some South Asian countries.

4. Why should firms be interested in the process of economic and monetary integration in Europe? EUROPEAN FIRMS • Opportunities - Larger market to target • In the immediate because formal trade barriers are eliminated. • In the long-run trade and business expansion will make the European market more homogeneous. • Challenges - Stronger competition • Local firms are facing the increasing competition of foreign firms. Foreign firms may be more competitive in technology, management and financially.

5. NON-EUROPEAN FIRMS • Opportunities • The European market is no longer a fragmented combination of local markets, but rather a large uniform market. • This will reduce the cost of market penetration. • Challenges • The within-union increase in competition will reinforce the competitiveness of European firms. • The increased efficiency and size of European firms imply that they will be more competitive also in non-European markets. This may be of concern also for firms that are not directly interested in the European market.

6. ALL FIRMS (EUROPEAN AND NON-EUROPEAN) • The investment and location strategies will be only driven by: • Local regulations. • Availability of qualified labor. • Vicinity to the final market. • Exchange rates uncertainty will no longer play a role for intra-European investments.

7. ALL FIRMS (continue) • The faster way to take advantage of the new market opportunities and to face the competition is through: • Cooperative agreements with other firms. • Mergers. • Acquisition of local firms. • These are the dominant strategies as they combine managerial and organizational experience of the foreign firm with the knowledge and market position of the local firm.

10. Main notions of economic integration • Free trade area • Eliminates tariffs within the area only. Each country retains its own policy towards non-members. • Custom union • Add a common external policy to the free trade area. • Common market • Factors of production can flow freely within a custom union. • Economic union • Common market with common determination of some structural and macroeconomic policies.

11. What is Monetary Union? Weak version • Fixed bilateral exchange rates (rigidly or within a band) • Each member undertakes monetary policies to defend the rates Strong version • Individual currencies are replaced by a single currency • Individual monetary authorities are replaced by a single authority

12. Finland Sweden Denmark Ireland England Netherlands Belgium Germany France Austria Portugal Spain Italy Greece

13. Treaty of Rome (1957) • Establishes European Economic Community (EEC) • Belgium, France, Germany, Italy, Luxembourg, Netherlands. • The EEC was a “Custom Union”. • Elimination of internal tariffs. • Common external tariffs of 15 percent (members’ average). • Institutionalize the virtuous circle of export-led growth. • The elimination of tariffs would create trade (trade creation). • The imposition of external tariffs would reduce dependence from the United States, Soviet Union, etc. (trade diversion).

15. Non-tariff barriers • Government procurement • Government units purchase their supplies from domestic companies as much as possible. • Technical standards • Countries require different standards for the commercialization of some products. Also, some products do not work in other countries (e.g. Electrical plugs).

16. Local content and rules of origin • Local laws require foreign firms to buy fixed percentages of their production supplies from domestic firms. • Physical barriers • Internal customs stations slow down communication and impose bureaucratic burdens. • Fiscal frontiers • VAT, excise taxes, corporate taxes, are very different among countries.

17. Single European White Paper (1985)Single European Act (1987) • The European White Paper was a proposal of legislation to eliminate the existing non-tariff barriers. • The Single European Act (SEA) formally approved most of the legislation proposed in the White Paper and other legislation promoting the liberalization of capital.

18. Single European Act (1987) • Government procurement • The SEA requires member governments to open up their purchases from firms of other member countries. • Technical standard • The SEA adopts the principle of Mutual Recognition: if a product is legal in one country, it can access all other countries’ markets, given no security or safety problems. • Physical barriers • Simplification of export-import documentation and custom checkpoints procedures. • Fiscal barriers • Homogenization of VAT and corporate taxation. Countries could choose, for each product, to eliminate the VAT or impose a minimum VAT of 15 percent.

19. Liberalization of factors of production Labor mobility • Workers move from areas with low wages to areas of high wages. • The movement of workers to areas with high wages tends to reduce the wages of existing workers. • The redistribution effects motivates conservative resistance. • However, intrinsic labor immobility prevented this mechanism from working in the EU.

20. Equilibrium wages with and w/o labor mobility Wages in Italy Wages in Germany LaborG,I MPLG MPLI WG WI LI LG

21. Equilibrium wages with and w/o labor mobility Wages in Italy Wages in Germany LaborG,I MPLG MPLI WG WG WI WI LI LG

22. Capital mobility • Capital moves from areas where the return on capital (interest rate) is low to areas where the return is high. • The movement of capital to areas with high interest rate tends to reduce the interest rate in these areas and increases the interest rate in the areas with law rates. • As for labor there are significant redistribution effects that motivate conservative resistance.

23. Capital mobility (continue) • During 1980s there were extensive capital controls in the EU. Individuals and firms were not allow to open bank deposits in other EU countries. • In July 1990 these controls were eliminated and it was one of the causes of the 1992 collapse of EMS. • In 1993 there has been a major liberalization of the banking system • In anticipation of the SEA, there has been an increase in merger and acquisition activities. In particular in the service and banking sectors.

25. History of the European Monetary Integration European Payment Union (1950-1958) • Facilitated multilateral clearing of payment imbalances. The Bank of International Settlements acted as a clearing house. European Monetary Agreement (1958-1972) • Many European currencies became convertible. The Agreements facilitated central banks in making settlements in gold and dollars.

26. Bretton Woods Agreement (1959-1971) • Currencies were allowed to fluctuate by 1% with respect to the dollar. • European currencies could fluctuate as much as 4% with each other. • With the Smithsonian Agreement on December 1971, the band was enlarged to 2.25%

27. Basle Agreement (Snake in the Tunnel ) (1972) • EC currencies jointly moving within a dollar tunnel. • Bilateral exchange rates with respect the dollar 2.25%. • Bilateral exchange rates among European currencies 1%. • Intervention mechanism and monetary support for member countries.

28. Snake in the Tunnel Bilateral band among European currencies 1% Fluctuation band against the dollar 2.25%

31. European Monetary System (1979) • Currencies were allowed to fluctuate by 2.25% with each other (Italy and UK 6%). • Possibility of realignments allowed within the EMS. • Financing facilities were provided. • Creation of the European Currency Unit (ECU)

34. Delors Report (1989)Plan for the realization of EMU • Stage 1 (July 1990) • Free movement of capital. Member states undertake programs that make possible fixed exchange rates. • Stage 2 (January 1994) • Creation of the European Monetary Institute (EMI) to: • Coordinate monetary policies and ensure price stability. • Prepare the establishment of the European System of Central Banks (ESCB) overseen by the European Central Bank (ECB). • Prepare the introduction of a single currency in stage 3. • Examine the achievement of economic convergence among EU states as established by the Maastricht Treaty (1992).

35. Stage 3 (January 1999) • Introduction of the single currency “EURO”. • Establishment of the European Central Bank in charge of the European monetary policy.

36. Maastricht Treaty (1992) • Price stability • For the preceding year the average inflation rate must not exceed that of the best three states by more than 1.5%. • Interest rate convergence • For the preceding year the average long-term interest rate must not exceed that of the best three states (in term of inflation) by more than 2%. • Budget discipline • Government budget deficit must be less than 3% of GDP. • Government debt cannot exceed 60% of GDP. • Exchange rate stability • For the preceding two years no exchange rate realignments.

39. The ‘EURO’ area

40. Costs and benefits of the Euro • Benefits: • Reduction in transaction costs. • Elimination of the exchange rate risk. • Greater competition leading to greater efficiency. • Greater integration among the European financial markets and greater investment efficiency. • Inflation discipline guaranteed by the independence of the European Central Bank. • Fiscal discipline as a requirement to enter and stay in the system. • Increase the urgency of structural reforms in Europe.

41. Costs: • The system of fixed exchange rates eliminate the possibility of using exchange rate adjustments as a policy tool in the presence of asymmetric shocks. • Individual countries cannot use monetary policy to face country-specific shocks. • Europe may not be an optimal currency area due to: • Likelihood of asymmetric or country-specific shocks. • Limited labor mobility. • Structural labor market rigidities. • Limited ability to use fiscal policy as a stabilization tool in absence of monetary independence. • Absence of a system of fiscal redistribution to insure against regional/national shocks.

42. European Institutions Legislative Institutions - European parliament - Council of Ministers Executive Institutions - European Commission - European Council Jurisdictional Institutions - European Court of Justice - Court of First Instance Economic Institutions - European System of Central Banks

43. Legislative Institutions • European Parliament • Functionalist version of the legislative branch. • Composed of 626 members. • Elected every five years. • Council of the European Union or Council of Ministers • Important legislative organism. • Formed by the 15 ministers responsible for the matter being decided. • Votes are distributed taking into account the size of the country members. • Deliberations are directives that are applied by each individual country.

44. Executive Institutions • European Commission • Functionalist version of the executive branch. • Composed of 20 members (one official from each country). • Initiate legislation for the Council of Ministers (and the Parliament). Identifies European problems and studies possible solutions. • Once the legislation is passed, it oversees its implementation by monitoring individual governments in passing the necessary national legislation. • European Council • Realistic version of the executive branch. • Formed by the heads of the government of each country plus the president of the European Commission. • Proposes initiatives to the Commission.

45. Justice Institutions • European Court of Justice • Composed of 16 judges. • Each member is elected for 6 years by a member state. The sixteenth member is the Chief Justice and it is elected by the other members. • Suits may be brought by member states, corporations, or individuals on issues related to the interpretation of Community law. • Court of First Instance • Similar composition of the Court of Justice. • Deals with most of the actions undertaken by individuals and companies. • Appeal can be made with the Court of Justice.

46. Economic Institutions • European System of Central Banks • It is composed of the European Central Bank and the central banks of the member states. • Similar to the Federal Reserve System in the United States. • The executive body is the ESCB Board appointed by the European Council. • The ESCB Board and the Governors of the countries’ central banks form the Council of the ESCB.