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Dodge 2014 Construction Outlook. Cliff Brewis Senior Director Operations. U.S. Macroeconomic Outlook. On balance, the pace of economic expansion remains lackluster. GDP Pattern : History Forecast 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

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dodge 2014 construction outlook

Dodge 2014Construction Outlook

Cliff Brewis

Senior Director Operations

u s macroeconomic outlook
U.S. Macroeconomic Outlook

On balance, the pace of economic expansion remains lackluster.

  • GDP Pattern:
  • History Forecast
  • 2010 20112012 20132014
  • +2.5% +1.8% +2.8% +1.6% +2.7%
  • Shape of Recovery:
  • Private Sector Dependency
  • Sequestration
  • Government Uncertainty
  • Fed Tapering
  • Improving Local Conditions
u s macroeconomic outlook1
U.S. Macroeconomic Outlook

Employment growth has also been tepid.

state performance employment
State Performance: Employment

Three unique markets

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics

u s construction market outlook
U.S. Construction Market Outlook –

The Dodge Momentum Index offers insight on what’s ahead.

u s construction market outlook1
U.S. Construction Market Outlook –

Percent Change, 2009-2014, for Total Construction Starts and Major Sectors.

Residential

  • Single Family
  • Multifamily

Nonresidential

  • Stores
  • Offices
  • Hotels
  • Other Commercial
  • Manufacturing
  • Education
  • Healthcare
  • Other Institutional

Nonbuilding

  • Highways & Bridges
  • Environmental Public Works
  • Other Public Works
  • Electric Utilities

2013

Value

.

los angeles orange county single family
Los Angeles/Orange County: Single Family

Continued strong contribution

‘$000.00

los angeles orange county retail
Los Angeles/Orange County: Retail

Modest recovery

‘$000.00

los angeles orange county hotel
Los Angeles/Orange County: Hotel

Occupancy and revenue per room are up

‘$000.00

los angeles orange county health
Los Angeles/Orange County: Health

We expect consolidations to limit construction

‘$000.00

los angeles orange county education
Los Angeles/Orange County: Education

Bottomed out, but not recovering yet.

‘$000.00

los angeles orange county highways
Los Angeles/Orange County: Highways

Expected to soften after 2014

‘$000.00

los angeles orange county totals
Los Angeles/Orange County: Totals

Unquestionable Improvement

‘$000.00

questions
QUESTIONS?
  • Cliff Brewis
  • Senior Director Operations
  • McGraw-Hill Construction/Dodge
  • 510.566.0913
  • [email protected]
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