Closing the gaps by 2015 goal and target review
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Closing the Gaps, by 2015 Goal and Target Review. April 21, 2005. Why Change the Participation Goal and Targets?. Apply current percentage targets to updated population projections 2005 target for African-Americans and 2010 target for Whites have been surpassed. Prior Projection

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Closing the gaps by 2015 goal and target review

Closing the Gaps, by 2015Goal and Target Review

April 21, 2005

THECB 04/2005


Why change the participation goal and targets

Why Change the Participation Goal and Targets?

  • Apply current percentage targets to updated population projections

  • 2005 target for African-Americans and 2010 target for Whites have been surpassed

THECB 04/2005


Population projections for 2015 have increased greatly for hispanics

Prior Projection

25,900,000

11,600,000

2,900,000

10,300,000

New Projection

28,000,000

11,800,000

3,000,000

11,900,000

Population projections for 2015 have increased greatly for Hispanics

Total

White

African-Amer.

Hispanic

THECB 04/2005

Source: Texas State Data Center


How did the board set the participation goal

How did the Board set the Participation Goal?

  • Texas demographics

    • Educational attainment and income

    • Population projections by ethnicity

  • Comparisons of participation rates

    • As a percent of total population

    • As a percent of 19 year olds, etc.

  • Participation rates by ethnicity in Texas

THECB 04/2005


Income is strongly correlated to educational levels

Income is Strongly Correlated to Educational Levels

THECB 04/2005

Source: US Census 2000 Microdata Sample


Highest educational levels vary texas 2000

Highest Educational Levels Vary Texas - 2000

THECB 04/2005

Source: US Census Bureau


Closing the gaps by 2015 goal and target review

Median Household Income Varies Across the State - 2002

High

Plains

Upper

East

Texas

Northwest

Texas

Metroplex

West

Texas

Upper

Rio

Grande

Southeast

Texas

Central

Texas

Gulf

Coast

South

Texas

$26,500 to $31,500

$31,501 to $40,000

$40,001 to $44,000

THECB 04/2005

Source: US Census Bureau


Median household income 1999 by race ethnicity of householder

Median Household Income - 1999 by Race/Ethnicity of Householder

THECB 04/2005

Source: Texas State Data Center


Overall minority participation rates continue to lag but are increasing

Overall Minority Participation Rates Continue to Lag, But Are Increasing

15-to-34 Population

THECB 04/2005


A one percent increase would have been an additional 220 000 students in fall 2003

A one percent increase would have been an additional 220,000 students in fall 2003

Participation Rate of Total Population - Fall 2003(Fall 2000)

New York

Michigan

California

Illinois

TEXAS

Pennsylvania

Ohio

Florida

New Jersey

Georgia

(5.6%)

(5.6%)

(6.1%)

(6.1%)

(5.0%)

(4.9%)

(4.8%)

(4.5%)

(4.0%)

(4.1%)

THECB 04/2005

Source: Chronicle of Higher Education, Almanac


Committee questions

Committee Questions

  • How have other states increased participation at such a fast pace?

    • Financial aid?

    • New programs?

    • Lower population increases?

    • Policy changes?

  • Should the overall participation target be raised above 5.7%?

THECB 04/2005


Closing the gaps targets

Closing the Gaps Targets

THECB 04/2005


Texas white 18 21 population is expected to decline

Texas White 18-21 Population is expected to decline

THECB 04/2005


Why change success targets

Why Change Success Targets?

  • Independent institutions’ awards are now included

  • Associate’s degrees awarded have surpassed target

  • African-American successes in 2004 exceed 2005 targets

  • Allied health and nursing awards surpassed targets

  • Alternative teaching certification awards now included

THECB 04/2005


Texas lags in bachelor s degrees compared to undergraduate enrollment

Pennsylvania

New York

Ohio

Michigan

New Jersey

U.S. Average

Georgia

Illinois

TEXAS

Florida

California

Texas Lags in Bachelor’s DegreesCompared to Undergraduate Enrollment

Colleges and Universities – 2001-02 (1996-97)

(13%)

(12%)

(11%)

(9%)

(9%)

(9%)

(11%)

(8%)

(8%)

(8%)

(6%)

THECB 04/2005

Source: Chronicle of Higher Education, Almanac


Texas lags in associate degrees as compared to two year enrollment

Texas Lags in Associate Degrees as Compared to Two-Year Enrollment

Two-Year Colleges – 2001-02 (1996-97)

New York

Pennsylvania

Florida

Ohio

New Jersey

U.S. Average

Michigan

Illinois

Georgia

TEXAS

California

(20%)

(18%)

(14%)

(12%)

(10%)

(10%)

(11%)

(8%)

(13%)

(6%)

(6%)

THECB 04/2005

Source: Chronicle of Higher Education, Almanac


Committee questions1

Committee Questions

  • Graduation rates for transfer students?

  • Need for certified teachers in specific fields?

    • Math and science

    • ESL

  • Increases at the BSN or ASN level?

  • Information on private high school graduates?

THECB 04/2005


Community college transfer students graduate at rates similar to university students

Community College transfer students graduate at rates similar to university students

THECB 04/2005


Why change research targets

Why Change Research targets?

  • Original target was based on 1998 data

  • 2015 target was surpassed by FY 2002

  • Target expressed in monetary terms does not indicate whether Texas has increased relative to other states

THECB 04/2005


Closing the gaps by 2015 goal and target review

1998 data was used to set target: By 2000 the 2007 target had been surpassed(in millions of constant 1998 dollars)

THECB 04/2005


Committee recommendation

Committee Recommendation

  • April – June 2005 - Continue study of the targets

  • July 2005 – Draft of new targets to the Coordinating Board and distributed for comment

  • October 2005 – Coordinating Board consideration of new targets

THECB 04/2005


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