Maritime Cargo Market and Warehouse Analysis
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Maritime Cargo Market and Warehouse Analysis. Prepared by CBRE Consulting Martin Associates ∙ January 13, 2009. Study Purpose. Examine current Port of San Francisco cargo base Bulk Breakbulk Competing ports Current situation Factors influencing port selection

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Maritime cargo market and warehouse analysis

Maritime Cargo Market and Warehouse Analysis

Prepared by

CBRE Consulting

Martin Associates

January 13, 2009


Study purpose

Study Purpose

Examine current Port of San Francisco cargo base

Bulk

Breakbulk

Competing ports

Current situation

Factors influencing port selection

Identify potential new cargo opportunities

Identify economic impact of potential opportunities

Discuss implications and conclusions


Maritime cargo market and warehouse analysis

Port of San Francisco’s cargo tonnage has been dominated by dry bulk cargo

SandAggregate

Dry Bulk Cargo Handled at Port of San Francisco

1,800,000

1,600,000

1,400,000

1,200,000

1,000,000

Metric Tons

800,000

600,000

400,000

200,000

0

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

Source: Port of San Francisco


Bulk market outlook

Bulk Market Outlook

Current dry bulk tenants see flat/negative growth over the near term due to economic conditions

It appears cement and aggregate supplies from current tenants are adequate to handle market needs

Biodiesel facility at Darling International will require additional feedstock, however it will not come via water

Port has available facility at Pier 96 if another bulk shipper can be identified


Maritime cargo market and warehouse analysis

SteelNewsprintLumber Project

Port of San Francisco’s breakbulk cargo tonnage

Breakbulk Cargo Handled at Pier 80 by Commodity

300,000

250,000

200,000

150,000

Tons

100,000

50,000

0

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

Source: Port of San Francisco


Breakbulk steel outlook

Breakbulk Steel Outlook

Overall, steel imports reflect the strength of the US economy

Near term forecast - flat volumes for Bay Area customers

Port partnering with ILWU to increase productivity and competitiveness

Illinois Street Bridge will offer more options to move freight inland via rail

Bay Bridge Project

Some steel work left to do, potential additional opportunities


Northern california ports non containerized cargo summary

Northern California Ports Non-Containerized Cargo Summary

Port of San Francisco has Bay Area’s only breakbulk terminal; imported steel dominates cargo mix

Port of Stockton has been primary competitor in the breakbulk market (steel products, windmill parts)

Newsprint import business has dried up

Benicia has been the dominant player in the auto market, however Richmond is capitalizing on opportunities

Oakland handles no non-containerized cargo


Implications current existing markets

ImplicationsCurrent/Existing Markets

The Port’s key and most stable line of business has been bulk cargoes

Breakbulk at Pier 80 has been unstable

Breakbulk steel is volatile and extremely sensitive to world market conditions

Key obstacles to cargo growth

Port is geographically “isolated”

Impediments to freight rail access, especially tunnel clearance

Market perception of productivity and competitiveness of labor at Pier 80


Implications potential new cargo opportunities

Implications Potential New Cargo Opportunities

Project cargo – particularly windmills are a growing market with over 225 projects in the planning stages across the US – over 12,000 wind towers

Autos – potential to develop national distribution from Port if rail tunnel clearance issue can be solved

Breakbulk fruit - will be displaced from SoCal ports, but due to fumigation this opportunity may not be realistic for the Port

Containerized fruit – bananas/pineapples from a single user such as Dole, offer the most potential as no fumigation required


Implications focus of marketing efforts

ImplicationsFocus of Marketing Efforts

Focus Pier 80 marketing efforts on long-term, sustainable cargo. Include the following:

Windmills and project cargo

Auto processors and manufacturers

Single containerized fruit tenant with volume to bring in regular service

Regional steel importers where the Port has a competitive advantage to induce calls

Address any terminal and labor issues which could impact future cargo opportunities

Identify actual cost of rail tunnel repairs for tri-level auto railcars

Investigate fumigation restrictions within the City


Maritime cargo market and warehouse analysis

Thank You


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