Iraq Intel/InfoOps Assessment & Summary of Joint Lessons Learned. Robert David Steele Updated 24 October 2003. Evolutionary Eras 1st Generation 2nd Generation 3rd Generation 4th Generation 5th Generation 6th Generation 7th Generation. Linch Pin Low Tech Mass New Tech New Doctrine
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Iraq Intel/InfoOps Assessment & Summary of Joint Lessons Learned
Robert David Steele
Updated 24 October 2003
Low Tech Mass
Means of Winning
CIA: knowledge and foreknowledge as prelude to decision and action (covert action silent)
OSS: global coverage, all sources, all languages, 24/7, NRT analysis at all times
1. Electronic Warfare (EW)
2. Operations Security (OPSEC)
3. Psychological Operations (PSYOPS)
4. Military Deception
5. Computer Network Ops (CNO).
6. Supporting InfoAssurance
8. Public Affairs/Civil Affairs
9. Public Diplomacy & Assistance
What Do We Need to Know
Easy: Where is the army?
Easy: Where are the trenches?
Moderate: How many with what?
Hard: Watch every non-state actor.
Hard: Watch everything on the fly.
Hard: Make sense of billions of bits.
Very Hard: 24/7, 29+ languages and get your own house in order.
Good last minute exiles sent in with money and forged documents to recruit and observe
No deep clandestine assets
No new nor firm knowledge on WMD
Intel vacuum allowed WH adventurism
Did not locate Saddaam
Could not keep up with battle forces
Unable to do guerilla/urban intelligence
No peace/reconstruction intelligence
(Note: the US corruption is *amazing*)
Saved the Oil Fields
Inspired desertions & no fires
Kept most civilians out of fight
Sunglasses & armor--aid as PSYOP
Girls forced to urinate publicly (rdblks)
Saddam as Elvis (cowboy IO)
Poor impact on Arabs (bye to Al J.)
Poor impact on Europe (bye to Old E.)
Ignored non-Arab Muslims world-wide (Central Asia, South Asia, India, Pakistan, Muslim Africa)
F Reconstruction intel
F Post-war Guerilla intel
F Global IO Images
F Covert Ops Options
D WMD actual status
C Battle damage
B Kick-off OOB
D Congressional debate
Bottom line: Intel/IO had no coherent strategy, conflicting or absent capabilities and messages, earns a 3 out of a possible 7 on the continuum.
Note: Policy decisions can be said to have handicapped intelligence.